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Infection dynamics have been studied extensively on complex networks, yielding insight into the effects of heterogeneity in contact patterns on disease spread. Somewhat separately, metapopulations have provided a paradigm for modeling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-09 Jason Hindes , Sarabjeet Singh , Christopher R. Myers , David J. Schneider

The contact process is an emblematic model of a non-equilibrium system, containing a phase transition between inactive and active dynamical regimes. In the epidemiological context, the model is known as the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-12 Wout Merbis , Clélia de Mulatier , Philippe Corboz

The adoption of prophylaxis attitudes, such as social isolation and use of face masks, to mitigate epidemic outbreaks strongly depends on the support of the population. In this work, we investigate a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-05 Diogo H. Silva , Celia Anteneodo , Silvio C. Ferreira

In this research, we study the propagation patterns of epidemic diseases such as the COVID-19 coronavirus, from a mathematical modeling perspective. The study is based on an extensions of the well-known susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Reza Sameni

We study an individual-based stochastic SIR epidemic model with infection-age dependent infectivity on a large random graph, capturing individual heterogeneity and non-homogeneous connectivity. Each individual is associated with particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux , Aurélien Velleret

Random networks with specified degree distributions have been proposed as realistic models of population structure, yet the problem of dynamically modeling SIR-type epidemics in random networks remains complex. I resolve this dilemma by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

Some recent works reveal that there are models of differential equations for the mean and variance of infected individuals that reproduce the SIS epidemic model at some point. This stochastic SIS epidemic model can be interpreted as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Oğul Esen , Eduardo Fernández-Saiz , Cristina Sardón , Marcin Zając

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard

As global living standards improve and medical technology advances, many infectious diseases have been effectively controlled. However, certain diseases, such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic, continue to pose significant threats to public…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Ayesha Baig , Li Zhouxin

The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Md Abu Talha , Yongjia Xu , Shan Zhao , Weihua Geng

The Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model is one of the standard models of disease spreading. Here we analyse an extended SEIR model that accounts for asymptomatic carriers, believed to play an important role…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-26 Arghya Das , Abhishek Dhar , Srashti Goyal , Anupam Kundu , Saurav Pandey

In this work, we introduce a quantum-inspired epidemic model to study the dynamics of an infectious disease in a population divided into compartments. By treating the healthy population as a large reservoir, we construct a framework based…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Fabio Bagarello , Francesco Gargano , Polina Khrennikova

In this paper, we propose a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, in which each node is assigned with an identical capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step. In contrast to the previous studies, we find that on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Zhi-Wen Shi , Wen-Xu Wang , Tao Zhou

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a formidable global health challenge, driven by complex spatiotemporal transmission dynamics and influenced by factors such as population mobility and behavioral changes. We propose an Epidemic-Guided Deep Learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Madhab Barman , Madhurima Panja , Nachiketa Mishra , Tanujit Chakraborty

We develop and analyze an SIRSD epidemic model, which extends the classical SIR framework by incorporating waning immunity and disease-induced mortality. A rigorous well-posedness analysis ensures the existence, uniqueness, positivity, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Achraf Zinihi , Matthias Ehrhardt , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

Countries around the world implement nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. Design of efficient NPIs requires identification of the structure of the disease transmission network. We here identify the key…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-18 Simon Syga , Diana David-Rus , Yannik Schälte , Michael Meyer-Hermann , Haralampos Hatzikirou , Andreas Deutsch

We consider the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a Euclidean network in one dimension in which nodes at a distance $l$ are connected with probability $P(l) \propto l^{-\delta}$ in addition to nearest neighbors. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-04 Abdul Khaleque , Parongama Sen

The emergence of novel infectious agents presents challenges to statistical models of disease transmission. These challenges arise from limited, poor-quality data and an incomplete understanding of the agent. Moreover, outbreaks manifest…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Jiasheng Shi , Jeffrey S. Morris , David M. Rubin , Jing Huang

We propose a network behavioral-feedback Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model in which the interaction matrix describing the infection rates across subpopulations depends in feedback on the current epidemic state. This model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) which is caused by SARS-COV2 has become a pandemic. This disease is highly infectious and potentially fatal, causing a global public health concern. To contain the spread of COVID-19, governments are adopting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya