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Bitcoin represents one of the most interesting technological breakthroughs and socio-economic experiments of the last decades. In this paper, we examine the role of speculative bubbles in the process of Bitcoin's technological adoption by…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Tobias A. Huber , Didier Sornette

This paper presents a comprehensive refutation of the so-called "blockchain trilemma," a widely cited but formally ungrounded claim asserting an inherent trade-off between decentralisation, security, and scalability in blockchain protocols.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Craig Wright

The blockchain paradigm provides a mechanism for content dissemination and distributed consensus on Peer-to-Peer (P2P) networks. While this paradigm has been widely adopted in industry, it has not been carefully analyzed in terms of its…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Aditya Gopalan , Abishek Sankararaman , Anwar Walid , Sriram Vishwanath

Bitcoin is the most secure blockchain in the world, supported by the immense hash power of its Proof-of-Work miners. Proof-of-Stake chains are energy-efficient, have fast finality but face several security issues: susceptibility to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Ertem Nusret Tas , David Tse , Fangyu Gai , Sreeram Kannan , Mohammad Ali Maddah-Ali , Fisher Yu

This letter investigates the dynamic relationship between market efficiency, liquidity, and multifractality of Bitcoin. We find that before 2013 liquidity is low and the Hurst exponent is less than 0.5, indicating that the Bitcoin time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-16 Tetsuya Takaishi , Takanori Adachi

Define the non-overlapping return time of a random process to be the number of blocks that we wait before a particular block reappears. We prove a Central Limit Theorem based on these return times. This result has applications to entropy…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Oliver Johnson

In this brief review, we critically examine the recent work done on correlation-based networks in financial systems. The structure of empirical correlation matrices constructed from the financial market data changes as the individual stock…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-21 Vishwas Kukreti , Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Priya Gupta , Sunil Kumar

Many large decentralized systems rely on information propagation to ensure their proper function. We examine a common scenario in which only participants that are aware of the information can compete for some reward, and thus informed…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-10 Moshe Babaioff , Shahar Dobzinski , Sigal Oren , Aviv Zohar

Based on 1-minute price changes recorded since year 2012, the fluctuation properties of the rapidly-emerging Bitcoin (BTC) market are assessed over chosen sub-periods, in terms of return distributions, volatility autocorrelation, Hurst…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-20 Stanisław Drożdż , Robert Gębarowski , Ludovico Minati , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marcin Wątorek

Since its 2009 genesis block, the Bitcoin network has processed >1.08 billion (B) transactions representing >8.72B BTC, offering rich potential for machine learning (ML); yet, its pseudonymity and obscured flow of funds inherent in its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Vahid Jalili

The behaviour of Bitcoin owners is reflected in the structure and the number of bitcoin transactions encoded in the Blockchain. Likewise, the behaviour of Bitcoin traders is reflected in the formation of bullish and bearish trends in the…

This paper analyses the high-frequency intraday Bitcoin dataset from 2019 to 2022. During this time frame, the Bitcoin market index exhibited two distinct periods, 2019-20 and 2021-22, characterized by an abrupt change in volatility. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Yaoyue Tang , Karina Arias-Calluari , M. N. Najafi , Michael S. Harré , Fernando Alonso-Marroquin

This paper develops a model to evaluate the viability of blockchain markets as the sole venue for price formation. Blockchains clear at discrete intervals called block time, and transactions are executed sequentially according to priority…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Agostino Capponi , Álvaro Cartea , Fayçal Drissi

Blockchains are distributed data structures that are used to achieve consensus in systems for cryptocurrencies (like Bitcoin) or smart contracts (like Ethereum). Although blockchains gained a lot of popularity recently, there is no…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-07-07 Kai Brünnler , Dandolo Flumini , Thomas Studer

Bitcoin has been subject to illicit activities more often than probably any other financial assets, due to the pseudo-anonymous nature of its transacting entities. An ideal detection model is expected to achieve all the three properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Ling Cheng , Feida Zhu , Yong Wang , Huiwen Liu

Most public blockchain protocols, including the popular Bitcoin and Ethereum blockchains, do not formally specify the order in which miners should select transactions from the pool of pending (or uncommitted) transactions for inclusion in…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Johnnatan Messias , Mohamed Alzayat , Balakrishnan Chandrasekaran , Krishna P. Gummadi , Patrick Loiseau , Alan Mislove

Longest-chain blockchain protocols, such as Bitcoin, guarantee liveness even when the number of actively participating users is variable, i.e., they are adaptive. However, they are not safe under network partitions, i.e., they do not…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Suryanarayana Sankagiri , Xuechao Wang , Sreeram Kannan , Pramod Viswanath

We review the behaviour of the Gibbs' and conditional entropies in deterministic and stochastic systems and continue to a formulation appropriate for a stochastically perturbed system with delayed dynamics. The underlying question driving…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-06-24 Michael C. Mackey , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

Clients of permissionless blockchain systems, like Bitcoin, rely on an underlying peer-to-peer network to send and receive transactions. It is critical that a client is connected to at least one honest peer, as otherwise the client can be…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Bithin Alangot , Daniel Reijsbergen , Sarad Venugopalan , Pawel Szalachowski

This paper proposes a classification model for predicting the main activity of bitcoin addresses based on their balances. Since the balances are functions of time, we apply methods from functional data analysis; more specifically, the…