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Emergent-scene safety is the key milestone for fully autonomous driving, and reliable on-time prediction is essential to maintain safety in emergency scenarios. However, these emergency scenarios are long-tailed and hard to collect, which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Dingrui Wang , Zheyuan Lai , Yuda Li , Yi Wu , Yuexin Ma , Johannes Betz , Ruigang Yang , Wei Li

We investigate a class of chance-constrained combinatorial optimization problems. Given a pre-specified risk level $\epsilon \in [0,1]$, the chance-constrained program aims to find the minimum cost selection of a vector of binary decisions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Hao-Hsiang Wu , Simge Kucukyavuz

The deployment of safe and trustworthy machine learning systems, and particularly complex black box neural networks, in real-world applications requires reliable and certified guarantees on their performance. The conformal prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Paul Melki , Lionel Bombrun , Boubacar Diallo , Jérôme Dias , Jean-Pierre da Costa

Semantic segmentation networks (SSNs) are central to safety-critical applications such as medical imaging and autonomous driving, where robustness under uncertainty is essential. However, existing probabilistic verification methods often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Navid Hashemi , Samuel Sasaki , Diego Manzanas Lopez , Lars Lindemann , Ipek Oguz , Meiyi Ma , Taylor T. Johnson

Ensuring safety of nonlinear systems under model uncertainty and external disturbances is crucial, especially for real-world control tasks. Predictive methods such as robust model predictive control (RMPC) require solving nonconvex…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-14 Zeyang Li , Chuxiong Hu , Weiye Zhao , Changliu Liu

Supervised classification techniques use training samples to learn a classification rule with small expected 0-1 loss (error probability). Conventional methods enable tractable learning and provide out-of-sample generalization by using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-21 Santiago Mazuelas , Mauricio Romero , Peter Grünwald

Conformal predictions make it possible to define reliable and robust learning algorithms. But they are essentially a method for evaluating whether an algorithm is good enough to be used in practice. To define a reliable learning framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-18 Alberto Carlevaro , Teodoro Alamo Cantarero , Fabrizio Dabbene , Maurizio Mongelli

Consider an edge computing setting in which a user submits queries for the solution of a linear system to an edge processor, which is subject to time-varying computing availability. The edge processor applies a probabilistic linear solver…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-30 Qiushuo Hou , Sangwoo Park , Matteo Zecchin , Yunlong Cai , Guanding Yu , Osvaldo Simeone

This work addresses the ecological-adaptive cruise control problem for connected electric vehicles by a computationally efficient robust control strategy. The problem is formulated in the space-domain with a realistic description of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Sheng Yu , Xiao Pan , Anastasis Georgiou , Boli Chen , Imad M. Jaimoukha , Simos A. Evangelou

This paper presents a new approach to Model Predictive Control for environments where essential, discrete variables are partially observed. Under this assumption, the belief state is a probability distribution over a finite number of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Camille Phiquepal , Marc Toussaint

Confidence calibration has been dominated by the Expected Calibration Error (ECE), a linear metric that counts calibration offset equally regardless of the confidence level at which it occurs. We show that ECE can remain small even under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Fernando Martin-Maroto , Nabil Abderrahaman , Gonzalo G. de Polavieja

High penetration of renewable energy sources and the increasing share of stochastic loads require the explicit representation of uncertainty in tools such as the optimal power flow (OPF). Current approaches follow either a linearized…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Andreas Venzke , Lejla Halilbasic , Uros Markovic , Gabriela Hug , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

This paper considers a risk-constrained infinite-horizon optimal control problem and proposes to solve it in an iterative manner. Each iteration of the algorithm generates a trajectory from the starting point to the target equilibrium state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Alireza Zolanvari , Ashish Cherukuri

This paper presents a novel approach to catheter and line position detection in chest X-rays, combining multi-task learning with risk-sensitive conformal prediction to address critical clinical requirements. Our model simultaneously…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-29 Long Hui

Uncertainty is critical to reliable decision-making with machine learning. Conformal prediction (CP) handles uncertainty by predicting a set on a test input, hoping the set to cover the true label with at least $(1-\alpha)$ confidence. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Rui Xu , Yue Sun , Chao Chen , Parv Venkitasubramaniam , Sihong Xie

In this paper, we propose a novel Mixed-Integer Non-Linear Optimization formulation to construct a risk score, where we optimize the logistic loss with sparsity constraints. Previous approaches are typically designed to handle binary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Cristina Molero-Río , Claudia D'Ambrosio

Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Dennis Ulmer , André F. T. Martins

Probabilistic encoding introduces Gaussian noise into neural networks, enabling a smooth transition from deterministic to uncertain states and enhancing generalization ability. However, the randomness of Gaussian noise distorts point-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Pengjiu Xia , Yidian Huang , Wenchao Wei , Yuwen Tan

Current instance segmentation models achieve high performance on average predictions, but lack principled uncertainty quantification: their outputs are not calibrated, and there is no guarantee that a predicted mask is close to the ground…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Kerri Lu , Dan M. Kluger , Stephen Bates , Sherrie Wang

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is an optimal control algorithm with strong stability and robustness guarantees. Despite its popularity in robotics and industrial applications, the main challenge in deploying MPC is its high computation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-31 Camilo Gonzalez , Houshyar Asadi , Lars Kooijman , Chee Peng Lim