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Improving health in the most disadvantaged populations requires reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators to inform policy and interventions. Low- and middle-income countries with the largest burden of disease and disability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Austin E Schumacher , Jon Wakefield

National statistical institutes in many countries are now mandated to produce reliable statistics for important variables such as population, income, unemployment, health outcomes, etc. for small areas, defined by geography and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-29 Adrijo Chakraborty , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

The last decade has seen an explosion in data sources available for the monitoring and prediction of environmental phenomena. While several inferential methods have been developed that make predictions on the underlying process by combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Eun-Hye Yoo , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael G. Chipeta

In this paper, we study the estimation of partially linear models for spatial data distributed over complex domains. We use bivariate splines over triangulations to represent the nonparametric component on an irregular two-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Min-Jun Lai , Lei Gao

Design-consistent model-assisted estimation has become the standard practice in survey sampling. However, a general theory is lacking so far, which allows one to incorporate modern machine-learning techniques that can lead to potentially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-26 Luis Sanguiao Sande , Li-Chun Zhang

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics collects data using survey instruments under informative sampling designs that assign probabilities of inclusion to be correlated with the response. The bureau extensively uses Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Sanvesh Srivastava

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The odds ratio measure is used in health and social surveys where the odds of a certain event is to be compared between two populations. It is defined using logistic regression, and requires that data from surveys are accompanied by their…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 C. Goga , A Ruiz-Gazen

Motivated by the poor performance of cross-validation in settings where data are scarce, we propose a novel estimator of the out-of-sample performance of a policy in data-driven optimization.Our approach exploits the optimization problem's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Vishal Gupta , Michael Huang , Paat Rusmevichientong

This article considers a robust hierarchical Bayesian approach to deal with random effects of small area means when some of these effects assume extreme values, resulting in outliers. In presence of outliers, the standard Fay-Herriot model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-26 Adrijo Chakraborty , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

In survey sampling, calibration is a very popular tool used to make total estimators consistent with known totals of auxiliary variables and to reduce variance. When the number of auxiliary variables is large, calibration on all the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-15 H. Cardot , C. Goga , M. -A Shehzad

The need for small area estimates is increasingly felt in both the public and private sectors in order to formulate their strategic plans. It is now widely recognized that direct small area survey estimates are highly unreliable owing to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-26 G. Datta , M. Ghosh

We establish a general framework for statistical inferences with non-probability survey samples when relevant auxiliary information is available from a probability survey sample. We develop a rigorous procedure for estimating the propensity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-17 Yilin Chen , Pengfei Li , Changbao Wu

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

We present and apply methodology to improve inference for small area parameters by using data from several sources. This work extends Cahoy and Sedransk (2023) who showed how to integrate summary statistics from several sources. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-12 D Cahoy , J Sedransk

National statistical agencies are regularly required to produce estimates about various subpopulations, formed by demographic and/or geographic classifications, based on a limited number of samples. Traditional direct estimates computed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Shuchi Goyal , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

Estimating characteristics of domains (referred to as small areas) within a population from sample surveys of the population is an important problem in survey statistics. In this paper, we consider model-based small area estimation under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

In surveys, the interest lies in estimating finite population parameters such as population totals and means. In most surveys, some auxiliary information is available at the estimation stage. This information may be incorporated in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

Small area estimation (SAE) entails estimating characteristics of interest for domains, often geographical areas, in which there may be few or no samples available. SAE has a long history and a wide variety of methods have been suggested,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-19 Jon Wakefield , Taylor Okonek , Jon Pedersen

Statistical inference is considered for variables of interest, called primary variables, when auxiliary variables are observed along with the primary variables. We consider the setting of incomplete data analysis, where some primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Shinpei Imori , Hidetoshi Shimodaira