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A group of algorithms for estimating the current intensity (CI) of tropical cyclones (TCs), which use infrared and microwave sensor-based images as the input of the algorithm because it is more skilled than each algorithm separately, are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-16 Monu Yadav , Laxminarayan Das

Natural disasters, such as hurricanes and typhoons, pose significant challenges to public safety and infrastructure. While government agencies rely on multi million dollar UAV systems for storm data collection and disaster response, smaller…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Ahmed A. Elgohary , Benjamin Gwinnell , Josh Augustine

Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting is crucial for disaster preparedness and mitigation. While recent deep learning approaches have shown promise, existing methods often treat TC evolution as a series of independent frame-to-frame…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Zhibo Ren , Pritthijit Nath , Pancham Shukla

Tropical cyclone (TC) trajectories are governed by large-scale steering flows with sensitive dependence on initial conditions, raising the question of whether targeted perturbations can induce track deviations. We present a case study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-29 Qin Huang , Moyan Liu , Yeongbin Kwon , Upmanu Lall

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are powerful, natural phenomena that can severely impact populations and infrastructure. Enhancing our understanding of the mechanisms driving their intensification is crucial for mitigating these impacts. To this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-30 Yassine Tissaoui , Stephen R. Guimond , Francis X. Giraldo , Simone Marras

Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) have recently emerged as a compelling alternative to multilayer perceptrons, offering enhanced interpretability via functional decomposition. However, existing KAN architectures, including spline-,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Sidharth S. Menon , Ameya D. Jagtap

Tropical cyclones are one of the most powerful and destructive natural phenomena on earth. Tropical storms and heavy rains can cause floods, which lead to human lives and economic loss. Devastating winds accompanying cyclones heavily affect…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-15 Koushik Biswas , Sandeep Kumar , Ashish Kumar Pandey

As tropical cyclones become more intense due to climate change, the rise of Al-based modelling provides a more affordable and accessible approach compared to traditional methods based on mathematical models. This work leverages generative…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-31 Pritthijit Nath , Pancham Shukla , Shuai Wang , César Quilodrán-Casas

This work introduces Probabilistic Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (P-KAN), a novel probabilistic extension of Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) for time series forecasting. By replacing scalar weights with spline-based functional connections and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Cristian J. Vaca-Rubio , Roberto Pereira , Luis Blanco , Engin Zeydan , Màrius Caus

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) track prediction is crucial for mitigating the catastrophic impacts of TCs on human life and the environment. Despite decades of research on tropical cyclone (TC) track prediction, large errors known as track…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 Haoran Zhao , Shaoqing Zhang , Yang Gao , Lixin Wu , Yihan Cao , Wenju Cai , Bin Wang , L. Ruby Leung , Zebin Lu , Zhong Zhong , Xiaolin Yu , Mingkui Li , Chenyu Zhu

Data scarcity is a primary obstacle in developing robust Machine Learning (ML) models for detecting rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones. Traditional data augmentation techniques (rotation, flipping, brightness adjustment) fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Marawan Yakout , Tannistha Maiti , Monira Majhabeen , Tarry Singh

Accurate cyclone forecasting is essential for minimizing loss of life, infrastructure damage, and economic disruption. Traditional numerical weather prediction models, though effective, are computationally intensive and prone to error due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ethan Zachary Lo , Dan Chie-Tien Lo

Improving statistical forecasts of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is limited by complex nonlinear interactions and difficulty in identifying relevant predictors. Conventional methods prioritize correlation or fit, often overlooking…

Accurate forecasting of Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is crucial for formulating disaster risk reduction strategies. Current methods predominantly rely on limited spatiotemporal information from ERA5 data and neglect the causal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Xinyu Wang , Kang Chen , Lei Liu , Tao Han , Bin Li , Lei Bai

Federated learning (FL), widely used in privacy-critical applications, suffers from limited interpretability, whereas Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) address this limitation via learnable spline functions. However, existing FL studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Seunghun Yu , Youngjoon Lee , Jinu Gong , Joonhyuk Kang

Given the destructive impacts of tropical cyclones, it is critical to have a reliable system for cyclone intensity detection. Various techniques are available for this purpose, each with differing levels of accuracy. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Vikas Dwivedi

Precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause disasters such as flooding, mudslides, and landslides. Predicting such precipitation in advance is crucial, giving people time to prepare and defend against these precipitation-induced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Cheng Huang , Pan Mu , Cong Bai , Peter AG Watson

Predictability analysis, which focuses on perturbation growth dynamic, is a key problem in both weather and climate prediction. Among all perturbations, the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) leads to maximum uncertainties in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Jingchen Pu , Mu Mu , Jie Feng , Hao Li

As the consumption of traditional energy sources intensifies and their adverse environmental impacts become more pronounced, wave energy stands out as a highly promising member of the renewable energy family due to its high energy density,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-25 Huipeng Liu , Zhichao Zhu , Yuan Zhou , Changlu Li

Tropical cyclones (TCs), driven by heat exchange between the air and sea, pose a substantial risk to many communities around the world. Accurate characterization of the subsurface ocean thermal response to TC passage is crucial for accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Addison J. Hu , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee , Donata Giglio , Kimberly M. Wood