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We study finite horizon reachable set estimation for unknown discrete-time dynamical systems using only sampled state trajectories. Rather than treating scenario optimization as a black-box tool, we show how it can be tailored to reachable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Georgios Pantazis , Michelle S. Chong

We consider synthesis and analysis of probability measures using the entropy-regularized Wasserstein-2 cost and its unbiased version, the Sinkhorn divergence. The synthesis problem consists of computing the barycenter, with respect to these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Brendan Mallery , James M. Murphy , Shuchin Aeron

We study sparse optimal control of a non-local continuity equation, where the goal is to steer a distribution via finitely many controllable agents or actuators. This model arises naturally in mean-field multi-agent systems and takes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Enrico Sartor , Florian Dörfler , Nicolas Lanzetti

In the field of modern high-energy physics research, there is a growing emphasis on utilizing deep learning techniques to optimize event simulation, thereby expanding the statistical sample size for more accurate physical analysis.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-16 Chu-Cheng Pan , Xiang Dong , Yu-Chang Sun , Ao-Yan Cheng , Ao-Bo Wang , Yu-Xuan Hu , Hao Cai

We consider data-driven approaches that integrate a machine learning prediction model within distributionally robust optimization (DRO) given limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates. Our framework is flexible in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

Entropic optimal transport problems play an increasingly important role in machine learning and generative modelling. In contrast with optimal transport maps which often have limited applicability in high dimensions, Schrodinger bridges can…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra

The Gromov-Wasserstein (GW) distance quantifies discrepancy between metric measure spaces and provides a natural framework for aligning heterogeneous datasets. Alas, as exact computation of GW alignment is NP hard, entropic regularization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Gabriel Rioux , Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), which aims to find an optimal decision that minimizes the worst case cost over the ambiguity set of probability distribution, has been widely applied in diverse applications, e.g., network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Yang Jiao , Kai Yang , Dongjin Song

The nested distance builds on the Wasserstein distance to quantify the difference of stochastic processes, including also the information modelled by filtrations. The Sinkhorn divergence is a relaxation of the Wasserstein distance, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Alois Pichler , Michael Weinhardt

A robust observer for performing power system dynamic state estimation (DSE) of a synchronous generator is proposed. The observer is developed using the concept of $\mathcal{L}_{\infty}$ stability for uncertain, nonlinear dynamic generator…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-19 Sebastian Nugroho , Ahmad F. Taha , Junjian Qi

This paper studies a distributionally robust chance constrained program (DRCCP) with Wasserstein ambiguity set, where the uncertain constraints should be satisfied with a probability at least a given threshold for all the probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Weijun Xie

Distribution shifts and minority subpopulations frequently undermine the reliability of deep neural networks trained using Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM). Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) addresses this by optimizing for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Aheer Sravon , Devdyuti Mazumder , Md. Ibrahim

The lower the distortion of an estimator, the more the distribution of its outputs generally deviates from the distribution of the signals it attempts to estimate. This phenomenon, known as the perception-distortion tradeoff, has captured…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-07 Dror Freirich , Tomer Michaeli , Ron Meir

The Wasserstein distance has emerged as a key metric to quantify distances between probability distributions, with applications in various fields, including machine learning, control theory, decision theory, and biological systems.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Luca Laurenti

In 2012, Pflug and Pichler proved, under regularity assumptions, that the value function in Multistage Stochastic Programming (MSP) is Lipschitz continuous w.r.t. the Nested Distance, which is a distance between scenario trees (or discrete…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Zheng Qu , Benoît Tran

The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Simulation-based inference with neural posterior estimation (NPE) often yields overconfident and unreliable posteriors under limited simulation budgets. To address this, we propose DRO-NPE, a distributionally robust approach that replaces…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 William Laplante , Yuga Hikida , Charita Dellaporta , François-Xavier Briol , Ayush Bharti

We study the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) in a dynamic context where the model uncertainty is captured by penalizing potential models in function of their adapted Wasserstein distance to a given reference model. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Yifan Jiang

Differential dynamic programming (DDP) is a popular technique for solving nonlinear optimal control problems with locally quadratic approximations. However, existing DDP methods are not designed for stochastic systems with unknown…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-18 Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

Robust optimization is a tractable and expressive technique for decision-making under uncertainty, but it can lead to overly conservative decisions when pessimistic assumptions are made on the uncertain parameters. Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Irina Wang , Cole Becker , Bart Van Parys , Bartolomeo Stellato