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We develop LENORI, a Large Event Number of Outages Resilience Index measuring distribution system resilience with the number of forced line outages observed in large extreme events. LENORI is calculated from standard utility outage data.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

We focus on large blackouts in electric distribution systems caused by extreme winds. Such events have a large cost and impact on customers. To quantify resilience to these events, we formulate large event risk and show how to calculate it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-21 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Resilience risk metrics must address the customer cost of the largest blackouts of greatest impact. However, there are huge variations in blackout cost in observed distribution utility data that make it impractical to properly estimate the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-14 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

The electric distribution system is a cornerstone of modern life, playing a critical role in the daily activities and well-being of individuals. As the world transitions toward a decarbonized future, where even mobility relies on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Shikhar Pandey , Gowtham Kandaperumal , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu

Resilience curves track the accumulation and restoration of outages during an event on an electric distribution grid. We show that a resilience curve generated from utility data can always be decomposed into an outage process and a restore…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-26 Nichelle'Le K. Carrington , Ian Dobson , Zhaoyu Wang

We quantify resilience with metrics extracted from the historical outage data that is routinely recorded by many distribution utilities. The outage data is coordinated with wind data to relate average outage rates in an area to wind speed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-13 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Energy systems resilience is becoming increasingly important as the frequency of major grid outages increases. In this work, we present a methodology to optimize a behind-the-meter distributed energy resource system to sustain a site's…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-29 Sakshi Mishra , Kate Anderson

We discuss ways to measure duration in a power transmission system resilience event by modeling outage and restore processes from utility data. We introduce novel Poisson process models that describe how resilience events progress and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-04 Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva

Transmission utilities routinely collect detailed outage data, including resilience events in which outages bunch up due to weather. The resilience events and their resilience metrics can readily be extracted from this historical outage…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-15 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva , Christopher Claypool , Mark Lauby

This paper presents a data-driven approach for quantifying the resilience of distribution power grids to extreme weather events using two key metrics: (a) the number of outages and (b) restoration time. The method leverages historical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Dingwei Wang , Salish Maharjan , Junyuan Zheng , Liming Liu , Zhaoyu Wang

Large scale power failures induced by severe weather have become frequent and damaging in recent years, causing millions of people to be without electricity service for days. Although the power industry has been battling weather-induced…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Chuanyi Ji , Yun Wei , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper, we study network reliability in relation to a periodic time-dependent utility function that reflects the system's functional performance. When an anomaly occurs, the system incurs a loss of utility that depends on the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Ali Maatouk , Fadhel Ayed , Shi Biao , Wenjie Li , Harvey Bao , Enrico Zio

A key objective of the smart grid is to improve reliability of utility services to end users. This requires strengthening resilience of distribution networks that lie at the edge of the grid. However, distribution networks are exposed to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Yun Wei , Chuanyi Ji , Floyd Galvan , Stephen Couvillon , George Orellana , James Momoh

Extreme temperature outages can lead to not just economic losses but also various non-energy impacts (NEI) due to significant degradation of indoor operating conditions caused by service disruptions. However, existing resilience assessment…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-14 Min Gyung Yu , Monish Mukherjee , Shiva Poudela , Sadie R. Bender , Sarmad Hanif , Trevor D. Hardy , Hayden M. Reeve

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

Poisson process models are defined in terms of their rates for outage and restore processes in power system resilience events. These outage and restore processes easily yield the performance curves that track the evolution of resilience…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-24 Ian Dobson

In the electrical grid, the distribution system is themost vulnerable to severe weather events. Well-placed and coordinatedupgrades, such as the combination of microgrids, systemhardening and additional line redundancy, can greatly reduce…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-05-24 Arthur Barnes , Harsha Nagarajan , Emre Yamangil , Russell Bent , Scott Backhaus

Resilient systems are able to recover quickly and easily from disturbed system states that might result from hazardous events or malicious attacks. In this paper a novel resilience metric for linear time invariant systems is proposed: the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-23 Johannes Börner , Florian Steinke
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