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The problem of inferring pair-wise and higher-order interactions in complex systems involving large numbers of interacting variables, from observational data, is fundamental to many fields. Known to the statistical physics community as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-01 Sjoerd Viktor Beentjes , Ava Khamseh

By formulating the inverse problem of partial differential equations (PDEs) as a statistical inference problem, the Bayesian approach provides a general framework for quantifying uncertainties. In the inverse problem of PDEs, parameters are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Haoyu Lu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng

The numerical solution of differential equations can be formulated as an inference problem to which formal statistical approaches can be applied. However, nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) pose substantial challenges from an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Oksana Chkrebtii , T. J. Sullivan , Chris. J. Oates

A way to lower computational cost in large scale inverse problems and problems depending on poorly known model parameters is to replace the detailed model by an approximate one. Inverse problems are typically ill-posed, and the model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

The Bayesian approach to solving inverse problems relies on the choice of a prior. This critical ingredient allows the formulation of expert knowledge or physical constraints in a probabilistic fashion and plays an important role for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-08 Manuel Marschall , Gerd Wübbeler , Franko Schmähling , Clemens Elster

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

Numerical simulations of physical systems exhibit discrepancies arising from unmodeled physics and idealizations, as well as numerical approximation errors stemming from discretization and solver tolerances. This article reviews techniques…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-23 Danny Smyl

In the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, data are often informative, relative to the prior, only on a low-dimensional subspace of the parameter space. Significant computational savings can be achieved by using this subspace to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Alessio Spantini , Antti Solonen , Tiangang Cui , James Martin , Luis Tenorio , Youssef Marzouk

We consider the efficient inference of finite dimensional parameters arising in the context of inverse problems. Our setup is the observation of a transformation of an unknown infinite dimensional signal $f$ corrupted by statistical noise,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Adel Magra , Aad van der Vaart

We consider the ill-posed inverse problem of identifying a nonlinearity in a time-dependent PDE model. The nonlinearity is approximated by a neural network, and needs to be determined alongside other unknown physical parameters and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Barbara Kaltenbacher , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

We consider the statistical linear inverse problem of making inference on an unknown source function in an elliptic partial differential equation from noisy observations of its solution. We employ nonparametric Bayesian procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Matteo Giordano

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

We consider goal-oriented optimal design of experiments for infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). Specifically, we seek sensor placements that minimize the posterior…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-13 J. Nicholas Neuberger , Alen Alexanderian , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

In a given problem, the Bayesian statistical paradigm requires the specification of a prior distribution that quantifies relevant information about the unknowns of main interest external to the data. In cases where little such information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-11 Alexander Terenin , David Draper

Regularization methods are a key tool in the solution of inverse problems. They are used to introduce prior knowledge and make the approximation of ill-posed (pseudo-)inverses feasible. In the last two decades interest has shifted from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Martin Benning , Martin Burger

We explore probability modelling of discretization uncertainty for system states defined implicitly by ordinary or partial differential equations. Accounting for this uncertainty can avoid posterior under-coverage when likelihoods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Oksana A. Chkrebtii , David A. Campbell , Ben Calderhead , Mark A. Girolami

Clustering is a crucial task in various domains of knowledge, including medicine, epidemiology, genomics, environmental science, economics, and visual sciences, among others. Methodologies for inferring the number of clusters have often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Clara Grazian

Discrete state spaces represent a major computational challenge to statistical inference, since the computation of normalisation constants requires summation over large or possibly infinite sets, which can be impractical. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

In geophysics, inverse modelling can be applied to a wide range of goals, including, for instance, mapping the distribution of rock physical parameters in applied geophysics and calibrating models to forecast the behaviour of natural…

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