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Demographic shifts, influenced by globalization, economic conditions, geopolitical events, and environmental factors, pose significant challenges for policymakers and researchers. Accurate demographic forecasting is essential for informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Aditya Akella , Jonathan Farah

Short-term load prediction (STLP) is critical for modern power distribution system operations, particularly as demand and generation uncertainties grow with the integration of low-carbon technologies, such as electric vehicles and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-18 Nan Lin , Dong Yun , Weijie Xia , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting for commercial buildings is crucial for smart grid operations. While smart meters and deep learning models enable forecasting using past data from multiple buildings, data heterogeneity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Shourya Bose , Yijiang Li , Amy Van Sant , Yu Zhang , Kibaek Kim

Despite the prevalent assumption of uniform variable importance in long-term time series forecasting models, real world applications often exhibit asymmetric causal relationships and varying data acquisition costs. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Xinyang Chen , Huidong Jin , Yu Huang , Zaiwen Feng

Covariates provide valuable information on external factors that influence time series and are critical in many real-world time series forecasting tasks. For example, in retail, covariates may indicate promotions or peak dates such as…

The nonlinear nature of chaotic systems results in extreme sensitivity to initial conditions and highly intricate dynamical behaviors, posing fundamental challenges for accurately predicting their evolution. To overcome the limitation that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Junwen Ma , Mingyu Ge , Yisen Wang , Yong Zhang , Weicheng Fu

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for brick-and-mortar retailers to optimize inventory management and minimize costs. This study evaluates statistical baselines, tree-based ensembles (XGBoost and LightGBM), and deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Luka Hobor , Mario Brcic , Lidija Polutnik , Ante Kapetanovic

The rise of foundation models has revolutionized natural language processing and computer vision, yet their best practices to time series forecasting remains underexplored. Existing time series foundation models often adopt methodologies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xiaobin Hong , Jiawen Zhang , Wenzhong Li , Sanglu Lu , Jia Li

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

Recent progress in foundation models has enabled strong zero-shot performance for time series forecasting. In this work, we show that such capabilities can also emerge from tabular foundation models. We introduce TabPFN-TS, a simple method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Shi Bin Hoo , Samuel Müller , David Salinas , Frank Hutter

Accurate load forecasting is critical for efficient and reliable operations of the electric power system. A large part of electricity consumption is affected by weather conditions, making weather information an important determinant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Jonathan Yang , Mingjian Tuo , Jin Lu , Xingpeng Li

The need to forecast solar irradiation at a specific location over short-time horizons has acquired immense importance. In this paper, we report on analyses results involving statistical and machine learning techniques to predict hourly…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-29 Alireza Inanlougani , T. Agami Reddy , Srinivas Katiamula

In the past few years, time series foundation models have achieved superior predicting accuracy. However, real-world time series often exhibit significant diversity in their temporal patterns across different time spans and domains, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

The availability of temporal geospatial data in multiple modalities has been extensively leveraged to enhance the performance of machine learning models. While efforts on the design of adequate model architectures are approaching a level of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Hiba Najjar , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

We develop a foundation model using 1.2m high resolution satellite images of the Netherlands. By combining a Convolutional Neural Network and a Vision Transformer, the model captures both low- and high-frequency landscape features, such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Paul Vermeeren , Heysem Kaya
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