Related papers: Detecting Network Instability via Multiscale Detre…
Disordered elastic networks provide a framework for describing a wide variety of physical systems, ranging from amorphous solids, through polymeric fibrous materials to confluent cell tissues. In many cases, such networks feature two widely…
Network connections, both across and within markets, are central in countless economic contexts. In recent decades, a large literature has developed and applied flexible methods for measuring network connectedness and its evolution, based…
The DebtRank algorithm has been increasingly investigated as a method to estimate the impact of shocks in financial networks, as it overcomes the limitations of the traditional default-cascade approaches. Here we formulate a dynamical…
In this short report, we investigate the ability of the DCCA coefficient to measure correlation level between non-stationary series. Based on a wide Monte Carlo simulation study, we show that the DCCA coefficient can estimate the…
Providing optimal portfolio selection for investors has always been one of the hot topics in academia. In view of the traditional portfolio model could not adapt to the actual capital market and can provide erroneous results. This paper…
Signed graphs are widely used to analyze complex systems such as social, political, and biological networks. The notion of balance, a key concept of signed graphs, reflects the stability of relationships. While it has been extensively…
Node clustering is a powerful tool in the analysis of networks. We introduce a graph neural network framework, named DIGRAC, to obtain node embeddings for directed networks in a self-supervised manner, including a novel probabilistic…
In this paper, we consider a nonlinear networked control system (NCS) in which controllers, sensors and actuators are connected via several communication links. In each link, networking effects such as the transmission delay, packet loss,…
Plastic deformation of micron-scale crystalline solids exhibits stress-strain curves with significant sample-to-sample variations. It is a pertinent question if this variability is purely random or to some extent predictable. Here we show,…
Resilience characterizes a system's ability to retain its original function when perturbations happen. In the past years our attention mainly focused on small-scale resilience, yet our understanding of resilience in large-scale network…
A reliable supply with electric power is vital for our society. Transmission line failures are among the biggest threats for power grid stability as they may lead to a splitting of the grid into mutual asynchronous fragments. New conceptual…
Systematic investment strategies are exposed to a subtle but pervasive vulnerability: the progressive erosion of their effectiveness as market regimes change. Traditional risk measures, designed to capture volatility or drawdowns, overlook…
We introduce the Dynamic Conditional SKEPTIC (DCS), a semiparametric approach for efficiently and robustly estimating time-varying correlations in multivariate models. We exploit nonparametric rank-based statistics, namely Spearman's rho…
Dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) is a method that estimates the correlation between two time series across time. Although used primarily in finance so far, DCC has been proposed recently as a model-based estimation method for…
We devise a Monte Carlo based method for detecting whether a non-negative Markov chain is stable for a given set of parameter values. More precisely, for a given subset of the parameter space, we develop an algorithm that is capable of…
We propose a novel approach to estimate high-dimensional global bank network connectedness in both the time and frequency domains. By employing a factor model with sparse VAR idiosyncratic components, we decompose system-wide connectedness…
In this paper, we study the form over the minimum spanning tree problem (MST) from which we will derive an intuitively generalized model and new methods with the upper bound of runtimes of logarithm. The new pattern we made has taken…
The loss and the norm of its gradient separate the healthy and the pathological regimes of neural-network training only weakly, whilst the curvature of the empirical risk differs qualitatively between them but is inaccessible explicitly at…
One of the most challenging aspects in the analysis and modelling of financial markets, including Credit Default Swap (CDS) markets, is the presence of an emergent, intermediate level of structure standing in between the microscopic…
Electricity systems are experiencing increased effects of randomness and variability due to emerging stochastic assets. The increased effects introduce new uncertainties into power systems that can impact system operability and reliability.…