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Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics. This paper proposes CaReTS, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Chao Zheng , Xiaofei Han

The integration of large language models (LLMs) with external tools has significantly expanded the capabilities of AI agents. However, as the diversity of both LLMs and tools increases, selecting the optimal model-tool combination becomes a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Jinyang Wu , Guocheng Zhai , Ruihan Jin , Jiahao Yuan , Yuhao Shen , Shuai Zhang , Zhengqi Wen , Jianhua Tao

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

Parallel trajectory optimization via the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) has emerged as a scalable approach to long-horizon motion planning. However, existing frameworks typically decompose the problem into parallel…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Jiajun Yu , Guodong Liu , Li Wang , Pengxiang Zhou , Wentao Liu , Yin He , Chao Xu , Fei Gao , Yanjun Cao

Multivariate time series anomaly detection (MTSAD) aims to accurately identify and localize complex abnormal patterns in the large-scale industrial control systems. While existing approaches excel in recognizing the distinct patterns under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Xuechun Liu , Heli Sun , Xuecheng Wu , Ruichen Cao , Yunyun Shi , Dingkang Yang , Haoran Li

Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sheng Pan , Ming Jin , Bo Du , Shirui Pan

For Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), recent deep learning applications show that univariate models frequently outperform multivariate ones. To address the difficiency in multivariate models, we introduce a method to Construct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

Multivariate time-series forecasting is vital in various domains, e.g., economic planning and weather prediction. Deep train-from-scratch models have exhibited effective performance yet require large amounts of data, which limits real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Ching Chang , Wei-Yao Wang , Wen-Chih Peng , Tien-Fu Chen

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) analysis is crucial to understanding and managing complex systems, such as traffic and energy systems, and a variety of approaches to MTS forecasting have been proposed recently. However, we often observe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Zezhi Shao , Fei Wang , Yongjun Xu , Wei Wei , Chengqing Yu , Zhao Zhang , Di Yao , Tao Sun , Guangyin Jin , Xin Cao , Gao Cong , Christian S. Jensen , Xueqi Cheng

Current time-series forecasting models are primarily based on transformer-style neural networks. These models achieve long-term forecasting mainly by scaling up the model size rather than through genuinely autoregressive (AR) rollout. From…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Zheng Li , Jerry Cheng , Huanying Gu

Irregular multivariate time series forecasting is critical in many real-world applications, where time series are irregularly sampled and exhibit dynamically evolving missingness patterns. Although existing methods perform well in offline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Haonan Wen , Hanyang Chen , Songhe Feng

Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jianxin Liao

In this study, we present aLLM4TS, an innovative framework that adapts Large Language Models (LLMs) for time-series representation learning. Central to our approach is that we reconceive time-series forecasting as a self-supervised,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Yuxuan Bian , Xuan Ju , Jiangtong Li , Zhijian Xu , Dawei Cheng , Qiang Xu

Multivariate time series forecasting often struggles to capture long-range dependencies due to fixed lookback windows. Retrieval-augmented forecasting addresses this by retrieving historical segments from memory, but existing approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Junhyeok Kang , Jun Seo , Soyeon Park , Sangjun Han , Seohui Bae , Hyeokjun Choe , Soonyoung Lee

Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (UDA) leverages labeled source data to train models for unlabeled target data. Given the prevalence of multivariate time series (MTS) data across various domains, the UDA task for MTS classification has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Xiao Lin , Zhichen Zeng , Tianxin Wei , Zhining Liu , Yuzhong chen , Hanghang Tong

Multivariate time series (MTS) are ubiquitous in domains such as healthcare, climate science, and industrial monitoring, but their high dimensionality, limited labeled data, and non-stationary nature pose significant challenges for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Jia Wang , Xiao Wang , Chi Zhang

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

Accurate evaluation of forecasting models is essential for ensuring reliable predictions. Current practices for evaluating and comparing forecasting models focus on summarising performance into a single score, using metrics such as SMAPE.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Roque , Carlos Soares

In the context of time series forecasting, it is a common practice to evaluate multiple methods and choose one of these methods or an ensemble for producing the best forecasts. However, choosing among different ensembles over multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

Time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in critical sectors such as finance, energy, transportation, and meteorology. However, Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) remains a significant challenge because real-world signals contain…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Xiang Ao
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