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We describe a general technique that yields the first {\em Statistical Query lower bounds} for a range of fundamental high-dimensional learning problems involving Gaussian distributions. Our main results are for the problems of (1) learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Seo Taek Kong , R. Srikant

We prove a new generalization bound that shows for any class of linear predictors in Gaussian space, the Rademacher complexity of the class and the training error under any continuous loss $\ell$ can control the test error under all Moreau…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Lijia Zhou , Frederic Koehler , Pragya Sur , Danica J. Sutherland , Nathan Srebro

Recent years have witnessed much progress on Gaussian and bootstrap approximations to the distribution of sums of independent random vectors with dimension $d$ large relative to the sample size $n$. However, for any number of moments $m>2$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

In this article, we obtain a super-exponential rate of convergence in total variation between the traces of the first $m$ powers of an $n\times n$ random unitary matrices and a $2m$-dimensional Gaussian random variable. This generalizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Kurt Johansson , Gaultier Lambert

We propose a lower bound on the log marginal likelihood of Gaussian process regression models that can be computed without matrix factorisation of the full kernel matrix. We show that approximate maximum likelihood learning of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-17 Artem Artemev , David R. Burt , Mark van der Wilk

Given a sequence \xi_1, \xi_2,... of X-valued, exchangeable random elements, let q(\xi^(n)) and p_m(\xi^(n)) stand for posterior and predictive distribution, respectively, given \xi^(n) = (\xi_1,..., \xi_n). We provide an upper bound for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Donato Michele Cifarelli , Emanuele Dolera , Eugenio Regazzini

It is common practice to use Laplace approximations to compute marginal likelihoods in Bayesian versions of generalised linear models (GLM). Marginal likelihoods combined with model priors are then used in different search algorithms to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet , Aliaksadr Hubin

Due to their importance in both data analysis and numerical algorithms, low rank approximations have recently been widely studied. They enable the handling of very large matrices. Tight error bounds for the computationally efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Frank de Hoog , Markus Hegland

We study rates of convergence for estimation of the Gromov-Wasserstein (GW) distance. For two marginals supported on compact subsets of $\R^{d_x}$ and $\R^{d_y}$, respectively, with $\min \{ d_x,d_y \} > 4$, prior work established the rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Kengo Kato , Boyu Wang

The goal of this note is to present a modification of the popular median of means estimator that achieves sub-Gaussian deviation bounds with nearly optimal constants under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. We build on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Stanislav Minsker

We prove that for $c>0$ a sufficiently small universal constant that a random set of $c d^2/\log^4(d)$ independent Gaussian random points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ lie on a common ellipsoid with high probability. This nearly establishes a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Daniel M. Kane , Ilias Diakonikolas

For any integer $m<n$, where $m$ can depend on $n$, we study the rate of convergence of $\frac{1}{\sqrt{m}}\mathrm{Tr} \mathbf{U}^m$ to its limiting Gaussian as $n\to\infty$ for orthogonal, unitary and symplectic Haar distributed random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Klara Courteaut , Kurt Johansson , Gaultier Lambert

Motivated by problems in controlled experiments, we study the discrepancy of random matrices with continuous entries where the number of columns $n$ is much larger than the number of rows $m$. Our first result shows that if $\omega(1) = m =…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Paxton Turner , Raghu Meka , Philippe Rigollet

In this paper, we refine the Berry-Esseen bounds for the multivariate normal approximation of Polyak-Ruppert averaged iterates arising from the linear stochastic approximation (LSA) algorithm with decreasing step size. We consider the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-15 Bogdan Butyrin , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Qi-Man Shao , Zhuo-Song Zhang

In a recent paper, Gaunt 2020 extended Stein's method to limit distributions that can be represented as a function $g:\mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$ of a centered multivariate normal random vector $\Sigma^{1/2}\mathbf{Z}$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-21 Robert E. Gaunt , Heather Sutcliffe

Let $(g_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) $d\times d$ real random matrices. For $n\geq 1$ set $G_n = g_n \ldots g_1$. Given any starting point $x=\mathbb R v\in\mathbb{P}^{d-1}$, consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

We derive a new lower bound on the success probability of the Pretty Good Measurement (PGM) for worst-case quantum state discrimination among $m$ pure states. Our bound is strictly tighter than the previously known Gram-matrix-based bound…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-27 Sergio Escobar , Austin Pechan

The Bernstein-von Mises theorem (BvM) gives conditions under which the posterior distribution of a parameter $\theta\in\Theta\subseteq\mathbb R^d$ based on $n$ independent samples is asymptotically normal. In the high-dimensional regime, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Anya Katsevich

We investigate a possible extension of probabilistic well-posedness theory of nonlinear dispersive PDEs with random initial data beyond variance blowup. As a model equation, we study the Benjamin-Bona-Mahony equation (BBM) with Gaussian…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Guopeng Li , Jiawei Li , Tadahiro Oh , Nikolay Tzvetkov