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Recently, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have been achieving impressive results on wide range of tasks. However, they suffer from being well-calibrated. In decision-making applications, such as autonomous driving or medical diagnosing, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Hugo Siqueira Gomes , Wilson Leão , Steeven Janny , Christian Gagné

The prediction reliability of neural networks is important in many applications. Specifically, in safety-critical domains, such as cancer prediction or autonomous driving, a reliable confidence of model's prediction is critical for the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Byeongmoon Ji , Hyemin Jung , Jihyeun Yoon , Kyungyul Kim , Younghak Shin

Conformal prediction is an emerging technique for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true label with a predefined probability. Previous works often employ temperature scaling to calibrate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Huajun Xi , Jianguo Huang , Kangdao Liu , Lei Feng , Hongxin Wei

Proper losses such as cross-entropy incentivize classifiers to produce class probabilities that are well-calibrated on the training data. Due to the generalization gap, these classifiers tend to become overconfident on the test data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Viacheslav Komisarenko , Meelis Kull

The great performances of deep learning are undeniable, with impressive results over a wide range of tasks. However, the output confidence of these models is usually not well-calibrated, which can be an issue for applications where…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Hugo Siqueira Gomes , Wilson Leão , Christian Gagné

Continual Learning (CL) is recently gaining increasing attention for its ability to enable a single model to learn incrementally from a sequence of new classes. In this scenario, it is important to keep consistent predictive performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Giuseppe Serra , Florian Buettner

It is now well known that neural networks can be wrong with high confidence in their predictions, leading to poor calibration. The most common post-hoc approach to compensate for this is to perform temperature scaling, which adjusts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Tom Joy , Francesco Pinto , Ser-Nam Lim , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

We study model confidence calibration in class-incremental learning, where models learn from sequential tasks with different class sets. While existing works primarily focus on accuracy, maintaining calibrated confidence has been largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Seong-Hyeon Hwang , Minsu Kim , Steven Euijong Whang

Despite the impressive generalization capabilities of deep neural networks, they have been repeatedly shown to be overconfident when they are wrong. Fixing this issue is known as model calibration, and has consequently received much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge

Deep learning and federated learning (FL) are becoming powerful partners for next-generation weather forecasting. Deep learning enables high-resolution spatiotemporal forecasts that can surpass traditional numerical models, while FL allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Karina Chichifoi , Fabio Merizzi , Michele Colajanni

Research interests in the robustness of deep neural networks against domain shifts have been rapidly increasing in recent years. Most existing works, however, focus on improving the accuracy of the model, not the calibration performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Wonjeong Choi , Jungwuk Park , Dong-Jun Han , Younghyun Park , Jaekyun Moon

Manipulation of local training data and local updates, i.e., the poisoning attack, is the main threat arising from the collaborative nature of the federated learning (FL) paradigm. Most existing poisoning attacks aim to manipulate local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Huazi Pan , Yanjun Zhang , Leo Yu Zhang , Scott Adams , Abbas Kouzani , Suiyang Khoo

Maintaining the privacy of power system data is essential for protecting sensitive information and ensuring the operation security of critical infrastructure. Therefore, the adoption of centralized deep learning (DL) transient stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-06 Maeshal Hijazi , Payman Dehghanian

In many classification applications, the prediction of a deep neural network (DNN) based classifier needs to be accompanied by some confidence indication. Two popular approaches for that aim are: 1) Calibration: modifies the classifier's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Lahav Dabah , Tom Tirer

Federated learning (FL) for time series forecasting (TSF) enables clients with privacy-sensitive time series (TS) data to collaboratively learn accurate forecasting models, for example, in energy load prediction. Unfortunately, privacy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Caspar Meijer , Jiyue Huang , Shreshtha Sharma , Elena Lazovik , Lydia Y. Chen

Calibration is central to reliable semantic uncertainty quantification, yet prior work has largely focused on discrimination, neglecting calibration. As calibration and discrimination capture distinct aspects of uncertainty, focusing on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Tom A. Lamb , Desi R. Ivanova , Philip H. S. Torr , Tim G. J. Rudner

The operation of critical infrastructures such as the electrical power grid, cellphone towers, and financial institutions relies on precise timing provided by stationary GPS receivers. These GPS devices are vulnerable to a type of spoofing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Junhwan Lee , Ahmad F. Taha , Nikolaos Gatsis , David Akopian

We address the problem of uncertainty calibration and introduce a novel calibration method, Parametrized Temperature Scaling (PTS). Standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, which can be transformed into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Christian Tomani , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Model poisoning attacks on federated learning (FL) intrude in the entire system via compromising an edge model, resulting in malfunctioning of machine learning models. Such compromised models are tampered with to perform adversary-desired…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Yuwei Sun , Hideya Ochiai , Jun Sakuma

The softmax function is a fundamental component in deep learning. This study delves into the often-overlooked parameter within the softmax function, known as "temperature," providing novel insights into the practical and theoretical aspects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Hao Xuan , Bokai Yang , Xingyu Li
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