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Infant mortality remains a significant public health concern in the United States, with birth defects identified as a leading cause. Despite ongoing efforts to understand the causes of negative pregnancy outcomes like miscarriage,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Md Badsha Biswas

Estimating causal effects under networked interference from observational data is a crucial yet challenging problem. Most existing methods mainly rely on the networked unconfoundedness assumption, which guarantees the identification of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Jie Qiao , Yuguang Yan , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Computational efficient evaluation of penalized estimators of multivariate exponential family distributions is sought. These distributions encompass among others Markov random fields with variates of mixed type (e.g. binary and continuous)…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Diederik S. Laman Trip , Wessel N. van Wieringen

The identification of predictive biomarkers from a large scale of covariates for subgroup analysis has attracted fundamental attention in medical research. In this article, we propose a generalized penalized regression method with a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-29 Chong Ma , Wenxuan Deng , Shuangge Ma , Ray Liu , Kevin Galinsky

We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

Identifying anomalies refers to detecting samples that do not resemble the training data distribution. Many generative models have been used to find anomalies, and among them, generative adversarial network (GAN)-based approaches are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Laya Rafiee Sevyeri , Thomas Fevens

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) plays a vital role in many industrial applications. While contrastive learning has gained momentum in the time series domain for its prowess in extracting meaningful representations from unlabeled data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Katrina Chen , Mingbin Feng , Tony S. Wirjanto

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is the most popular observational causal inference method in health policy, employed to evaluate the real-world impact of policies and programs. To estimate treatment effects, DiD relies on the "parallel…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-09 Shuo Feng , Ishani Ganguli , Youjin Lee , John Poe , Andrew Ryan , Alyssa Bilinski

We present an approach for penalized tensor decomposition (PTD) that estimates smoothly varying latent factors in multi-way data. This generalizes existing work on sparse tensor decomposition and penalized matrix decompositions, in a manner…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

Tie-breaker experimental designs are hybrids of Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) and Regression Discontinuity Designs (RDDs) in which subjects with moderate scores are placed in an RCT while subjects with extreme scores are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-24 Dan M. Kluger , Art B. Owen

The primary goal of training in early convolutional neural networks (CNN) is the higher generalization performance of the model. However, as the expected calibration error (ECE), which quantifies the explanatory power of model inference,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Seungbum Hong , Jihun Yoon , Bogyu Park , Min-Kook Choi

We introduce a new nonparametric causal decomposition approach that identifies the mechanisms by which a treatment variable contributes to a group-based outcome disparity. Our approach distinguishes three mechanisms: group differences in 1)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Ang Yu , Felix Elwert

The analysis of Temporal Difference (TD) learning in the average-reward setting faces notable theoretical difficulties because the Bellman operator is not contractive with respect to any norm. This complicates standard analyses of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Haoxing Tian , Zaiwei Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis , Alex Olshevsky

Win statistics, including the win ratio, net benefit, and win odds, summarize treatment effects on hierarchical composite endpoints by sequentially comparing patient pairs on component outcomes ordered by clinical importance, proceeding to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Xi Fang , Fan Li

The Number needed to treat (NNT) is an efficacy index defined as the average number of patients needed to treat to attain one additional treatment benefit. In observational studies, specifically in epidemiology, the adequacy of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Valentin Vancak , Arvid Sjölander

This paper studies identification and estimation of the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) in difference-in-difference (DID) designs when the variable that classifies individuals into treatment and control groups (treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-05 Akanksha Negi , Digvijay Singh Negi

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a central problem in causal inference. Methods based on potential outcomes framework solve this problem by exploiting inductive biases and heuristics from causal inference. Each of these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

Given the unconfoundedness assumption, we propose new nonparametric estimators for the reduced dimensional conditional average treatment effect (CATE) function. In the first stage, the nuisance functions necessary for identifying CATE are…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-26 Qingliang Fan , Yu-Chin Hsu , Robert P. Lieli , Yichong Zhang

Comparative Judgement is an assessment method where item ratings are estimated based on rankings of subsets of the items. These rankings are typically pairwise, with ratings taken to be the estimated parameters from fitting a Bradley-Terry…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn

The difference-in-differences (DiD) design is a quasi-experimental method for estimating treatment effects. In staggered DiD with multiple treatment groups and periods, estimation based on the two-way fixed effects model yields negative…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Yuhao Deng , Le Kang