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In Causal Bayesian Optimization (CBO), an agent intervenes on an unknown structural causal model to maximize a downstream reward variable. In this paper, we consider the generalization where other agents or external events also intervene on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Scott Sussex , Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Anastasiia Makarova , Andreas Krause

We propose constrained causal Bayesian optimization (cCBO), an approach for finding interventions in a known causal graph that optimize a target variable under some constraints. cCBO first reduces the search space by exploiting the graph…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-14 Virginia Aglietti , Alan Malek , Ira Ktena , Silvia Chiappa

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sequential approach for optimizing black-box objective functions using zeroth-order noisy observations. In BO, Gaussian processes (GPs) are employed as probabilistic surrogate models to estimate the objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Dongwon Kim , Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Joonhyuk Kang , Osvaldo Simeone

We consider the general problem of online convex optimization with time-varying additive constraints in the presence of predictions for the next cost and constraint functions. A novel primal-dual algorithm is designed by combining a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Daron Anderson , George Iosifidis , Douglas J. Leith

Discovering optimal designs through sequential data collection is essential in many real-world applications. While Bayesian Optimization (BO) has achieved remarkable success in this setting, growing attention has recently turned to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Chih-Yu Chang , Qiyuan Chen , Tianhan Gao , David Fenning , Chinedum Okwudire , Neil Dasgupta , Wei Lu , Raed Al Kontar

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a popular framework for optimizing black-box functions. Despite its effectiveness, BO is often inefficient for high-dimensional problems due to the exponential growth of the search space, heterogeneity of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Sourav Das , Debjani Chakraborty , Pabitra Mitra

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used framework for optimizing expensive black-box functions, commonly based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models. Its effectiveness relies on uncertainty quantification that is both sharp…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Marshal Arijona Sinaga , Julien Martinelli , Teemu Turpeinen , Samuel Kaski

Adaptive robust optimization problems have received significant attention in recent years, but remain notoriously difficult to solve when recourse decisions are discrete in nature. In this paper, we propose new reformulation techniques for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Merve Bodur , Timothy C. Y. Chan , Ian Yihang Zhu

Preferential Bayesian optimization (PBO) is a variant of Bayesian optimization that observes relative preferences (e.g., pairwise comparisons) instead of direct objective values, making it especially suitable for human-in-the-loop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Koki Iwai , Yusuke Kumagae , Yuki Koyama , Masahiro Hamasaki , Masataka Goto

Bayesian optimisation (BO) is a surrogate-based optimisation technique that efficiently solves expensive black-box functions with small evaluation budgets. Recent studies consider trust regions to improve the scalability of BO approaches…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Kokila Kasuni Perera , Frank Neumann , Aneta Neumann

Contextual Bayesian Optimization (CBO) efficiently optimizes black-box functions with respect to design variables, while simultaneously integrating contextual information regarding the environment, such as experimental conditions. However,…

Traffic simulation and digital-twin calibration is a challenging optimization problem with a limited simulation budget. Each trial requires an expensive simulation run, and the relationship between calibration inputs and model error is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Abhilasha Saroj , Shaked Regev , Guanhao Xu , Jinghui Yuan , Roy Luo , Ross Wang

This paper studies the problem of online performance optimization of constrained closed-loop control systems, where both the objective and the constraints are unknown black-box functions affected by exogenous time-varying contextual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Wenjie Xu , Yuning Jiang , Bratislav Svetozarevic , Colin N. Jones

This paper is concerned with online targeted advertising on social networks. The main technical task we address is to estimate the activation probability for user pairs, which quantifies the influence one user may have on another towards…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Tsuyoshi Idé , Keerthiram Murugesan , Djallel Bouneffouf , Naoki Abe

How should we intervene on an unknown structural equation model to maximize a downstream variable of interest? This setting, also known as causal Bayesian optimization (CBO), has important applications in medicine, ecology, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Scott Sussex , Anastasiia Makarova , Andreas Krause

Bayesian optimization (BO) iteratively fits a Gaussian process (GP) surrogate to accumulated evaluations and selects new queries via an acquisition function such as expected improvement (EI). In practice, BO often concentrates evaluations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Jiguang Li , Hengrui Luo

In decision-making problems, the outcome of an intervention often depends on the causal relationships between system components and is highly costly to evaluate. In such settings, causal Bayesian optimization (CBO) can exploit the causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Shriya Bhatija , Paul-David Zuercher , Jakob Thumm , Thomas Bohné

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an efficient framework for optimization of black-box objectives when function evaluations are costly and gradient information is not easily accessible. BO has been successfully applied to automate the task of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Pallavi Mitra , Felix Biessmann

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular method to optimize costly black-box functions. While traditional BO optimizes each new target task from scratch, meta-learning has emerged as a way to leverage knowledge from related tasks to optimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Jiarong Pan , Stefan Falkner , Felix Berkenkamp , Joaquin Vanschoren

This paper studies the problem of globally optimizing a variable of interest that is part of a causal model in which a sequence of interventions can be performed. This problem arises in biology, operational research, communications and,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-27 Virginia Aglietti , Xiaoyu Lu , Andrei Paleyes , Javier González
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