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Public transit systems are the backbone of urban mobility systems in the era of urbanization. The design of transit schedules is important for the efficient and sustainable operation of public transit. However, previous studies usually…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Xiaotong Guo , Baichuan Mo , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Shenhao Wang , Jinhua Zhao

Dockless e-scooters, a key micromobility service, have emerged as eco-friendly and flexible urban transport alternatives. These services improve first and last-mile connectivity, reduce congestion and emissions, and complement public…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Omri Porat , Michael Fire , Eran Ben-Elia

Traffic flow forecasting is essential and challenging to intelligent city management and public safety. Recent studies have shown the potential of convolution-free Transformer approach to extract the dynamic dependencies among complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-08 Xiao Yan , Xianghua Gan , Jingjing Tang , Rui Wang

Mobility systems featuring shared vehicles are often unable to serve all potential customers, as the distribution of demand does not coincide with the positions of vehicles at any given time. System operators often choose to reposition…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Joseph Warrington , Dominik Ruchti

Multi-step passenger demand forecasting is a crucial task in on-demand vehicle sharing services. However, predicting passenger demand over multiple time horizons is generally challenging due to the nonlinear and dynamic spatial-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Lei Bai , Lina Yao , Salil. S Kanhere , Xianzhi Wang , Quan. Z Sheng

Accurate passenger flow prediction of urban rail transit is essential for improving the performance of intelligent transportation systems, especially during the epidemic. How to dynamically model the complex spatiotemporal dependencies of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Shuxin Zhang , Jinlei Zhang , Lixing Yang , Chengcheng Wang , Ziyou Gao

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

A highly dynamic urban space in a metropolis such as New York City, the spatio-temporal variation in demand for transportation, particularly taxis, is impacted by various factors such as commuting, weather, road work and closures,…

We present ASTRA (A} Scene-aware TRAnsformer-based model for trajectory prediction), a light-weight pedestrian trajectory forecasting model that integrates the scene context, spatial dynamics, social inter-agent interactions and temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Izzeddin Teeti , Aniket Thomas , Munish Monga , Sachin Kumar , Uddeshya Singh , Andrew Bradley , Biplab Banerjee , Fabio Cuzzolin

Long-term forecasting of multivariate urban data poses a significant challenge due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in such datasets. This paper presents DST, a novel multivariate time-series forecasting model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Amirhossein Sohrabbeig , Omid Ardakanian , Petr Musilek

The rapid rise in electric vehicle (EV) adoption demands precise charging station load forecasting, challenged by long-sequence temporal dependencies and limited data in new facilities. This study proposes MIK-TST, a novel two-stage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-13 Zhenhua Zhou , Bozhen Jiang , Qin Wang

Traffic prediction is necessary not only for management departments to dispatch vehicles but also for drivers to avoid congested roads. Many traffic forecasting methods based on deep learning have been proposed in recent years, and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Jichen Wang , Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Chunzi Tian

Traffic forecasting has emerged as a core component of intelligent transportation systems. However, timely accurate traffic forecasting, especially long-term forecasting, still remains an open challenge due to the highly nonlinear and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Mingxing Xu , Wenrui Dai , Chunmiao Liu , Xing Gao , Weiyao Lin , Guo-Jun Qi , Hongkai Xiong

Ride-sharing is a modern urban-mobility paradigm with tremendous potential in reducing congestion and pollution. Demand-aware design is a promising avenue for addressing a critical challenge in ride-sharing systems, namely joint…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Qiulin Lin , Wenjie Xu , Minghua Chen , Xiaojun Lin

Water demand is a highly important variable for operational control and decision making. Hence, the development of accurate forecasts is a valuable field of research to further improve the efficiency of water utilities. Focusing on…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jens Kley-Holsteg , Florian Ziel

Emerging transportation modes, including car-sharing, bike-sharing, and ride-hailing, are transforming urban mobility but have been shown to reinforce socioeconomic inequities. Spatiotemporal demand prediction models for these new mobility…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-07-10 An Yan , Bill Howe

We study the forecasting problem for traffic with dynamic, possibly periodical, and joint spatial-temporal dependency between regions. Given the aggregated inflow and outflow traffic of regions in a city from time slots 0 to t-1, we predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Guanyao Li , Shuhan Zhong , S. -H. Gary Chan , Ruiyuan Li , Chih-Chieh Hung , Wen-Chih Peng

Deep models for Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting have recently demonstrated significant success. Channel-dependent models capture complex dependencies that channel-independent models cannot capture. However, the number of channels…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Xin Zhou , Weiqing Wang , Wray Buntine , Shilin Qu , Abishek Sriramulu , Weicong Tan , Christoph Bergmeir

The rise of foundation models has revolutionized natural language processing and computer vision, yet their best practices to time series forecasting remains underexplored. Existing time series foundation models often adopt methodologies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xiaobin Hong , Jiawen Zhang , Wenzhong Li , Sanglu Lu , Jia Li

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai