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Uncertainty pervades through the modern robotic autonomy stack, with nearly every component (e.g., sensors, detection, classification, tracking, behavior prediction) producing continuous or discrete probabilistic distributions. Trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Boris Ivanovic , Yifeng Lin , Shubham Shrivastava , Punarjay Chakravarty , Marco Pavone

Robust autonomy stacks require tight integration of perception, motion planning, and control layers, but these layers often inadequately incorporate inherent perception and prediction uncertainties, either ignoring them altogether or making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-06 Venkatraman Renganathan , Sleiman Safaoui , Aadi Kothari , Benjamin Gravell , Iman Shames , Tyler Summers

We investigate how to utilize predictive models for selecting appropriate motion planning strategies based on perception uncertainty estimation for agile unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) navigation tasks. Although there are variety of motion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Onur Akgun , Kamil Canberk Atik , Mustafa Erdem , Mehmetcan Kaymaz , Bugrahan Yamak , N. Kemal Ure

Autonomous cars have to navigate in dynamic environment which can be full of uncertainties. The uncertainties can come either from sensor limitations such as occlusions and limited sensor range, or from probabilistic prediction of other…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-06 Liting Sun , Wei Zhan , Ching-Yao Chan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

The release of nuPlan marks a new era in vehicle motion planning research, offering the first large-scale real-world dataset and evaluation schemes requiring both precise short-term planning and long-horizon ego-forecasting. Existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Daniel Dauner , Marcel Hallgarten , Andreas Geiger , Kashyap Chitta

Autonomous driving systems face the formidable challenge of navigating intricate and dynamic environments with uncertainty. This study presents a unified prediction and planning framework that concurrently models short-term aleatoric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Wenbo Shao , Jiahui Xu , Zhong Cao , Hong Wang , Jun Li

Predictive uncertainty estimation remains a challenging problem precluding the use of deep neural networks as subsystems within safety-critical applications. Aleatoric uncertainty is a component of predictive uncertainty that cannot be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Angel Daruna , Yunye Gong , Abhinav Rajvanshi , Han-Pang Chiu , Yi Yao

Recent advances in autonomous driving are moving towards mapless approaches, where High-Definition (HD) maps are generated online directly from sensor data, reducing the need for expensive labeling and maintenance. However, the reliability…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Zongzheng Zhang , Xuchong Qiu , Boran Zhang , Guantian Zheng , Xunjiang Gu , Guoxuan Chi , Huan-ang Gao , Leichen Wang , Ziming Liu , Xinrun Li , Igor Gilitschenski , Hongyang Li , Hang Zhao , Hao Zhao

Reliable localization is an essential capability for marine robots navigating in GPS-denied environments. SLAM, commonly used to mitigate dead reckoning errors, still fails in feature-sparse environments or with limited-range sensors. Pose…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Ivana Collado-Gonzalez , John McConnell , Jinkun Wang , Paul Szenher , Brendan Englot

High-definition (HD) maps have played an integral role in the development of modern autonomous vehicle (AV) stacks, albeit with high associated labeling and maintenance costs. As a result, many recent works have proposed methods for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Xunjiang Gu , Guanyu Song , Igor Gilitschenski , Marco Pavone , Boris Ivanovic

In this work, we introduce a novel Deep Learning-based method to perceive the environment of a vehicle based on radar scans while accounting for uncertainties in its predictions. The environment of the host vehicle is segmented into equally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Marco Braun , Moritz Luszek , Jan Siegemund , Kevin Kollek , Anton Kummert

For underwater vehicles, robotic applications have the added difficulty of operating in highly unstructured and dynamic environments. Environmental effects impact not only the dynamics and controls of the robot but also the perception and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Jingyu Song , Onur Bagoren , Katherine A. Skinner

Adverse weather conditions and occlusions in urban environments result in impaired perception. The uncertainties are handled in different modules of an automated vehicle, ranging from sensor level over situation prediction until motion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-11-01 Omer Sahin Tas , Christoph Stiller

Real-world autonomous driving systems must make safe decisions in the face of rare and diverse traffic scenarios. Current state-of-the-art planners are mostly evaluated on real-world datasets like nuScenes (open-loop) or nuPlan…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Marcel Hallgarten , Julian Zapata , Martin Stoll , Katrin Renz , Andreas Zell

Off-road autonomous unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) are being developed for military and commercial use to deliver crucial supplies in remote locations, help with mapping and surveillance, and to assist war-fighters in contested…

As autonomous systems increasingly rely on Deep Neural Networks (DNN) to implement the navigation pipeline functions, uncertainty estimation methods have become paramount for estimating confidence in DNN predictions. Bayesian Deep Learning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Fabio Arnez , Ansgar Radermacher , Huascar Espinoza

Traffic prediction is a crucial topic because of its broad scope of applications in the transportation domain. Recently, various studies have achieved promising results. However, most studies assume the prediction locations have complete or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Hao Mei , Junxian Li , Zhiming Liang , Guanjie Zheng , Bin Shi , Hua Wei

Safe autonomous navigation is an essential and challenging problem for robots operating in highly unstructured or completely unknown environments. Under these conditions, not only robotic systems must deal with limited localisation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Èric Pairet , Juan David Hernández , Marc Carreras , Yvan Petillot , Morteza Lahijanian

The availability of a robust map-based localization system is essential for the operation of many autonomously navigating vehicles. Since uncertainty is an inevitable part of perception, it is beneficial for the robustness of the robot to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Kshitij Sirohi , Daniel Büscher , Wolfram Burgard

In this paper, we develop an uncertainty-aware decision-making and motion-planning method for an autonomous ego vehicle in forced merging scenarios, considering the motion uncertainty of surrounding vehicles. The method dynamically captures…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Jian Zhou , Yulong Gao , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk
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