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In this paper, we consider a Bayesian inverse problem modeled by elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs). Specifically, we propose a data-driven and model-based approach to accelerate the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Sijing Li , Cheng Zhang , Zhiwen Zhang , Hongkai Zhao

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo can provide powerful inference in complex statistical problems, but ultimately its performance is sensitive to various tuning parameters. In this paper we use the underlying geometry of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-03 M. J. Betancourt , Simon Byrne , Mark Girolami

In the last few decades, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been widely applied to Bayesian updating of structural dynamic models in the field of structural health monitoring. Recently, several MCMC algorithms have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-29 Xianghao Meng , James L. Beck , Yong Huang , Hui Li

Sampling occupies an important position in theories of various scientific fields, and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides the most common technique of sampling. In the progress of MCMC, a huge number of studies have aimed the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-20 Akihisa Ichiki , Masayuki Ohzeki

There is substantial empirical evidence about the success of dynamic implementations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), such as the No U-Turn Sampler (NUTS), in many challenging inference problems but theoretical results about their behavior…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-21 Alain Durmus , Samuel Gruffaz , Miika Kailas , Eero Saksman , Matti Vihola

We analyze the mixing time of Metropolized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) with the leapfrog integrator to sample from a distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d$ whose log-density is smooth, has Lipschitz Hessian in Frobenius norm and satisfies…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-12 Yuansi Chen , Khashayar Gatmiry , Minhui Jiang

Bayesian reasoning in linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) is challenging and often requires advanced sampling techniques like Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). A common approach is to write the model in a probabilistic programming language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jinlin Lai , Justin Domke , Daniel Sheldon

This paper presents an adaptive horizon multi-stage model-predictive control (MPC) algorithm. It establishes appropriate criteria for recursive feasibility and robust stability using the theory of input-to-state practical stability (ISpS).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Zawadi Mdoe , Dinesh Krishnamoorthy , Johannes Jäschke

Riemannian manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC) is a sampling algorithm that seeks to adapt proposals to the local geometry of the posterior distribution. The specific form of the Hamiltonian used in RMHMC necessitates {\it…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-22 James A. Brofos , Roy R. Lederman

We study the performance of an automated hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) approach for conditional simulation of a recently proposed, single-parameter Gibbs Markov random field (Gibbs MRF). The MRF is based on a modified version of the planar…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-08 Milan Žukovič , Dionissios T. Hristopulos

Tuning the durations of the Hamiltonian flow in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (also called Hybrid Monte Carlo) (HMC) involves a tradeoff between computational cost and sampling quality, which is typically challenging to resolve in a satisfactory…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Jesus Maria Sanz-Serna

Gaussian latent variable models are a key class of Bayesian hierarchical models with applications in many fields. Performing Bayesian inference on such models can be challenging as Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms struggle with the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-09 Charles C. Margossian , Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Raj Agrawal

In statistical data assimilation (SDA) and supervised machine learning (ML), we wish to transfer information from observations to a model of the processes underlying those observations. For SDA, the model consists of a set of differential…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-22 Zheng Fang , Adrian S. Wong , Kangbo Hao , Alexander J. A. Ty , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

We propose a novel Continuation Multi Level Monte Carlo (CMLMC) algorithm for weak approximation of stochastic models. The CMLMC algorithm solves the given approximation problem for a sequence of decreasing tolerances, ending when the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Nathan Collier , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Fabio Nobile , Erik von Schwerin , Raul Tempone

We establish the geometric ergodicity of the preconditioned Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm defined on an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space, as developed in [Beskos et al., Stochastic Process. Appl., 2011]. This algorithm can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-19 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Cecilia F. Mondaini

Distributed learning methods have gained substantial momentum in recent years, with communication overhead often emerging as a critical bottleneck. Gradient compression techniques alleviate communication costs but involve an inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Ze'ev Zukerman , Bassel Hamoud , Kfir Y. Levy

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is the mainstay of applied Bayesian inference for differentiable models. However, HMC still struggles to sample from hierarchical models that induce densities with multiscale geometry: a large step size is…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-09 Gilad Turok , Chirag Modi , Bob Carpenter

The recent increase in data availability and reliability has led to a surge in the development of learning-based model predictive control (MPC) frameworks for robot systems. Despite attaining substantial performance improvements over their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Kong Yao Chee , Thales C. Silva , M. Ani Hsieh , George J. Pappas

This work introduces an optimization-based locomotion control framework for on-the-fly synthesis of complex dynamic maneuvers. At the core of the proposed framework is a cascaded-fidelity model predictive controller (Cafe-Mpc). Cafe-Mpc…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-15 He Li , Patrick M. Wensing

We present a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for the uncertainty quantification of variably saturated porous media flow that are modeled using the Richards' equation. We propose a stochastic extension for the empirical models that are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Prashant Kumar , Carmen Rodrigo , Francisco J. Gaspar , Cornelis W. Oosterlee
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