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We consider the problem of estimating the number of false null hypotheses among a very large number of independently tested hypotheses, focusing on the situation in which the proportion of false null hypotheses is very small. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolai Meinshausen , John Rice

In any parametric inference problem, the robustness of the procedure is a real concern. A procedure which retains a high degree of efficiency under the model and simultaneously provides stable inference under data contamination is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

Linear models are foundational tools in statistics and ubiquitous across the applied sciences. However, conventional statistical inference -- such as $t$-tests and $F$-tests -- are only valid at fixed sample sizes, making them unsuitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Michael Lindon , Dae Woong Ham , Martin Tingley , Iavor Bojinov

The severity of type II errors is frequently ignored when deriving a multiple testing procedure, even though utilizing it properly can greatly help in making correct decisions. This paper puts forward a theory behind developing a multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-25 Li He , Sanat K. Sarkar , Zhigen Zhao

Recent rapid developments in reinforcement learning algorithms have been giving us novel possibilities in many fields. However, due to their exploring property, we have to take the risk into consideration when we apply those algorithms to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Yoshihiro Okawa , Tomotake Sasaki , Hitoshi Yanami , Toru Namerikawa

Outlier hypothesis testing is studied in a universal setting. Multiple sequences of observations are collected, a small subset of which are outliers. A sequence is considered an outlier if the observations in that sequence are distributed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Yun Li , Sirin Nitinawarat , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Sum-based global tests are highly popular in multiple hypothesis testing. In this paper we propose a general closed testing procedure for sum tests, which provides lower confidence bounds for the proportion of true discoveries (TDP),…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-21 Anna Vesely , Livio Finos , Jelle J. Goeman

Distribution testing is a fundamental statistical task with many applications, but we are interested in a variety of problems where systematic mislabelings of the sample prevent us from applying the existing theory. To apply distribution…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Renato Ferreira Pinto , Nathaniel Harms

Permutation tests are a distribution free way of performing hypothesis tests. These tests rely on the condition that the observed data are exchangeable among the groups being tested under the null hypothesis. This assumption is easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-14 Daniell Toth

The plausibility of the ``parallel trends assumption'' in Difference-in-Differences estimation is usually assessed by a test of the null hypothesis that the difference between the average outcomes of both groups is constant over time before…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-18 Holger Dette , Martin Schumann

Minimum divergence methods are popular tools in a variety of statistical applications. We consider tubular model adequacy tests, and demonstrate that the new divergences that are generated in the process are very useful in robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

In many fields of research null hypothesis significance tests and p values are the accepted way of assessing the degree of certainty with which research results can be extrapolated beyond the sample studied. However, there are very serious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Michael Wood

Simultaneous testing of one hypothesis at multiple alpha levels can be performed within a conventional Neyman-Pearson framework. This is achieved by treating the hypothesis as a family of hypotheses, each member of which explicitly concerns…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-01 Janet Aisbett

Null Hypothesis Statistical Testing is a dominant framework for conducting statistical analysis across the sciences. There remains considerable debate as to whether, and under what circumstances, evidence can be said to be confirmatory of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Reid Dale

Knowing when a classifier's prediction can be trusted is useful in many applications and critical for safely using AI. While the bulk of the effort in machine learning research has been towards improving classifier performance,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Heinrich Jiang , Been Kim , Melody Y. Guan , Maya Gupta

In social and biomedical sciences testing in contingency tables often involves order restrictions on cell-probabilities parameters. We develop objective Bayes methods for order-constrained testing and model comparison when observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-24 Roberta Paroli , Guido Consonni

Recently, it is well recognized that hypothesis testing has deep relations with other topics in quantum information theory as well as in classical information theory. These relations enable us to derive precise evaluation in the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-09-25 Masahito Hayashi

An important aspect of multiple hypothesis testing is controlling the significance level, or the level of Type I error. When the test statistics are not independent it can be particularly challenging to deal with this problem, without…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Sandy Clarke , Peter Hall

We analyze different types of simulations that applied researchers can use to assess whether their inference methods reliably control false-positive rates. We show that different assessments involve trade-offs, varying in the types of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-03 Bruno Ferman

Hypothesis testing in singular statistical models is often regarded as inherently problematic due to non-identifiability and degeneracy of the Fisher information. We show that the fundamental obstruction to testing in such models is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Sean Plummer