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In this article, we introduce a kernel-based consensual aggregation method for regression problems. We aim to flexibly combine individual regression estimators $r_1, r_2, \ldots, r_M$ using a weighted average where the weights are defined…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Sothea Has

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer

This paper is an attempt to bridge the conceptual gaps between researchers working on the two widely used approaches based on positive definite kernels: Bayesian learning or inference using Gaussian processes on the one side, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-10 Motonobu Kanagawa , Philipp Hennig , Dino Sejdinovic , Bharath K Sriperumbudur

Cluster-weighted modeling (CWM) is a mixture approach for modeling the joint probability of a response variable and a set of explanatory variables. The parameters are estimated by means of the expectation-maximization algorithm according to…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-09 Salvatore Ingrassia , Simona C. Minotti

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for learning the relationship between a response variable and a multivariate predictor while exploring heterogeneous effects. In this paper, we consider statistical inference for quantile regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Xuming He , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Thousands of papers have reported two-way cluster-robust (TWCR) standard errors. However, the recent econometrics literature points out the potential non-gaussianity of two-way cluster sample means, and thus invalidity of the inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Harold D Chiang , Yuya Sasaki

We introduce a new cross-validation method based on an equicorrelated Gaussian randomization scheme. Our method is well-suited for problems where sample splitting is infeasible, either because the data violate the assumption of independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Sifan Liu , Snigdha Panigrahi , Jake A. Soloff

In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Behrad Moniri , Hamed Hassani

Today's data pose unprecedented challenges to statisticians. It may be incomplete, corrupted or exposed to some unknown source of contamination. We need new methods and theories to grapple with these challenges. Robust estimation is one of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Mengjie Chen , Chao Gao , Zhao Ren

An algorithm to improve performance parameter for unsupervised decision forest clustering and density estimation is presented. Specifically, a dual assignment parameter is introduced as a density estimator by combining Random Forest and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-07-19 Hayder Albehadili , Naz Islam

This paper addresses the problem of detecting boundary points and estimating the sampling density of a dataset derived from a compact manifold with boundary, potentially in the presence of noise. We extend recent advances in doubly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Dhruv Kohli , Jesse He , Chester Holtz , Alexander Cloninger , Gal Mishne

Difference-in-differences (DID) is a widely used approach for drawing causal inference from observational panel data. Two common estimation strategies for DID are outcome regression and propensity score weighting. In this paper, motivated…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-05 Fan Li , Fan Li

This paper considers the problem of estimating the variance of a sum of a triangular array of random vectors with heterogeneous means. When random vectors exhibit two-way cluster dependence or weak dependence, standard variance estimators…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-13 Luther Yap

Graphical modeling explores dependences among a collection of variables by inferring a graph that encodes pairwise conditional independences. For jointly Gaussian variables, this translates into detecting the support of the precision…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Shota Katayama , Hironori Fujisawa , Mathias Drton

Finite Gaussian mixture models are widely used for model-based clustering of continuous data. Nevertheless, since the number of model parameters scales quadratically with the number of variables, these models can be easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Michael Fop , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Luca Scrucca

Gaussian process regression (GPR) or kernel ridge regression is a widely used and powerful tool for nonlinear prediction. Therefore, active learning (AL) for GPR, which actively collects data labels to achieve an accurate prediction with…

We address the challenge of inferring causal effects in social network data. This results in challenges due to interference -- where a unit's outcome is affected by neighbors' treatments -- and network-induced confounding factors. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Seyedeh Baharan Khatami , Harsh Parikh , Haowei Chen , Sudeepa Roy , Babak Salimi

We introduce a new approach for estimating the invariant density of a multidimensional diffusion when dealing with high-frequency observations blurred by independent noises. We consider the intermediate regime, where observations occur at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Raphaël Maillet , Grégoire Szymanski

A stepped wedge design is a unidirectional crossover design where clusters are randomized to distinct treatment sequences. While model-based analysis of stepped wedge designs is standard practice to evaluate treatment effects accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Bingkai Wang , Xueqi Wang , Fan Li

Quantile regression is a powerful statistical methodology that complements the classical linear regression by examining how covariates influence the location, scale, and shape of the entire response distribution and offering a global view…

Applications · Statistics 2013-09-11 Lu Xiaoming , Fan Zhaozhi
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