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For a truncated stochastically perturbed equation $x_{n+1}=\max\{ f(x_n)+l\chi_{n+1}, 0 \}$ with $f(x)<x$ on $(0,m)$, which corresponds to the Allee effect, we observe that for very small perturbation amplitude $l$, the eventual behavior is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-08 Elena Braverman , Alexandra Rodkina

The mean first exit (passage) time characterizes the average time of a stochastic process never leaving a fixed region in the state space, while the escape probability describes the likelihood of a transition from one region to another for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Weihua Deng , Xiaochao Wu , Wanli Wang

We analyze the behavior of the first few cumulant in an array with a small number of coupled identical particles. Desai and Zwanzig (J. Stat. Phys., {\bf 19}, 1 (1978), p. 1) studied noisy arrays of nonlinear units with global coupling and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-16 Manuel Morillo , José Gómez-Ordóñez , José M. Casado

We investigate a stochastic optimal control problem where the controlled system is depicted as a stochastic differential delayed equation; however, at the terminal time, the state is constrained in a convex set. We firstly introduce an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-12 Jiaqiang Wen , Yufeng Shi

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart

We consider a run-and-tumble particle on a finite interval $[a,b]$ with two absorbing end points. The particle has an internal velocity state that switches between three values $v,0,-v$ at exponential times, thus incorporating positive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-02 Pascal Grange , Linglong Yuan

We propose an approach to compute the conditional moments of fat-tailed phenomena that, only looking at data, could be mistakenly considered as having infinite mean. This type of problems manifests itself when a random variable Y has a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Pasquale Cirillo

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

Stochastic approximation (SA) is an iterative algorithm for finding the fixed point of an operator using noisy samples and widely used in optimization and Reinforcement Learning (RL). The noise in RL exhibits a Markovian structure, and in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Shaan Ul Haque , Sajad Khodadadian , Siva Theja Maguluri

We study the first-passage time (FPT) problem for widespread recurrent processes in confined though large systems and present a comprehensive framework for characterizing the FPT distribution over many time scales. We find that the FPT…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

Many large-scale stochastic optimization algorithms involve repeated solutions of linear systems or evaluations of log-determinants. In these regimes, computing exact solutions is often unnecessary; it is more computationally efficient to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Tianshi Xu , Difeng Cai , Hua Huang , Edmond Chow , Yuanzhe Xi

In the framework of fractional stochastic calculus, we study the existence and the uniqueness of the solution for a backward stochastic differential equation, formally written as: [{[c]{l}% -dY(t)= f(t,\eta(t),Y(t),Z(t))dt-Z(t)\delta…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Lucian Maticiuc , Tianyang Nie

We consider the solution of a stochastic convex optimization problem $\mathbb{E}[f(x;\theta^*,\xi)]$ over a closed and convex set $X$ in a regime where $\theta^*$ is unavailable and $\xi$ is a suitably defined random variable. Instead,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-01 Hao Jiang , Uday V. Shanbhag

The problem of noise-induced escape from a metastable state arises in physics, chemistry, biology, systems engineering, and other areas. The problem is well understood when the underlying dynamics of the system obey detailed balance. When…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Robert S. Maier , D. L. Stein

There have been significant recent advances in our understanding of the potential use and limitations of early-warning signs for predicting drastic changes, so called critical transitions or tipping points, in dynamical systems. A focus of…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2015-03-06 Karna Gowda , Christian Kuehn

We study the first-passage properties of a jump process with constant drift where jump amplitudes and inter-arrival times follow arbitrary light-tailed distributions with smooth densities. Using a mapping to an effective discrete-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-25 Ivan N. Burenev

We study by theoretical analysis and by direct numerical simulation the dynamics of a wide class of asynchronous stochastic systems composed of many autocatalytic degrees of freedom. We describe the generic emergence of truncated power laws…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Zhi-Feng Huang , Sorin Solomon

Gradient temporal difference (Gradient TD) algorithms are a popular class of stochastic approximation (SA) algorithms used for policy evaluation in reinforcement learning. Here, we consider Gradient TD algorithms with an additional heavy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Rohan Deb , Shalabh Bhatnagar

The truncated Euler-Maruyama (EM) method is proposed to approximate a class of non-autonomous stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with the H\"older continuity in the temporal variable and the super-linear growth in the state variable.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Wei Liu , Xuerong Mao , Jingwen Tang , Yue Wu

We consider the sample average of a centered random walk in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with regularly varying step size distribution. For the first exit time from a compact convex set $A$ not containing the origin, we show that its tail is of lognormal…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Ayan Bhattacharya , Zbigniew Palmowski , Bert Zwart
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