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Related papers: Growth Models Under Uniform Catastrophes

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We consider stochastic growth models to represent population dynamics subject to geometric catastrophes. We analyze different dispersion schemes after catastrophes, to study how these schemes impact the population viability and comparing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Valdivino Vargas Junior , Fábio Prates Machado , Alejandro Roldan-Correa

Populations are often subject to catastrophes that cause mass removal of individuals. Many stochastic growth models have been considered to explain such dynamics. Among the results reported, it has been considered whether dispersion…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 F. Duque , V. V. Junior , F. P. Machado , A. Roldan-Correa

We consider stochastic growth models to represent population subject to catastrophes. We analyze the subject from different set ups considering or not spatial restrictions, whether dispersion is a good strategy to increase the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Valdivino Vargas Junior , Fábio Prates Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

Recently, different dispersion strategies in population models subject to geometric catastrophes have been considered as strategies to improve the chance of po\-pu\-lation's survival. Such dispersion strategies have been contrasted with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Valdivino Vargas Junior , Fábio Prates Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We consider the dynamics of a population spatially structured in colonies that are vulnerable to catastrophic events occurring at random times, which randomly reduce their population size and compel survivors to disperse to neighboring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

Many species live in colonies that thrive for a while and then collapse. Upon collapse very few individuals survive. The survivors start new colonies at other sites that thrive until they collapse, and so on. We introduce spatial and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Fábio Prates Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Random population dynamics with catastrophes (events pertaining to possible elimination of a large portion of the population) has a long history in the mathematical literature. In this paper we study an ergodic model for random population…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Iddo Ben-Ari , Alexander Roitershtein , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Forest-fire and avalanche models support the notion that frequent catastrophes prevent the growth of very large populations and as such prevent rare large-scale catastrophes. We show that this notion is not universal. A new model class…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-08 N. Dori , H. Behar , H. Brot , Y. Louzoun

We investigate how a catastrophic event (modeled as a temporary fall of the reproduction rate) increases the extinction probability of an isolated self-regulated stochastic population. Using a variant of the Verhulst logistic model as an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-06 Michael Assaf , Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

Many species live in colonies that prosper for a while and then collapse. After the collapse the colony survivors disperse randomly and found new colonies that may or may not make it depending on the new environment they find. We use birth…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We introduce a model to study the impact of catastrophes on evolutionary paths. If we do not allow catastrophes the number of changes in the maximum fitness of a population grows logarithmically with respect to time. Allowing catastrophes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-16 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

This paper analyzes a stochastic logistic difference equation under the assumption that the population distribution follows a normal distribution. Our focus is on the mathematical relationship between the average growth rate and a newly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Haiyan Wang

We study a class of branching processes in which the offspring distribution is not specified directly but is induced by a cycle of internal colony growth, catastrophic reduction and structured dispersal. The parameters governing growth,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Lucas R. de Lima , Fábio P. Machado

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

In this work, using the theory of first-order macroscopic crowd models, we introduce a compartmental advection-diffusion model, describing the spatio-temporal dynamics of a population in different human behaviors (alert, panic and control)…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-02-12 K. Khalil , V. Lanza , D. Manceau , M. A. Aziz-Alaoui , D. Provitolo

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

The intensification and increased frequency of weather extremes is emerging as one of the most important aspects of climate change. We use Monte Carlo simulation to understand and predict the consequences of variations in trends (i.e.,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-26 Simone Vincenzi , Michele Bellingeri

We introduce the following discrete time model. Each natural number represents an ecological niche and is assigned a fitness in $(0,1)$. All the sites are updated simultaneously at every discrete time. At any given time the environment may…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Rinaldo B. Schinazi
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