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A probability forecast or probabilistic classifier is reliable or calibrated if the predicted probabilities are matched by ex post observed frequencies, as examined visually in reliability diagrams. The classical binning and counting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Timo Dimitriadis , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander I. Jordan

Machine learning systems are increasingly being used to make impactful decisions such as loan applications and criminal justice risk assessments, and as such, ensuring fairness of these systems is critical. This is often challenging as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 YooJung Choi , Meihua Dang , Guy Van den Broeck

We study three notions of uncertainty quantification -- calibration, confidence intervals and prediction sets -- for binary classification in the distribution-free setting, that is without making any distributional assumptions on the data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-17 Chirag Gupta , Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas

To fix the 'bias in, bias out' problem in fair machine learning, it is important to steer feature distributions of data or internal representations of Large Language Models (LLMs) to ideal ones that guarantee group-fair outcomes. Previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Mohit Sharma , Amit Jayant Deshpande , Chiranjib Bhattacharyya , Rajiv Ratn Shah

Consider the problem of finding the best matching in a weighted graph where we only have access to predictions of the actual stochastic weights, based on an underlying context. If the predictor is the Bayes optimal one, then computing the…

Numerous algorithms have been produced for the fundamental problem of clustering under many different notions of fairness. Perhaps the most common family of notions currently studied is group fairness, in which proportional group…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Seyed A. Esmaeili , Sharmila Duppala , John P. Dickerson , Brian Brubach

We present a systematic approach for achieving fairness in a binary classification setting. While we focus on two well-known quantitative definitions of fairness, our approach encompasses many other previously studied definitions as special…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-17 Alekh Agarwal , Alina Beygelzimer , Miroslav Dudík , John Langford , Hanna Wallach

With AI systems widely applied to assist humans in decision-making processes such as talent hiring, school admission, and loan approval; there is an increasing need to ensure that the decisions made are fair. One major challenge for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Zhe Yu , Xiaoyin Xi , Pranam Prakash Shetty

Consider a binary decision making process where a single machine learning classifier replaces a multitude of humans. We raise questions about the resulting loss of diversity in the decision making process. We study the potential benefits of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-03 Nina Grgić-Hlača , Muhammad Bilal Zafar , Krishna P. Gummadi , Adrian Weller

When using machine learning for automated prediction, it is important to account for fairness in the prediction. Fairness in machine learning aims to ensure that biases in the data and model inaccuracies do not lead to discriminatory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Jan Pablo Burgard , João Vitor Pamplona

Data-driven decision-making has drawn scrutiny from policy makers due to fears of potential discrimination, and a growing literature has begun to develop fair statistical techniques. However, these techniques are often specialized to one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Anil Aswani , Matt Olfat

In safety-critical applications a probabilistic model is usually required to be calibrated, i.e., to capture the uncertainty of its predictions accurately. In multi-class classification, calibration of the most confident predictions only is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-30 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

As machine learning (ML) algorithms are increasingly used in social domains to make predictions about humans, there is a growing concern that these algorithms may exhibit biases against certain social groups. Numerous notions of fairness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Zhongteng Cai , Mohammad Mahdi Khalili , Xueru Zhang

Various measures can be used to estimate bias or unfairness in a predictor. Previous work has already established that some of these measures are incompatible with each other. Here we show that, when groups differ in prevalence of the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-13 Thomas Miconi

Algorithms are now routinely used to make consequential decisions that affect human lives. Examples include college admissions, medical interventions or law enforcement. While algorithms empower us to harness all information hidden in vast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Bahar Taskesen , Jose Blanchet , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

There is arbitrariness in optimum solutions of graph-theoretic problems that can give rise to unfairness. Incorporating fairness in such problems, however, can be done in multiple ways. For instance, fairness can be defined on an individual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Christopher Hojny , Frits Spieksma , Sten Wessel

Data-driven decision support tools play an increasingly central role in decision-making across various domains. In this work, we focus on binary classification models for predicting positive-outcome scores and deciding on resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Simon De Vos , Jente Van Belle , Andres Algaba , Wouter Verbeke , Sam Verboven

We study the problem of fair classification within the versatile framework of Dwork et al. [ITCS '12], which assumes the existence of a metric that measures similarity between pairs of individuals. Unlike earlier work, we do not assume that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Michael P. Kim , Omer Reingold , Guy N. Rothblum

This paper introduces a statistical test inferring whether a variable allows separating two classes by means of a single critical value. Its test statistic is the prediction error of a nonparametric threshold classifier. While this approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Fabian Schroeder

Diversity is an important principle in data selection and summarization, facility location, and recommendation systems. Our work focuses on maximizing diversity in data selection, while offering fairness guarantees. In particular, we offer…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Zafeiria Moumoulidou , Andrew McGregor , Alexandra Meliou