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Modern power networks face increasing vulnerability to cascading failures due to high complexity and the growing penetration of intermittent resources, necessitating rigorous security assessment beyond the conventional $N-1$ criterion.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-10 Alexandre Gracia-Calvo , Francesca Rossi , Eduardo Iraola , Juan Carlos Olives-Camps , Eduardo Prieto-Araujo

Though black-box predictors are state-of-the-art for many complex tasks, they often fail to properly quantify predictive uncertainty and may provide inappropriate predictions for unfamiliar data. Instead, we can learn more reliable models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-14 Jean Feng , Arjun Sondhi , Jessica Perry , Noah Simon

Determining contingency aware dispatch decisions by solving a security-constrained optimal power flow (SCOPF) is challenging for real-world power systems, as the high problem dimensionality often leads to impractical computational…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-19 Richard Weinhold , Robert Mieth

Uncertainty quantification is essential for deploying machine learning models in high-stakes domains such as scientific discovery and healthcare. Conformal Prediction (CP) provides finite-sample coverage guarantees under exchangeability, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Siddhartha Laghuvarapu , Rohan Deb , Jimeng Sun

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have demonstrated remarkable effectiveness on graph-based tasks. However, their predictive confidence is often miscalibrated, typically exhibiting under-confidence, which harms the reliability of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Jincheng Huang , Jie Xu , Xiaoshuang Shi , Ping Hu , Lei Feng , Xiaofeng Zhu

Given a black-box AI system and a task, at what confidence level can a practitioner trust the system's output? We answer with a reliability level -- a single number per system-task pair, derived from self-consistency sampling and conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Charafeddine Mouzouni

Accurate distribution grid topology is essential for reliable modern grid operations. However, real-world utility data originates from multiple sources with varying characteristics and levels of quality. In this work, developed in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Haoran Li , Lihao Mai , Muhao Guo , Jiaqi Wu , Yang Weng , Yannan Sun , Ce Jimmy Liu

We consider the problem of minimizing costs in the generation unit commitment problem, a cornerstone in electric power system operations, while enforcing an N-k-e reliability criterion. This reliability criterion is a generalization of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-04-14 Richard Li-Yang Chen , Neng Fan , Ali Pinar , Jean-Paul Watson

Current contingency reserve criteria ignore the likelihood of individual contingencies and, thus, their impact on system reliability and risk. This paper develops an iterative approach, inspired by the current security-constrained unit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez

In the era of increasingly complex AI models for time series forecasting, progress is often measured by marginal improvements on benchmark leaderboards. However, this approach suffers from a fundamental flaw: standard evaluation metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wanjin Feng , Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Power grids vulnerability is a key issue in society. A component failure may trigger cascades of failures across the grid and lead to a large blackout. Complex network approaches have shown a direction to study some of the problems faced by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-22 Trivik Verma , Wendy Ellens , Robert E. Kooij

This paper addresses the robustness of a network to sustain its connectivity and controllability against malicious attacks. This kind of network robustness is typically measured by the time-consuming attack simulation, which returns a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Chengpei Wu , Yang Lou , Lin Wang , Junli Li , Xiang Li , Guanrong Chen

It is crucial for maintaining the security of supply that transmission networks continue to operate even if a single line fails. Modeling $\mathcal{N} - 1$ security in power system capacity expansion problems introduces many extra…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-03 Amin Shokri Gazafroudi , Fabian Neumann , Tom Brown

The growing penetration of renewable and distributed generation is transforming power systems and challenging conventional protection schemes that rely on fixed settings and local measurements. Machine learning (ML) offers a data-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Julian Oelhaf , Mehran Pashaei , Georg Kordowich , Christian Bergler , Andreas Maier , Johann Jäger , Siming Bayer

This paper presents a sound and complete fault detection approach for cyber-physical systems represented by hidden-mode switched affine models with time varying parametric uncertainty. The fault detection approach builds upon techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Farshad Harirchi , Necmiye Ozay

The Smart Grid System (SGS) is a joint network comprising the power and the communication network. In this paper, the underlying intra-and-interdependencies between entities for a given SGS is captured using a dependency model called…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Sohini Roy , Arunabha Sen

We propose Kernel Predictive Control (KPC), a learning-based predictive control strategy that enjoys deterministic guarantees of safety. Noise-corrupted samples of the unknown system dynamics are used to learn several models through the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Emilio T. Maddalena , Paul Scharnhorst , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones

This article introduces two control frameworks: one for Grid-Following (GFL) inverters aiding Grid-Forming (GFM) inverters in voltage regulation during large contingency events and optimizing power transactions under normal conditions; and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-25 Jaesang Park , Alireza Askarian , Srinivasa Salapaka

There is a large discrepancy in our understanding of uncapacitated and capacitated versions of network location problems. This is perhaps best illustrated by the classical k-center problem: there is a simple tight 2-approximation algorithm…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Hyung-Chan An , Aditya Bhaskara , Ola Svensson

During last decades, contingency analysis has been facing challenges from significant load demand increase and high penetrations of intermittent renewable energy, fluctuant responsive loads and non-linear power electronic interfaces. It…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Yiting Zhao , Chen Yuan , Sun Li , Guangyi Liu , Renchang Dai , Zhiwei Wang