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We propose a generic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to speed up computations for datasets with many observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-03 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

I outline a signal resampling strategy for aligning event times between time series trials in contexts where significant event times like onsets and offsets vary between trials. These variations prevent direct comparisons of trials in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-02 Eric Easthope

Cross-modal alignment is an important multi-modal task, aiming to bridge the semantic gap between different modalities. The most reliable fundamention for achieving this objective lies in the semantic consistency between matched pairs.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Xiang Ma , Litian Xu , Lexin Fang , Caiming Zhang , Lizhen Cui

Real-life systems often experience regime shifts. An early warning signal (EWS) is a quantity that attempts to anticipate such a regime shift. Because complex systems of practical interest showing regime shifts are often dynamics on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-23 Shilong Yu , Neil G. MacLaren , Naoki Masuda

This paper describes the application of the adaptive whitening filter and the wavelet transform used to detect the abrupt changes in the signals recorded during disturbances in the electrical power network in South Africa. Main focus has…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-03-19 A. Ukil , R. Zivanovic

Change-point detection and estimation procedures have been widely developed in the literature. However, commonly used approaches in change-point analysis have mainly been focusing on detecting change-points within an entire time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Chak Fung Choi , Chunxue Li , Chun Yip Yau , Zifeng Zhao

In this paper we propose a new early warning test statistic, the ratio of deviations (RoD), which is defined to be the root mean squared of successive differences divided by the standard deviation. We show that RoD and autocorrelation are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Andrew Roberts , Sasanka Are

A family of recent successful approaches to few-shot learning relies on learning an embedding space in which predictions are made by computing similarities between examples. This corresponds to combining information between support and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Hugo Prol , Vincent Dumoulin , Luis Herranz

Cross-project defect prediction (CPDP) aims to predict defects of projects lacking training data by using prediction models trained on historical defect data from other projects. However, since the distribution differences between datasets…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Haonan Tong , Bin Liu , Shihai Wang , Qiuying Li

Though symmetry-based indicators formulae are powerful in diagnosing topological states with a gapped band structure at/between any high-symmetry points, it fails in diagnosing topological degeneracies when the compatibility condition is…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-07-15 Tiantian Zhang , Shuichi Murakami

Multivariate time series forecasting has seen widely ranging applications in various domains, including finance, traffic, energy, and healthcare. To capture the sophisticated temporal patterns, plenty of research studies designed complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Tianping Zhang , Yizhuo Zhang , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Xiaohan Yi , Shun Zheng , Jian Li

We introduce a new method to identify phase boundaries in physical systems. It is based on training a predictive model such as a neural network to infer a physical system's parameters from its state. The deviation of the inferred parameters…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-12 Frank Schäfer , Niels Lörch

With increasing penetration of renewable energy and active consumers, control and management of power distribution networks has become challenging. Renewable energy sources can cause random voltage fluctuations as their output power depends…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-26 Mohammad Abujubbeh , Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Timing information in current and future accelerator facilities is important for resolving objects (particle tracks, showers, etc.) in extreme large particles multiplicities on the detection systems. The PICOSEC Micromegas detector has…

Time-series forecasting plays a critical role in many real-world applications. Although increasingly powerful models have been developed and achieved superior results on benchmark datasets, through a fine-grained sample-level inspection, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Zhining Liu , Ze Yang , Xiao Lin , Ruizhong Qiu , Tianxin Wei , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Jingrui He , Hanghang Tong

Sudden transitions in the state of a system are often undesirable in natural and human-made systems. Such transitions under fast variation of system parameters are called rate-induced tipping. We experimentally demonstrate rate-induced…

Applied Physics · Physics 2022-09-15 Induja Pavithran , P. R. Midhun , R. I. Sujith

Time Series Classification (TSC) has drawn a lot of attention in literature because of its broad range of applications for different domains, such as medical data mining, weather forecasting. Although TSC algorithms are designed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Syed Rawshon Jamil

Partially-observed data collected by sampling methods is often being studied to obtain the characteristics of information diffusion networks. However, these methods usually do not consider the behavior of diffusion process. In this paper,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-30 Motahareh Eslami Mehdiabadi , Hamid R. Rabiee , Mostafa Salehi

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful tool for sampling from complex probability distributions. Despite its versatility, MCMC often suffers from strong autocorrelation and the negative sign problem, leading to slowing down the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-05 Synge Todo