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Blockchain technology, with implications in the financial domain, offers data in the form of large-scale transaction networks. Analyzing transaction networks facilitates fraud detection, market analysis, and supports government regulation.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Junliang Luo , Xue Liu

The first half of the paper is devoted to description and implementation of statistical tests arguing for the presence of a Brownian component in the inventories and wealth processes of individual traders. We use intra-day data from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-03 Rene Carmona , Laura Leal

Algorithmic trading is well studied in traditional financial markets. However, it has received less attention in centralized cryptocurrency exchanges. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) attributed the $2010$ flash crash, one of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-28 Paz Grimberg , Tobias Lauinger , Damon McCoy

This study examines the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis for Bitcoin using a feedforward neural network. Due to the increasing popularity of cryptocurrencies in recent years, the question has arisen, as to whether market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-16 Mike Kraehenbuehl , Joerg Osterrieder

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

Minimizing execution costs for large orders is a fundamental challenge in finance. Firms often depend on brokers to manage their trades due to limited internal resources for optimizing trading strategies. This paper presents a methodology…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-05 Zoltan Eisler , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

The aim of this paper is to compare the performances of the optimal strategy under parameters mis-specification and of a technical analysis trading strategy. The setting we consider is that of a stochastic asset price model where the trend…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-03 Ahmed Bel Hadj Ayed , Grégoire Loeper , Frédéric Abergel

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

We examine two different techniques for parameter averaging in GAN training. Moving Average (MA) computes the time-average of parameters, whereas Exponential Moving Average (EMA) computes an exponentially discounted sum. Whilst MA is known…

This study evaluates the performance of 41 machine learning models, including 21 classifiers and 20 regressors, in predicting Bitcoin prices for algorithmic trading. By examining these models under various market conditions, we highlight…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-29 Abdul Jabbar , Syed Qaisar Jalil

This paper will propose a novel machine learning based portfolio management method in the context of the cryptocurrency market. Previous researchers mainly focus on the prediction of the movement for specific cryptocurrency such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Zijiang Yang

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of a novel method called linear law-based feature space transformation (LLT) on the accuracy of intraday price movement prediction of cryptocurrencies. To do this, the 1-minute interval…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

This paper studies the robust optimal gain selection problem for financial trading systems, formulated within a \emph{double linear policy} framework, which allocates capital across long and short positions. The key objective is to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-20 Chung-Han Hsieh

A fractal approach to the long-short portfolio optimization is proposed. The algorithmic system based on the composition of market-neutral spreads into a single entity was considered. The core of the optimization scheme is a fractal walk…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-20 Sergey Kamenshchikov , Ilia Drozdov

We study the out-of-sample properties of robust empirical optimization problems with smooth $\phi$-divergence penalties and smooth concave objective functions, and develop a theory for data-driven calibration of the non-negative "robustness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jun-Ya Gotoh , Michael Jong Kim , Andrew E. B. Lim

Traders adopt different trading strategies to maximize their returns in financial markets. These trading strategies not only results in specific topological structures in trading networks, which connect the traders with the pairwise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-29 Ming-Xia Li , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Xiong Xiong , Wei Zhang , Wei-Xing Zhou

Fluctuations in the stock market rapidly shape the economic world and consumer markets, impacting millions of individuals. Hence, accurately forecasting it is essential for mitigating risks, including those associated with inactivity.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Konstantinos-Leonidas Bisdoulis

We empirically test predictability on asset price by using stock selection rules based on maximum drawdown and its consecutive recovery. In various equity markets, monthly momentum- and weekly contrarian-style portfolios constructed from…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Jaehyung Choi

AI and data driven solutions have been applied to different fields and achieved outperforming and promising results. In this research work we apply k-Nearest Neighbours, eXtreme Gradient Boosting and Random Forest classifiers for detecting…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-14 Mohsen Asgari , Hossein Khasteh

Choosing an appropriate strategy for partitioning data into training and evaluation sets is a critical step in machine learning, yet validation methods are often selected using default or conventional settings without considering their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Zahra Bami , Ali Behnampour , Aniruddha Bora , Hassan Doosti