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We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

We study the ergodic behaviour of a discrete-time process $X$ which is a Markov chain in a stationary random environment. The laws of $X_t$ are shown to converge to a limiting law in (weighted) total variation distance as $t\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Balazs Gerencser , Miklos Rasonyi

We study a random process with reinforcement, which evolves following the dynamics of a given diffusion process in a bounded domain and is resampled according to its occupation measure when it reaches the boundary. We show that its…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Michel Benaïm , Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In this paper, we study small noise asymptotics of Markov-modulated diffusion processes in the regime that the modulating Markov chain is rapidly switching. We prove the joint sample-path large deviations principle for the Markov-modulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Gang Huang , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

Social employment, which is mostly carried by firms of different types, determines the prosperity and stability of a country. As time passing, the fluctuations of firm employment can reflect the process of creating or destroying jobs.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-30 Boyang You , Kerry Papps

We show how concepts from statistical physics, such as order parameter, thermodynamic limit, and quantum phase transition, translate into biological concepts in mutation-selection models for sequence evolution and can be used there. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Joachim Hermisson , Oliver Redner , Holger Wagner , Ellen Baake

Via operator theoretic methods, we formalize the concentration phenomenon for a given observable `$r$' of a discrete time Markov chain with `$\mu_{\pi}$' as invariant ergodic measure, possibly having support on an unbounded state space. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem , Miroslav Pajic

In this paper we study the long term evolution of a continuous time Markov chain formed by two interacting birth-and-death processes. The interaction between the processes is modelled by transition rates which are functions with suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-23 Mikhail Menshikov , Vadim Shcherbakov

We provide a nonasymptotic analysis of convergence to stationarity for a collection of Markov chains on multivariate state spaces, from arbitrary starting points, thereby generalizing results in [Khare and Zhou Ann. Appl. Probab. 19 (2009)…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Kshitij Khare , Nabanita Mukherjee

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

The GREM-like trap model is a continuous time Markov jump process on the leaves of a finite volume $L$-level tree whose transition rates depend on a trapping landscape built on the vertices of the whole tree. We prove that the natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Véronique Gayrard , Onur Gün

We study optimization problems in which a linear functional is maximized over probability measures that are dominated by a given measure according to an integral stochastic order in an arbitrary dimension. We show that the following four…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-13 Frank Yang , Kai Hao Yang

Realistic modeling of ecological population dynamics requires spatially explicit descriptions that can take into account spatial heterogeneity as well as long-distance dispersal. Here, we present Monte Carlo simulations and numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-07 R. Juhász , I. A. Kovács

We consider an absorbing Markov decision process with Borel state and action spaces. We study conditions under which the MDP is uniformly absorbing and the set of occupation measures of the MDP is compact in the usual weak topology. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-30 François Dufour , Tomás Prieto-Rumeau

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

We employ Monte Carlo simulations to numerically study the temporal evolution and transient oscillations of the population densities, the associated frequency power spectra, and the spatial correlation functions in the (quasi-)steady state…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-18 Qian He , Mauro Mobilia , Uwe C. Tauber

We introduce the exit time finite state projection (ETFSP) scheme, a truncation-based method that yields approximations to the exit distribution and occupation measure associated with the time of exit from a domain (i.e., the time of first…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Juan Kuntz , Philipp Thomas , Guy-Bart Stan , Mauricio Barahona

We prove that if the two-body terms in the equation of motion for the one-body reduced density matrix are approximated by ground-state functionals, the eigenvalues of the one-body reduced density matrix (occupation numbers) remain constant…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2012-09-18 Ryan Requist , Oleg Pankratov

This paper studies a Markov chain for phylogenetic reconstruction which uses a popular transition between tree topologies known as subtree pruning-and-regrafting (SPR). We analyze the Markov chain in the simpler setting that the generating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-13 Daniel Stefankovic , Eric Vigoda

We present a new algorithm for the statistical model checking of Markov chains with respect to unbounded temporal properties, such as reachability and full linear temporal logic. The main idea is that we monitor each simulation run on the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-04 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov
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