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As LLMs become embedded in research workflows and organizational decision processes, their effect on analytical reliability remains uncertain. We distinguish two dimensions of analytical reliability -- intelligence (the capacity to reach…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-26 Ryan Allen , Aticus Peterson

Estimation of a multivariate regression function from independent and identically distributed data is considered. An estimate is defined which fits a deep neural network consisting of a large number of fully connected neural networks, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Selina Drews , Michael Kohler

Bayesian inference has theoretical attractions as a principled framework for reasoning about beliefs. However, the motivations of Bayesian inference which claim it to be the only 'rational' kind of reasoning do not apply in practice. They…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-14 Sebastian Farquhar

Contemporary AI systems achieve extraordinary performance yet remain opaque and non-verifiable, creating a crisis of trust for safety-critical deployment. We introduce MathLedger, a substrate for verifiable machine cognition that integrates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Ismail Ahmad Abdullah

Ensuring the reliability of automated decision-making based on neural networks will be crucial as Artificial Intelligence systems are deployed more widely in critical situations. This paper proposes a new approach for measuring confidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Daniel Sikar , Artur d'Avila Garcez , Tillman Weyde

In recent years, post-hoc local instance-level and global dataset-level explainability of black-box models has received a lot of attention. Much less attention has been given to obtaining insights at intermediate or group levels, which is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy , Bhanukiran Vinzamuri , Yunfeng Zhang , Amit Dhurandhar

Formal verification has emerged as a promising method to ensure the safety and reliability of neural networks. However, many relevant properties, such as fairness or global robustness, pertain to the entire input space. If one applies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Faried Abu Zaid , Daniel Neider , Mustafa Yalçıner

Deep generative networks provide a powerful tool for modeling complex data in a wide range of applications. In inverse problems that use these networks as generative priors on data, one must often perform inference of the inputs of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Alyson K. Fletcher , Sundeep Rangan

When a network is reconstructed from data, two types of errors can occur: false positive and false negative errors about the presence or absence of links. In this paper, the vertex degree distribution of the true underlying network is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-04-30 Gloria Cecchini , Bjoern Schelter

To interpret uncertainty estimates from differentiable probabilistic models, recent work has proposed generating Counterfactual Latent Uncertainty Explanations (CLUEs). However, for a single input, such approaches could output a variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Dan Ley , Umang Bhatt , Adrian Weller

Deep Neural Networks (DNN) represent a performance-hungry application. Floating-Point (FP) and custom floating-point-like arithmetic satisfies this hunger. While there is need for speed, inference in DNNs does not seem to have any need for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Christoph Lauter , Anastasia Volkova

Neural networks are known to be vulnerable to adversarial attacks, which are small, imperceptible perturbations that can significantly alter the network's output. Conversely, there may exist large, meaningful perturbations that do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Tianqi Cui , Thomas Bertalan , George J. Pappas , Manfred Morari , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Mahyar Fazlyab

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as generators in iterative neural architecture search (NAS), yet no formal convergence theory exists for this class of algorithms. We model iterative LLM-NAS as a parametric Cross-Entropy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Santosh Premi Adhikari , Radu Timofte , Dmitry Ignatov

Learning representations for counterfactual inference from observational data is of high practical relevance for many domains, such as healthcare, public policy and economics. Counterfactual inference enables one to answer "What if...?"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Patrick Schwab , Lorenz Linhardt , Walter Karlen

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Inverse problems exist in a wide variety of physical domains from aerospace engineering to medical imaging. The goal is to infer the underlying state from a set of observations. When the forward model that produced the observations is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Chelsea Sidrane , Sydney Katz , Anthony Corso , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

As LLMs are deployed in high-stakes settings, users must judge the correctness of individual responses, often relying on model-generated justifications such as reasoning chains or explanations. Yet, no standard measure exists for whether…

Uncertainty quantification in a neural network is one of the most discussed topics for safety-critical applications. Though Neural Networks (NNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performance for many applications, they still provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Mehedi Hasan , Abbas Khosravi , Ibrahim Hossain , Ashikur Rahman , Saeid Nahavandi

Supporting model interpretability for complex phenomena where annotators can legitimately disagree, such as emotion recognition, is a challenging machine learning task. In this work, we show that explicitly quantifying the uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Asma Ghandeharioun , Brian Eoff , Brendan Jou , Rosalind W. Picard

This note establishes a theoretical framework for finding (potentially overparameterized) approximations of a function on a compact set with a-priori bounds for the generalization error. The approximation method considered is to choose,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-23 Arthur C. B. de Oliveira , Ruigang Wang , Ian R. Manchester , Eduardo D. Sontag