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Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Dahai Yu , Dingyi Zhuang , Lin Jiang , Rongchao Xu , Xinyue Ye , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang

We develop a framework for derivative Gaussian process latent variable models (DGP-LVMs) that can handle multi-dimensional output data using modified derivative covariance functions. The modifications account for complexities in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Soham Mukherjee , Manfred Claassen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

In Earth sciences, unobserved factors exhibit non-stationary spatial distributions, causing the relationships between features and targets to display spatial heterogeneity. In geographic machine learning tasks, conventional statistical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Siqi Du , Hongsheng Huang , Kaixin Shen , Ziqi Liu , Shengjun Tang

Neural collapse (NC) refers to the surprising structure of the last layer of deep neural networks in the terminal phase of gradient descent training. Recently, an increasing amount of experimental evidence has pointed to the propagation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Peter Súkeník , Marco Mondelli , Christoph Lampert

There is significant need for principled uncertainty reasoning in machine learning systems as they are increasingly deployed in safety-critical domains. A new approach with uncertainty-aware neural networks (NNs), based on learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Nis Meinert , Alexander Lavin

Deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are becoming increasingly popular models to predict neural responses in visual cortex. However, contextual effects, which are prevalent in neural processing and in perception, are not explicitly…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-27 Luis Gonzalo Sanchez Giraldo , Odelia Schwartz

Accurate modelling and quantification of predictive uncertainty is crucial in deep learning since it allows a model to make safer decisions when the data is ambiguous and facilitates the users' understanding of the model's confidence in its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Amine Natik , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

This paper presents a probabilistic framework to obtain both reliable and fast uncertainty estimates for predictions with Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). Our main contribution is a practical and principled combination of DNNs with sparse…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Jongseok Lee , Jianxiang Feng , Matthias Humt , Marcus G. Müller , Rudolph Triebel

This paper addresses the problem of modeling and estimating dynamic multi-valued mappings. While most mathematical models provide a unique solution for a given input, real-world applications often lack deterministic solutions. In such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Geng Li , Di Qiu , Lok Ming Lui

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are often coupled with physics-based models or data-driven surrogate models to perform fault detection and health monitoring of systems in the low data regime. These models serve as digital twins to generate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Laya Das , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have witnessed great successes in semantic segmentation, which requires a large number of labeled data for training. We present a novel learning framework called Uncertainty guided Cross-head Co-training (UCC)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Jiashuo Fan , Bin Gao , Huan Jin , Lihui Jiang

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-10 Marton Havasi , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

Modeling spatial heterogeneity in the data generation process is essential for understanding and predicting geographical phenomena. Despite their prevalence in geospatial tasks, neural network models usually assume spatial stationarity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Hao Guo , Han Wang , Di Zhu , Lun Wu , A. Stewart Fotheringham , Yu Liu

In view of the problems that existing salient object detection (SOD) methods are prone to losing details, blurring edges, and insufficient fusion of single-modal information in complex scenes, this paper proposes a dynamic uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Yuqi Xiong , Wuzhen Shi , Yang Wen , Ruhan Liu

Data-Driven Product Development (DDPD) leverages data to learn the relationship between product design specifications and resulting properties. To discover improved designs, we train a neural network on past experiments and apply Projected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Andrea Thomas Nava , Lijo Johny , Fabio Azzalini , Johannes Schneider , Arianna Casanova

Graph learning (GL) can dynamically capture the distribution structure (graph structure) of data based on graph convolutional networks (GCN), and the learning quality of the graph structure directly influences GCN for semi-supervised…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Guangfeng Lin , Xiaobing Kang , Kaiyang Liao , Fan Zhao , Yajun Chen

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

Recently, numerous deep models have been proposed to enhance the performance of multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Among them, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs)-based methods have shown great potential due to their capability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Jingqi Xu , Guibin Chen , Jingxi Lu , Yuzhang Lin

Modern approaches to supervised learning like deep neural networks (DNNs) typically implicitly assume that observed responses are statistically independent. In contrast, correlated data are prevalent in real-life large-scale applications,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-30 Giora Simchoni , Saharon Rosset