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Federated learning performed by a decentralized networks of agents is becoming increasingly important with the prevalence of embedded software on autonomous devices. Bayesian approaches to learning benefit from offering more information as…
Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…
We introduce Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) for log-linear models including multinomial logistic regression and count regression with zero-inflation and overdispersion. BART has been applied to nonparametric mean regression and…
Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…
International comparisons of hierarchical time series data sets based on survey data, such as annual country-level estimates of school enrollment rates, can suffer from large amounts of missing data due to differing coverage of surveys…
The problem of coverage control, i.e., of coordinating multiple agents to optimally cover an area, arises in various applications. However, coverage applications face two major challenges: (1) dealing with nonlinear dynamics while…
In this work we present full Bayesian inference for a new flexible nonseparable class of cross-covariance functions for multivariate spatial data. A Bayesian test is proposed for separability of covariance functions which is much more…
This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…
Count data with complex features arise in many disciplines, including ecology, agriculture, criminology, medicine, and public health. Zero inflation, spatial dependence, and non-equidispersion are common features in count data. There are…
Multidimensional scaling (MDS) is a widely used approach to representing high-dimensional, dependent data. MDS works by assigning each observation a location on a low-dimensional geometric manifold, with distance on the manifold…
Multi-dimensional functional data arises in numerous modern scientific experimental and observational studies. In this paper we focus on longitudinal functional data, a structured form of multidimensional functional data. Operating within a…
Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…
This paper develops a simple two-stage variational Bayesian algorithm to estimate panel spatial autoregressive models, where N, the number of cross-sectional units, is much larger than T, the number of time periods without restricting the…
Identifying spatial heterogeneous patterns has attracted a surge of research interest in recent years, due to its important applications in various scientific and engineering fields. In practice the spatially heterogeneous components are…
We tackle modelling and inference for variable selection in regression problems with many predictors and many responses. We focus on detecting hotspots, i.e., predictors associated with several responses. Such a task is critical in…
Current analysis of astronomical data are confronted with the daunting task of modeling the awkward features of astronomical data, among which heteroscedastic (point-dependent) errors, intrinsic scatter, non-ignorable data collection…
Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…
We extend the application of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to allow for sampling from probability distributions defined over symmetric or Hermitian positive definite matrices. To do so, we exploit the Riemannian structure induced by Cartan's…
In many applications, the dataset under investigation exhibits heterogeneous regimes that are more appropriately modeled using piece-wise linear models for each of the data segments separated by change-points. Although there have been much…
We consider the problem of spatially dependent areal data, where for each area independent observations are available, and propose to model the density of each area through a finite mixture of Gaussian distributions. The spatial dependence…