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This paper presents a continuous-time optimal control framework for the generation of reference trajectories in driving scenarios with uncertainty. A previous work presented a discrete-time stochastic generator for autonomous vehicles;…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Ange Valli , Shangyuan Zhang , Abdel Lisser

We introduce a sequential learning algorithm to address a robust controller tuning problem, which in effect, finds (with high probability) a candidate solution satisfying the internal performance constraint to a chance-constrained program…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Robert Chin , Chris Manzie , Iman Shames , Dragan Nešić , Jonathan E. Rowe

A fundamental issue in causal inference for Big Observational Data is confounding due to covariate imbalances between treatment groups. This can be addressed by designing the data prior to analysis. Existing design methods, developed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-17 Yumin Zhang , Arman Sabbaghi

The win ratio is increasingly used in randomized trials due to its intuitive clinical interpretation, ability to incorporate the relative importance of composite endpoints, and its capacity for combining different types of outcomes (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Tracy Bergemann , Tim Hanson

This paper presents a data-driven, task-specific paradigm for experimental design, to shorten acquisition time, reduce costs, and accelerate the deployment of imaging devices. Current approaches in experimental design focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Stefano B. Blumberg , Paddy J. Slator , Daniel C. Alexander

Constrained sequential pattern mining aims at identifying frequent patterns on a sequential database of items while observing constraints defined over the item attributes. We introduce novel techniques for constraint-based sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Amin Hosseininasab , Willem-Jan van Hoeve , Andre A. Cire

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) represent the gold standard for causal inference yet remain a scarce resource. While large-scale observational data is often available, it is utilized only for retrospective fusion, and remains discarded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-05 Erdun Gao , Liang Zhang , Jake Fawkes , Aoqi Zuo , Wenqin Liu , Haoxuan Li , Mingming Gong , Dino Sejdinovic

Dynamic treatment regimes are sequential decision rules that adapt treatment according to individual time-varying characteristics and outcomes to achieve optimal effects, with applications in precision medicine, personalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-24 Yuanshan Gao , Yang Bai , Yifan Cui

Flight dynamics involve uncertainties in parameters, aerodynamic derivatives, and engine thrust. These uncertainties can be categorized into three types: known-predictable, known-unpredictable, and unknown. While advanced control systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-15 Mostafa Eslami , Afshin Banazadeh

Artificial intelligence (AI) is moving increasingly beyond prediction to support decisions in complex, uncertain, and dynamic environments. This shift creates a natural intersection with operations research and management sciences (OR/MS),…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 I. Esra Buyuktahtakin

We propose a new procedure named PASOA, for Bayesian experimental design, that performs sequential design optimization by simultaneously providing accurate estimates of successive posterior distributions for parameter inference. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Jacopo Iollo , Christophe Heinkelé , Pierre Alliez , Florence Forbes

Cognitive diagnosis models have been widely used in different areas, especially intelligent education, to measure users' proficiency levels on knowledge concepts, based on which users can get personalized instructions. As the measurement is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Fei Wang , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen , Chuanren Liu , Zhenya Huang , Jinze Wu , Shijin Wang

Modeling real processes often results in several suitable models. In order to be able to distinguish, or discriminate, which model best represents a phenomenon, one is interested, e.g., in so-called T-optimal designs. These consist of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 David Mogalle , Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Michael Bortz , Karl-Heinz Küfer

Dealing with uncertainty in optimization parameters is an important and longstanding challenge. Typically, uncertain parameters are predicted accurately, and then a deterministic optimization problem is solved. However, the decisions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Víctor Bucarey , Sophia Calderón , Gonzalo Muñoz , Frederic Semet

This paper provides a statistical method to test whether a system that performs a binary sequential hypothesis test is optimal in the sense of minimizing the average decision times while taking decisions with given reliabilities. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Meik Dörpinghaus , Izaak Neri , Édgar Roldán , Heinrich Meyr , Frank Jülicher

We introduce the first probabilistic framework tailored for sequential random projection, an approach rooted in the challenges of sequential decision-making under uncertainty. The analysis is complicated by the sequential dependence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Yingru Li

Conformal prediction, which makes no distributional assumptions about the data, has emerged as a powerful and reliable approach to uncertainty quantification in practical applications. The nonconformity measure used in conformal prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Yuko Kato , David M. J. Tax , Marco Loog

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

The accuracy of deep neural networks is significantly influenced by the effectiveness of mini-batch construction during training. In single-label scenarios, such as binary and multi-class classification tasks, it has been demonstrated that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Ao Zhou , Bin Liu , Jin Wang , Grigorios Tsoumakas

This work considers the problem of detecting signals from multiple sequentially observed data streams, where only one stream can be observed at every time instant. The goal is to detect signals as quickly as possible while controlling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris
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