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Despite being a foundational concept of modern systems theory, there have been few studies on observability of non-linear stochastic systems under partial observations. In this paper, we introduce a definition of observability for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-08 Curtis McDonald , Serdar Yuksel

Using rough path techniques, we provide a priori estimates for the output of Deep Residual Neural Networks in terms of both the input data and the (trained) network weights. As trained network weights are typically very rough when seen as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Nikolas Tapia

Correct prediction of particle transport by surface waves is crucial in many practical applications such as search and rescue or salvage operations and pollution tracking and clean-up efforts. Recent results have indicated transport by…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-26 D. Eeltink , R. Calvert , J. E. Swagemakers , Qian Xiao , T. S. van den Bremer

The synthesis of robust invariant sets for nonlinear systems has traditionally been hindered by the inherent non convexity and a strict reliance on exact analytical models. This paper presents a purely data-driven framework to compute…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Sahand Kiani , Constantino M. Lagoa

We consider a linear stochastic fluid network under Markov modulation, with a focus on the probability that the joint storage level attains a value in a rare set at a given point in time. The main objective is to develop efficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Onno Boxma , Ewan Cahen , David Koops , Michel Mandjes

We present a proof-of-principle implementation of the first fully covariant filtering scheme applied to relativistic fluid turbulence. The filtering is performed with respect to special observers, identified dynamically as moving with the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-01-07 T. Celora , M. J. Hatton , I. Hawke , N. Andersson

State filtering is a key problem in many signal processing applications. From a series of noisy measurement, one would like to estimate the state of some dynamic system. Existing techniques usually adopt a Gaussian noise assumption which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-16 Bin Liu

We develop a stochastic parametrization, based on a `simple' deterministic model for the dynamics of steady longshore currents, that produces ensembles that are statistically consistent with field observations of these currents. Unlike…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-06 Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

We develop a stochastic model for Lagrangian velocity as it is observed in experimental and numerical fully developed turbulent flows. We define it as the unique statistically stationary solution of a causal dynamics, given by a stochastic…

This paper focuses on the performance and the robustness analysis of stochastic jump linear systems. The state trajectory under stochastic jump process becomes random variables, which brings forth the probability distributions in the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Kooktae Lee , Abhishek Halder , Raktim Bhattacharya

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä

Performance analysis of queueing networks is one of the most challenging areas of queueing theory. Barring very specialized models such as product-form type queueing networks, there exist very few results which provide provable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-22 Dimitris Bertsimas , David Gamarnik , Alexander Rikun

Many dynamical systems are subjected to stochastic influences, such as random excitations, noise, and unmodeled behavior. Tracking the system's state and parameters based on a physical model is a common task for which filtering algorithms,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-03 Jan Grashorn , Matteo Broggi , Ludovic Chamoin , Michael Beer

We propose two nonparametric tests for investigating the pathwise properties of a signal modeled as the sum of a L\'{e}vy process and a Brownian semimartingale. Using a nonparametric threshold estimator for the continuous component of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-25 Rama Cont , Cecilia Mancini

The dynamics of biological systems, from proteins to cells to organisms, is complex and stochastic. To decipher their physical laws, we need to bridge between experimental observations and theoretical modeling. Thanks to progress in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-06-05 Pierre Ronceray

A stochastic linear transport equation with multiplicative noise is considered and the question of no-blow-up is investigated. The drift is assumed only integrable to a certain power. Opposite to the deterministic case where smooth initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Ennio Fedrizzi , Franco Flandoli

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

We give an explicit stochastic Hamiltonian model of discontinuous unitary evolution for quantum spontaneous jumps like in a system of atoms in quantum optics, or in a system of quantum particles that interacts singularly with "bubbles"…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 V. P. Belavkin , O. Melsheimer

We investigate the robustness of nonlinear filtering for continuous time finite state Markov chains, observed in white noise, with respect to misspecification of the model parameters. It is shown that the distance between the optimal filter…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pavel Chigansky , Ramon van Handel
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