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The estimation of conditional quantiles at extreme tails is of great interest in numerous applications. Various methods that integrate regression analysis with an extrapolation strategy derived from extreme value theory have been proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Yiwei Tang , Judy Huixia Wang , Deyuan Li

This paper deals with the extreme value analysis for the triangular arrays, which appear when some parameters of the mixture model vary as the number of observations grow. When the mixing parameter is small, it is natural to associate one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Vladimir Panov , Ekaterina Morozova

In this paper we study extreme value distributions for one-parameter actions on homogeneous spaces of Lie groups. We study both shortest vectors in unimodular lattices, maximal distance excursions and closest distance returns of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Maxim Sølund Kirsebom

Multivariate generalized Pareto distributions arise as the limit distributions of exceedances over multivariate thresholds of random vectors in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution. These distributions can be parametrized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

In this article,a three parameter generalisation of inverse lindley distribution is obtained, with the purpose of obtaining a more flexible model relative to the behaviour of hazard rate functions. Various statistical properties such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Rameesa Jan , T. R. Jan , Peer Bilal Ahmad

We provide a near-optimal, computationally efficient algorithm for the unit-demand pricing problem, where a seller wants to price n items to optimize revenue against a unit-demand buyer whose values for the items are independently drawn…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Yang Cai , Constantinos Daskalakis

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

In survival analysis, the estimation of the proportion of subjects who will never experience the event of interest, termed the cure rate, has received considerable attention recently. Its estimation can be a particularly difficult task when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Jan Beirlant , Martin Bladt , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Mitigating the risk arising from extreme events is a fundamental goal with many applications, such as the modelling of natural disasters, financial crashes, epidemics, and many others. To manage this risk, a vital step is to be able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Siddharth Bhatia , Arjit Jain , Bryan Hooi

When considering d possibly dependent random variables, one is often interested in extreme risk regions, with very small probability p. We consider risk regions of the form ${\mathbf{z}\in\mathbb{R}^d:f(\mathbf{z})\leq\beta}$, where f is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Juan-Juan Cai , John H. J. Einmahl , Laurens de Haan

Extreme value analysis (EVA) is a statistical method that studies the properties of extreme values of datasets, crucial for fields like engineering, meteorology, finance, insurance, and environmental science. EVA models extreme events using…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-10-15 Kumiko Hayashi , Nobumichi Takamatsu , Shunki Takaramoto

Applying a modification of Extreme value Theory (thanks to a dual distribution technique by the authors on data over the past 2,500 years, we show that pandemics are extremely fat-tailed in terms of fatalities, with a marked potentially…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-07 Pasquale Cirillo , Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Missing data occur in a variety of applications of extreme value analysis. In the block maxima approach to an extreme value analysis, missingness is often handled by either ignoring missing observations or dropping a block of observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 James H. McVittie , Orla A. Murphy

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random vectors on $\mathbb{R}^2$, with unknown, common distribution function $F$. Under a sharpening of the extreme value condition on $F$, we derive a weighted approximation of the corresponding tail copula process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Laurens de Haan , Deyuan Li

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

The g-and-k and (generalised) g-and-h distributions are flexible univariate distributions which can model highly skewed or heavy tailed data through only four parameters: location and scale, and two shape parameters influencing the skewness…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-22 Dennis Prangle

Detecting anomalies in a temporal sequence of graphs can be applied is areas such as the detection of accidents in transport networks and cyber attacks in computer networks. Existing methods for detecting abnormal graphs can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Conrad Sanderson , Rob J. Hyndman

In various applications of heavy-tail modelling, the assumed Pareto behavior is tempered ultimately in the range of the largest data. In insurance applications, claim payments are influenced by claim management and claims may for instance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Jose Carlos Araujo Acuna , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

Extreme value theory is concerned with probabilistic and statistical questions related to very high or very low values in sequences of random variables and in stochastic processes. The subject has a rich mathematical theory and also a long…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-31 Ali Saeb

A novel approach to adding two additional parameters to a family of distributions for better adaptability has been put forth. This approach yields a versatile class of distributions supported on the positive real line. We proceed to analyze…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Subhankar Dutta , Roberto Vila , Terezinha K. A. Ribeiro