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We consider the problem of change-point detection in multivariate time-series. The multivariate distribution of the observations is supposed to follow a graphical model, whose graph and parameters are affected by abrupt changes throughout…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-20 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

The aim of the present study is to detect abrupt trend changes in the mean of a multidimensional sequential signal. Directly inspired by papers of Fernhead and Liu ([4] and [5]), this work describes the signal in a hierarchical manner : the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Olivier Sorba , C Geissler

Online changepoint detection aims to detect anomalies and changes in real-time in high-frequency data streams, sometimes with limited available computational resources. This is an important task that is rooted in many real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-12 Gaetano Romano , Idris A Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

In this work, we propose a non-parametric and robust change detection algorithm to detect multiple change points in time series data under contamination. The contamination model is sufficiently general, in that, the most common model used…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Sujay Bhatt , Guanhua Fang , Ping Li

The aim of online monitoring is to issue an alarm as soon as there is significant evidence in the collected observations to suggest that the underlying data generating mechanism has changed. This work is concerned with open-end,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic

We present a non-parametric change-point detection approach to detect potentially sparse changes in a time series of high-dimensional observations or non-Euclidean data objects. We target a change in distribution that occurs in a small,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Alan Moore , Lynna Chu , Zhengyuan Zhu

Consider a large number of detectors each generating a data stream. The task is to detect online, distribution changes in a small fraction of the data streams. Previous approaches to this problem include the use of mixture likelihood ratios…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Hock Peng Chan

Non-parametric change-point detection in streaming time series data is a long-standing challenge in signal processing. Recent advancements in statistics and machine learning have increasingly addressed this problem for data residing on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Xiuheng Wang , Ricardo Borsoi , Arnaud Breloy , Cédric Richard

Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

Mapping complex input data into suitable lower dimensional manifolds is a common procedure in machine learning. This step is beneficial mainly for two reasons: (1) it reduces the data dimensionality and (2) it provides a new data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Daniele Zambon , Lorenzo Livi , Cesare Alippi

We consider sequential change-point detection in parallel data streams, where each stream has its own change point. Once a change is detected in a data stream, this stream is deactivated permanently. The goal is to maximize the normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

Near real time change detection is important for a variety of Earth monitoring applications and remains a high priority for remote sensing science. Data sparsity, subtle changes, seasonal trends, and the presence of outliers make detecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Laura J. Wendelberger , Josh M. Gray , Brian J. Reich , Alyson G. Wilson

Sequences of random objects arise from many real applications, including high throughput omic data and functional imaging data. Those sequences are usually dependent, non-linear, or even Non-Euclidean, and an important problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-28 Xueqin Wang , Qiang Zhang , Wenliang Pan , Xin Chen , Heping Zhang

A new Bayesian modelling framework is introduced for piece-wise homogeneous variable-memory Markov chains, along with a collection of effective algorithmic tools for change-point detection and segmentation of discrete time series. Building…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

The increasing volume of data streams poses significant computational challenges for detecting changepoints online. Likelihood-based methods are effective, but a naive sequential implementation becomes impractical online due to high…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-08 Liudmila Pishchagina , Gaetano Romano , Paul Fearnhead , Vincent Runge , Guillem Rigaill

Consider each node of a graph to be generating a data stream that is synchronized and observed at near real-time. At a change-point $\tau$, a change occurs at a subset of nodes $C$, which affects the probability distribution of their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-13 Alejandro de la Concha , Argyris Kalogeratos , Nicolas Vayatis

This paper addresses the problem of change-point detection on sequences of high-dimensional and heterogeneous observations, which also possess a periodic temporal structure. Due to the dimensionality problem, when the time between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-25 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , David Ramírez , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez