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In this paper, we propose an interpretable LSTM recurrent neural network, i.e., multi-variable LSTM for time series with exogenous variables. Currently, widely used attention mechanism in recurrent neural networks mostly focuses on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Tian Guo , Tao Lin , Yao Lu

In this paper we propose a Kronecker-based modeling for identifying the spatial-temporal dynamics of large sensor arrays. The class of Kronecker networks is defined for which we formulate a Vector Autoregressive model. Its…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Baptiste Sinquin , Michel Verhaegen

This paper introduces a multi-way tensor generalization of the Bigraphical Lasso (BiGLasso), which uses a two-way sparse Kronecker-sum multivariate-normal model for the precision matrix to parsimoniously model conditional dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Kristjan Greenewald , Shuheng Zhou , Alfred Hero

Time series forecasting is a significant problem in many applications, e.g., financial predictions and business optimization. Modern datasets can have multiple correlated time series, which are often generated with global (shared)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Ling Chen , Weiqi Chen , Binqing Wu , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

A central challenge in neuroscience is understanding how neural system implements computation through its dynamics. We propose a nonlinear time series model aimed at characterizing interpretable dynamics from neural trajectories. Our model…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-28 Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

Dynamic spatial graph construction is a challenge in graph neural network (GNN) for time series data problems. Although some adaptive graphs are conceivable, only a 2D graph is embedded in the network to reflect the current spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-20 Chengcheng Jia , Bo Wu , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Spatiotemporal forecasting on transportation networks is a complex task that requires understanding how traffic nodes interact within a dynamic, evolving system dictated by traffic flow dynamics and social behavioral patterns. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Christopher Cheong , Gary Davis , Seongjin Choi

In many scientific problems such as video surveillance, modern genomics, and finance, data are often collected from diverse measurements across time that exhibit time-dependent heterogeneous properties. Thus, it is important to not only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-10 Lin Qiu , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Lin Lin

The development of robust generative models for highly varied non-stationary time series data is a complex yet important problem. Traditional models for time series data prediction, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), are inefficient and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Anton Johansson , Arunselvan Ramaswamy

The high-resolution time series classification problem is essential due to the increasing availability of detailed temporal data in various domains. To tackle this challenge effectively, it is imperative that the state-of-the-art attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Aosong Feng , Jialin Chen , Juan Garza , Brooklyn Berry , Francisco Salazar , Yifeng Gao , Rex Ying , Leandros Tassiulas

Tensor factorization is a powerful tool to analyse multi-way data. Compared with traditional multi-linear methods, nonlinear tensor factorization models are capable of capturing more complex relationships in the data. However, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Shandian Zhe , Kai Zhang , Pengyuan Wang , Kuang-chih Lee , Zenglin Xu , Yuan Qi , Zoubin Ghahramani

In this paper, we study time-varying graphical models based on data measured over a temporal grid. Such models are motivated by the needs to describe and understand evolving interacting relationships among a set of random variables in many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-12 Jilei Yang , Jie Peng

This work aims to help resolve the two main stumbling blocks in the application of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), that is, the exceedingly large number of trainable parameters and their physical interpretability. This is achieved through a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Giuseppe G. Calvi , Ahmad Moniri , Mahmoud Mahfouz , Qibin Zhao , Danilo P. Mandic

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

Recent research has challenged the necessity of complex deep learning architectures for time series forecasting, demonstrating that simple linear models can often outperform sophisticated approaches. Building upon this insight, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Remi Genet , Hugo Inzirillo

Learning the dynamics of complex systems features a large number of applications in data science. Graph-based modeling and inference underpins the most prominent family of approaches to learn complex dynamics due to their ability to capture…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-06 Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Daniel Romero , Bakht Zaman , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

The time series classification literature has expanded rapidly over the last decade, with many new classification approaches published each year. Prior research has mostly focused on improving the accuracy and efficiency of classifiers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Thach Le Nguyen , Severin Gsponer , Iulia Ilie , Martin O'Reilly , Georgiana Ifrim

This work introduces a tensor-based method to perform supervised classification on spatiotemporal data processed in an echo state network. Typically when performing supervised classification tasks on data processed in an echo state network,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-25 Ashley Prater

Temporal knowledge graph completion (TKGC) aims to fill in missing facts within a given temporal knowledge graph at a specific time. Existing methods, operating in real or complex spaces, have demonstrated promising performance in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Li Cai , Xin Mao , Zhihong Wang , Shangqing Zhao , Yuhao Zhou , Changxu Wu , Man Lan