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This paper introduces a novel decision-focused framework for energy storage arbitrage bidding. Inspired by the bidding process for energy storage in electricity markets, we propose a predict-then-bid end-to-end method incorporating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-07 Ming Yi , Yiqian Wu , Saud Alghumayjan , James Anderson , Bolun Xu

Leveraging electrochemical and thermal energy storage systems has been proposed as a strategy to reduce peak power in data centers. Thermal energy storage systems, such as chilled water tanks, have gained increasing attention in data…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-21 Yangyang Fu , Xu Han , Jessica Stershic , Wangda Zuo , Kyri Baker , Jianming Lian

In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric end-to-end method for probabilistic forecasting of distributed renewable generation outputs while including missing data imputation. Firstly, we employ a nonparametric probabilistic forecast model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-02 Minghui Chen , Zichao Meng , Yanping Liu , Longbo Luo , Ye Guo , Kang Wang

In recent years, transfer learning has garnered significant attention. Its ability to leverage knowledge from related studies to improve generalization performance in a target study has made it highly appealing. This paper focuses on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-30 Chao Wang , Caixing Wang , Xin He , Xingdong Feng

We propose a new estimator for nonparametric binary choice models that does not impose a parametric structure on either the systematic function of covariates or the distribution of the error term. A key advantage of our approach is its…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Guo Yan

Modern Bayesian optimization and adaptive sampling methods increasingly rely on nonlinear parametric models, yet theoretical guarantees for such models under adaptive data collection remain limited. Existing analyses largely focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Rafael Oliveira

A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

In order to fully utilize "big data", it is often required to use "big models". Such models tend to grow with the complexity and size of the training data, and do not make strong parametric assumptions upfront on the nature of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-17 Vikas Sindhwani , Haim Avron

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

Kernel regression is a popular non-parametric fitting technique. It aims at learning a function which estimates the targets for test inputs as precise as possible. Generally, the function value for a test input is estimated by a weighted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Rongqing Huang , Shiliang Sun

Multi-sector capacity expansion models play a crucial role in energy planning by providing decision support for policymaking in technology development. To ensure reliable support, these models require high technological, spatial, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Federico Parolin , Yu Weng , Paolo Colbertaldo , Ruaridh Macdonald

We present algorithms for nonparametric regression in settings where the data are obtained sequentially. While traditional estimators select bandwidths that depend upon the sample size, for sequential data the effective sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Haijie Gu , John Lafferty

The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to large data sets is limited due to heavy memory and computational requirements. A variety of methods has been proposed to enable scalability, one of which is to exploit structure in the kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Jan Graßhoff , Alexandra Jankowski , Philipp Rostalski

This paper applies Benders decomposition to two-stage stochastic problems for energy planning under climate uncertainty, a key problem for the design of renewable energy systems. To improve performance, we adapt various refinements for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Leonard Göke , Felix Schmidt , Mario Kendziorski

Stochastic programming can be applied to consider uncertainties in energy system optimization models for capacity expansion planning. However, these models become increasingly large and time-consuming to solve, even without considering…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Shima Sasanpour , Manuel Wetzel , Karl-Kiên Cao , Hans Christian Gils , Andrés Ramos

A common challenge in nonparametric inference is its high computational complexity when data volume is large. In this paper, we develop computationally efficient nonparametric testing by employing a random projection strategy. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Meimei Liu , Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Kernel smoothing is a widely used nonparametric method in modern statistical analysis. The problem of efficiently conducting kernel smoothing for a massive dataset on a distributed system is a problem of great importance. In this work, we…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yuan Gao , Rui Pan , Feng Li , Riquan Zhang , Hansheng Wang

We propose in this paper an optimal control framework for renewable energy communities (RECs) equipped with controllable assets. Such RECs allow its members to exchange production surplus through an internal market. The objective is to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-27 Samy Aittahar , Adrien Bolland , Guillaume Derval , Damien Ernst

This paper addresses the problem of how best to coordinate, or `stack,' energy storage services in systems that lack centralized markets. Specifically, its focus is on how to coordinate transmission-level congestion relief with local,…

This paper proposes nonparametric kernel-smoothing estimation for panel data to examine the degree of heterogeneity across cross-sectional units. We first estimate the sample mean, autocovariances, and autocorrelations for each unit and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-28 Ryo Okui , Takahide Yanagi