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We prove an invariance principle for non-stationary random processes and establish a rate of convergence under a new type of mixing condition. The dependence is exponentially decaying in the gap between the past and the future and is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Ion Grama , Émile Le Page , Marc Peigné

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

Viewing stochastic processes through the lens of occupation measures has proved to be a powerful angle of attack for the theoretical and computational analysis of stochastic optimal control problems. We present a simple modification of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Flemming Holtorf , Alan Edelman , Christopher Rackauckas

We consider a branching system consisting of particles moving according to a Markov family in $\Rd$ and undergoing subcritical branching with a constant rate $V>0$. New particles immigrate to the system according to homogeneous space-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-04 Piotr Milos

This paper analyses a $(1,\lambda)$-Evolution Strategy, a randomised comparison-based adaptive search algorithm, on a simple constraint optimisation problem. The algorithm uses resampling to handle the constraint and optimizes a linear…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

In the first part of the paper, we consider a discrete-time stochastic control system. We show that, under certain conditions, the set of random occupational measures generated by the state-control trajectories of the system as well as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Lucas Gamertsfelder

The cutoff phenomenon describes a case where a Markov chain exhibits a sharp transition in its convergence to stationarity. In 1996, Diaconis surveyed this phenomenon, and asked how one could recognize its occurrence in families of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 Jian Ding , Eyal Lubetzky , Yuval Peres

In this paper we consider two continuous-mass population models as analogues of logistic branching random walks, one is supported on a finite trait space and the other one is supported on an infinite trait space. For the first model with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Anton Bovier , Shi-Dong Wang

Obtaining initial conditions and parameterizations leading to a model consistent with available measurements or safety specifications is important for many applications. Examples include model (in-)validation, prediction, fault diagnosis,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Stefan Streif , Philipp Rumschinski , Didier Henrion , Rolf Findeisen

In this work, we establish, for a strong Feller process, the large deviation principle for the occupation measure conditioned not to exit a given subregion. The rate function vanishes only at a unique measure, which is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Arnaud Guillin , Boris Nectoux , Liming Wu

In this paper, we study discrete-time absorbing Markov Decision Processes (MDP) with measurable state space and Borel action space with a given initial distribution. For such models, solutions to the characteristic equation that are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-10 François Dufour , Tomás Prieto-Rumeau

Mechanistic models in biology often involve numerous parameters about which we do not have direct experimental information. The traditional approach is to fit these parameters using extensive numerical simulations (e.g. by the Monte-Carlo…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Alexandre Rocca , Marcelo Forets , Victor Magron , Eric Fanchon , Thao Dang

We consider the statistics of occupation times, the number of visits at the origin and the survival probability for a wide class of stochastic processes, which can be classified as renewal processes. We show that the distribution of these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-08 Mattia Radice , Manuele Onofri , Roberto Artuso , Gaia Pozzoli

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

We study infinite horizon control of continuous-time non-linear branching processes with almost sure extinction for general (positive or negative) discount. Our main goal is to study the link between infinite horizon control of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Julien Claisse , Nicolas Champagnat

An aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space converges to its stationary distribution. When convergence to equilibrium is measured by total variation distance, there exists an optimal coupling and a maximal coupling…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Agnes Coquio

We consider a fitness-structured population model with competition and migration between nearest neighbors. Under a combination of large population and rare migration limits we are particularly interested in the asymptotic behavior of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-20 Anton Bovier , Shi-Dong Wang

We propose a class of evolutionary models that involves an arbitrary exchangeable process as the breeding process and different selection schemes. In those models, a new genome is born according to the breeding process, and then a genome is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Jüri Lember , Chris Watkins

In this paper, we consider a general class of two-time-scale Markov chains whose transition rate matrix depends on a parameter $\lambda>0$. We assume that some transition rates of the Markov chain will tend to infinity as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-10 Chen Jia