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State inference and parameter learning in sequential models can be successfully performed with approximation techniques that maximize the evidence lower bound to the marginal log-likelihood of the data distribution. These methods may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Helena Calatrava , Ricardo Augusto Borsoi , Tales Imbiriba , Pau Closas

Large-scale dynamic inverse problems are often ill-posed due to model complexity and the high dimensionality of the unknown parameters. Regularization is commonly employed to mitigate ill-posedness by incorporating prior information and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Aryeh Keating , Mirjeta Pasha

We present a new type of the EnKF for data assimilation in spatial models that uses diagonal approximation of the state covariance in the wavelet space to achieve adaptive localization. The efficiency of the new method is demonstrated on an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Jonathan D. Beezley , Jan Mandel , Loren Cobb

This paper considers the problem of data-driven robust control design for nonlinear systems, for instance, obtained when discretizing nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). A robust learning control approach is developed for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Anant A. Joshi , Saviz Mowlavi , Mouhacine Benosman

We introduce cooperative sequential state space estimation in the domain of augmented complex statistics, whereby nodes in a network collaborate locally to estimate noncircular complex signals. For rigour, a distributed augmented (widely…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-19 Dahir H. Dini , Sithan Kanna , Danilo P. Mandic

In this work, we present methods for state estimation in continuous-discrete nonlinear systems involving stochastic differential equations. We present the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter, the ensemble Kalman filter, and…

Modern autonomous systems are purposed for many challenging scenarios, where agents will face unexpected events and complicated tasks. The presence of disturbance noise with control command and unknown inputs can negatively impact robot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Zida Wu , Zhaoliang Zheng , Ankur Mehta

State estimation is a fundamental problem in control and signal processing, for which the Kalman Filter provides an optimal solution under linear dynamics, Gaussian noise, and known noise covariances. However, these assumptions often fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Vasileios Saketos , Ming Xiao

Data assimilation is a method of uncertainty quantification to estimate the hidden true state by updating the prediction owing to model dynamics with observation data. As a prediction model, we consider a class of nonlinear dynamical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Kota Takeda , Takashi Sakajo

Accurate estimation of power system dynamics is very important for the enhancement of power system reliability, resilience, security, and stability of power system. With the increasing integration of inverter-based distributed energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-14 Narayan Bhusal , Mukesh Gautam

Experimental data is costly to obtain, which makes it difficult to calibrate complex models. For many models an experimental design that produces the best calibration given a limited experimental budget is not obvious. This paper introduces…

In this article we consider the application of multilevel Monte Carlo, for the estimation of normalizing constants. In particular we will make use of the filtering algorithm, the ensemble Kalman-Bucy filter (EnKBF), which is an N-particle…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Hamza Ruzayqat , Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra

Because of physical assumptions and numerical approximations, low-order models are affected by uncertainties in the state and parameters, and by model biases. Model biases, also known as model errors or systematic errors, are difficult to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

Covariance inflation and localization are two important techniques that are used to improve the performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) by (in effect) adjusting the sample covariances of the estimates in the state space. In this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-10-05 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven method of extracting spatial-temporal coherent modes from complex systems and providing an equation-free architecture to model and predict systems. However, in practical applications, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-07 Ningxin Liu , Shuigen Liu , Xin T. Tong , Lijian Jiang

Heavy tails is a common feature of filtering distributions that results from the nonlinear dynamical and observation processes as well as the uncertainty from physical sensors. In these settings, the Kalman filter and its ensemble version -…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-16 Mathieu Le Provost , Ricardo Baptista , Jeff D. Eldredge , Youssef Marzouk

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete time-varying systems over sensor networks. Firstly, it is shown that a networked Kalman filter with optimal gain parameter is actually a centralized filter,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Xingkang He , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang

Sequential Bayesian filters in non-linear dynamic systems require the recursive estimation of the predictive and posterior distributions. This paper introduces a Bayesian filter called the adaptive kernel Kalman filter (AKKF). With this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Mengwei Sun , Mike E. Davies , Ian K. Proudler , James R. Hopgood

System identification poses a significant bottleneck to characterizing and controlling complex systems. This challenge is greatest when both the system states and parameters are not directly accessible leading to a dual-estimation problem.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-08 Matthew F. Singh , Chong Wang , Michael W. Cole , ShiNung Ching

Digital twins (DTs) rely on continuous synchronization between physical systems and their virtual counterparts through online parameter estimation under uncertainty. In many practical settings, however, this task is challenged by low…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yasar Yanik , Himadri Basu , Ricardo G. Sanfelice , Daniele Venturi