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This paper introduces novel frameworks for large deviations and metastability analysis in heavy-tailed stochastic dynamical systems. We develop and apply these frameworks within the context of stochastic difference equation $X^\eta_{j+1}(x)…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

First passage time statistics in disordered systems exhibiting scale invariance are studied widely. In particular, long trapping times in energy or entropic traps are fat-tailed distributed, which slow the overall transport process. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-26 Marc Höll , Alon Nissan , Brian Berkowitz , Eli Barkai

We consider a dynamical system described by the differential equation $\dot{Y}_t=-U'(Y_t)$ with a unique stable point at the origin. We perturb the system by the L\'evy noise of intensity $\varepsilon$ to obtain the stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Peter Imkeller , Ilya Pavlyukevich , Torsten Wetzel

We consider the non-equilibrium dynamics of disordered systems as defined by a master equation involving transition rates between configurations (detailed balance is not assumed). To compute the important dynamical time scales in…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-02-15 Cecile Monthus , Thomas Garel

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

We study a stochastic process $X_t$ related to the Bessel and the Rayleigh processes, with various applications in physics, chemistry, biology, economics, finance and other fields. The stochastic differential equation is $dX_t = (nD/X_t) dt…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-19 Edgar Martin , Ulrich Behn , Guido Germano

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has been widely used in machine learning due to its computational efficiency and favorable generalization properties. Recently, it has been empirically demonstrated that the gradient noise in several deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Umut Şimşekli , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Gaël Richard

We study exit times from time-dependent domains under joint perturbations of the trajectory and the domain. Representing a moving domain by a continuous barrier $\Phi$ on space-time, we reduce the exit problem to a one-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Tristan Guillaume

Consider standard first-passage percolation on $\mathbb Z^d$. We study the lower-tail large deviations of the rescaled random metric $\widehat{\mathbf T}_n$ restricted to a box. If all exponential moments are finite, we prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Julien Verges

An explicit numerical method is developed for a class of non-autonomous time-changed stochastic differential equations, whose coefficients obey H\"older's continuity in terms of the time variables and are allowed to grow super-linearly in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Xiaotong Li , Wei Liu , Tianjiao Tang

In this paper, we introduce a mathematical apparatus that is relevant for understanding a dynamical system with small random perturbations and coupled with the so-called transmutation process -- where the latter jumps from one mode to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-09-15 Getachew K. Befekadu

Stochastic vegetation-water dynamical systems play a pivotal role in ecological stability, biodiversity, water resource management, and adaptation to climate change. This research proposes a machine learning-based method for analyzing rare…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Shengyuan Xu

This paper discusses the first exit and Dirichlet problems of the nonisotropic tempered $\alpha$-stable process $X_t$. The upper bounds of all moments of the first exit position $\left|X_{\tau_D}\right|$ and the first exit time $\tau_D$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-11 Xing Liu , Weihua Deng

Consider first passage percolation with identical and independent weight distributions and first passage time ${\rm T}$. In this paper, we study the upper tail large deviations $\mathbb{P}({\rm T}(0,nx)>n(\mu+\xi))$, for $\xi>0$ and $x\neq…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Clément Cosco , Shuta Nakajima

Single-event burnout (SEB) in silicon carbide (SiC) power MOSFETs is often characterized by deterministic threshold quantities. Near the boundary between recovery and runaway, stochastic variability can make this threshold description…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-05 Feiyi Liu , Min Guo , Shiyang Chen , Yuhan Jiang , Mingyang Liu , Yang Wang

We introduce the exit time finite state projection (ETFSP) scheme, a truncation-based method that yields approximations to the exit distribution and occupation measure associated with the time of exit from a domain (i.e., the time of first…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Juan Kuntz , Philipp Thomas , Guy-Bart Stan , Mauricio Barahona

We consider a multivariate heavy-tailed stochastic volatility model and analyze the large-sample behavior of its sample covariance matrix. We study the limiting behavior of its entries in the infinite-variance case and derive results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Anja Janßen , Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Xiaolei Xie

There are a large variety of hybrid stochastic systems that couple a continuous process with some form of stochastic switching mechanism. In many cases the system switches between different discrete internal states according to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-01 Paul C Bressloff

We revise the classical problem of characterizing first exit times of a harmonically trapped particle whose motion is described by one- or multi-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We start by recalling the main derivation steps of a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-06-24 D. S. Grebenkov

We consider the FCFS G/G/n queue in the Halfin-Whitt regime, in the presence of heavy-tailed distributions (i.e. infinite variance). We prove that under minimal assumptions, i.e. only that processing times have finite 1 + epsilon moment and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-26 David A. Goldberg , Yuan Li
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