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We propose a framework for probabilistic forecasting of dynamical systems based on generative modeling. Given observations of the system state over time, we formulate the forecasting problem as sampling from the conditional distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Yifan Chen , Mark Goldstein , Mengjian Hua , Michael S. Albergo , Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We study the design of interpolation schedules in flow and diffusion-based generative models from both statistical and numerical perspectives. Within the stochastic interpolants framework, we first show that scalar interpolation schedules…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yifan Chen , Eric Vanden-Eijnden , Jiawei Xu

A class of generative models that unifies flow-based and diffusion-based methods is introduced. These models extend the framework proposed in Albergo and Vanden-Eijnden (2023), enabling the use of a broad class of continuous-time stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Michael S. Albergo , Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Flow Matching (FM) (also referred to as stochastic interpolants or rectified flows) stands out as a class of generative models that aims to bridge in finite time the target distribution $\nu^\star$ with an auxiliary distribution $\mu$,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Marta Gentiloni Silveri , Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus

We introduce and study a class of probabilistic generative models, where the latent object is a finite-dimensional diffusion process on a finite time interval and the observed variable is drawn conditionally on the terminal point of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-03 Belinda Tzen , Maxim Raginsky

Recently, a series of papers proposed deep learning-based approaches to sample from target distributions using controlled diffusion processes, being trained only on the unnormalized target densities without access to samples. Building on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Lorenz Richter , Julius Berner

We present a method to infer the arbitrary space-dependent drift and diffusion of a nonlinear stochastic model driven by multiplicative fractional Gaussian noise from a single trajectory. Our method, fractional Onsager-Machlup optimisation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-11-07 Johannes A. Kassel , Benjamin Walter , Holger Kantz

In this paper, we consider the nonparametric estimation problem of the drift function of stochastic differential equations driven by $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy motion. First, the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the path probabilities of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan , Jianyu Hu , Xiangjun Wang

We consider the problem to steer a linear dynamical system with full state observation from an initial gaussian distribution in state-space to a final one with minimum energy control. The system is stochastically driven through the control…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou , Michele Pavon

This paper provides an elementary, self-contained analysis of diffusion-based sampling methods for generative modeling. In contrast to existing approaches that rely on continuous-time processes and then discretize, our treatment works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Galen Reeves , Henry D. Pfister

Sampling in score-based diffusion models can be performed by solving either a reverse-time stochastic differential equation (SDE) parameterized by an arbitrary time-dependent stochasticity parameter or a probability flow ODE, corresponding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Bernardo P. Schaeffer , Ricardo M. S. Rosa , Glauco Valle

We address the problem of Schr\"odinger potential estimation, which plays a crucial role in modern generative modelling approaches based on Schr\"odinger bridges and stochastic optimal control for SDEs. Given a simple prior diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Nikita Puchkin , Iurii Pustovalov , Yuri Sapronov , Denis Suchkov , Alexey Naumov , Denis Belomestny

The dynamic Schr\"odinger bridge problem seeks a stochastic process that defines a transport between two target probability measures, while optimally satisfying the criteria of being closest, in terms of Kullback-Leibler divergence, to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-25 Stefano Peluchetti

This paper studies sampling error bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) in the 2-Wasserstein distance. Our contributions are threefold. (i) Under general Lipschitz-type conditions on the score function and for a broad…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yuta Koike

A general method is proposed which allows one to estimate drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic process governed by a Langevin equation. It extends a previously devised approach [R. Friedrich et al., Physics Letters A 271, 217…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich , A. Nawroth , J. Peinke

The method of potential solutions of Fokker-Planck equations is used to develop a transport equation for the joint probability of N coupled stochastic variables with the Dirichlet distribution as its asymptotic solution. To ensure a bounded…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-03-05 J. Bakosi , J. R. Ristorcelli

Learning to sample from intractable distributions over discrete sets without relying on corresponding training data is a central problem in a wide range of fields, including Combinatorial Optimization. Currently, popular deep learning-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Sebastian Sanokowski , Sepp Hochreiter , Sebastian Lehner

Of stochastic differential equations, diffusion processes have been adopted in numerous applications, as more relevant and flexible models. This paper studies diffusion processes in a different setting, where for a given stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Saber Jafarizadeh

An elementary approach to characterizing the impact of noise scheduling and time discretization in generative diffusion models is developed. We first utilize the Cram\'er-Rao bound to identify the Gaussian setting as a fundamental…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Qiang Sun , H. Vincent Poor , Wenyi Zhang

Multiscale spatial structure complicates temporal prediction because small-scale spatial fluctuations influence large-scale evolution, yet resolving all scales is often intractable. Standard diffusion models do not address this problem…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-02 Yuki Yasuda , Tobias Bischoff
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