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We describe a Bayesian formalism for analyzing individual gravitational-wave events in light of the rest of an observed population. This analysis reveals how the idea of a "population-informed prior" arises naturally from a suitable…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-11-11 Christopher J. Moore , Davide Gerosa

Observables in random tensor theory are polynomials in the entries of a tensor of rank $d$ which are invariant under $U(N)^d$. It is notoriously difficult to evaluate the expectations of such polynomials, even in the Gaussian distribution.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-11-26 Valentin Bonzom , Frédéric Combes

The upper bound earthquake magnitude (maximum possible magnitude) of a truncated Gutenberg-Richter relation is the right truncation point (right end-point) of a truncated exponential distribution and is important in the probabilistic…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-07-30 Mathias Raschke

The statistical distribution of the radial pairwise peculiar velocity of galaxies is known to have an exponential form as implied by observations and explicitly shown in N-body simulations. Here we calculate its statistical distribution…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 Naoki Seto , Jun'ichi Yokoyama

We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-06 Christopher S. Withers , Saralees Nadarajah

In their work [Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 112 (2015) E5725], Bosse et al. experimentally showed that virus capsid exhibits not only normal diffusion but also anomalous diffusion in nucleus of a living cell. There, it was found that the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-04-06 Yuichi Itto

It is suggested that the distribution of orbital eccentricities for extrasolar planets is well-described by the Beta distribution. Several properties of the Beta distribution make it a powerful tool for this purpose. For example, the Beta…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 David M. Kipping

We propose a simple phenomenological modification, a Gaussian screening, of the probability distribution function which was obtained by Beck to explain experimentally measured distribution from fully developed fluid turbulence, within the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 A. K. Aringazin , M. I. Mazhitov

Probability distributions can be read as simple expressions of information. Each continuous probability distribution describes how information changes with magnitude. Once one learns to read a probability distribution as a measurement scale…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-03-01 Steven A. Frank

The driving concept behind one of the most successful statistical forecasting models, the ETAS model, has been that the seismicity is driven by spontaneously occurring background earthquakes that cascade into multitudes of triggered…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-22 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

In this paper we calculate the expected orbital elements, radiants, and velocities of Earth-impacting interstellar objects. We generate a synthetic population of $\sim10^{10}$ interstellar objects with M-star kinematics in order to obtain…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-26 Darryl Z. Seligman , Dušan Marčeta , Eloy Peña-Asensio

The distribution of inter-occurrence time between seismic events is a quantity of great interest in seismic risk assessment. We evaluate this distribution for different models of earthquakes occurrence and follow two distinct approaches:…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Godano , L. de Arcangelis

We investigate extreme values of Mahonian and Eulerian distributions arising from counting inversions and descents of random elements of finite Coxeter groups. To this end, we construct a triangular array of either distribution from a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Philip Dörr , Thomas Kahle

The physical composition and structure of meteoroids gives us insight into the formation processes of their parent asteroids and comets. The strength of and fundamental grain sizes in meteoroids tell us about the environment in which small…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-10 Margaret D. Campbell-Brown

A new two-parameter discrete distribution, namely the PoiG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes both the Poisson and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

We describe an empirical Bayesian approach to determine the most likely size of an astronomical population of sources of which only a small subset are observed above some limiting flux density threshold. The method is most naturally applied…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-06-17 P. J. Turk , D. R. Lorimer

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Starting with just the assumption of uniformly distributed orbital orientations, we derive expressions for the distributions of the Keplerian orbital elements as functions of arbitrary distributions of eccentricity and semi-major axis. We…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-01-24 Dmitry Savransky , Eric Cady , N. Jeremy Kasdin

The block maxima approach, which consists of dividing a series of observations into equal sized blocks to extract the block maxima, is commonly used for identifying and modelling extreme events using the generalized extreme value (GEV)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 James H. McVittie , Orla A. Murphy

Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova
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