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Physical systems with complex unsteady dynamics, such as fluid flows, are often poorly represented by a single mean solution. For many practical applications, it is crucial to access the full distribution of possible states, from which…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-04-07 Mario Lino , Tobias Pfaff , Nils Thuerey

Data dispersed across multiple files are commonly integrated through probabilistic linkage methods, where even minimal error rates in record matching can significantly contaminate subsequent statistical analyses. In regression problems, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Abhisek Chakraborty , Saptati Datta

We introduce a novel generative model for video prediction based on latent flow matching, an efficient alternative to diffusion-based models. In contrast to prior work, we keep the high costs of modeling the past during training and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Aram Davtyan , Sepehr Sameni , Paolo Favaro

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

We introduce Statistical Flow Matching (SFM), a novel and mathematically rigorous flow-matching framework on the manifold of parameterized probability measures inspired by the results from information geometry. We demonstrate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Chaoran Cheng , Jiahan Li , Jian Peng , Ge Liu

A generic algorithm for the extraction of probabilistic (Bayesian) information about model parameters from data is presented. The algorithm propagates an ensemble of particles in the product space of model parameters and outputs. Each…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-18 Carlo Albert

High-dimensional count data arise in applications such as single-cell RNA sequencing and neural spike trains, where mapping between distributions across successive batches or time points form critical components of data analysis. The recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Ganchao Wei , John Pearson

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

Diffusion models have shown remarkable performance in generation problems over various domains including images, videos, text, and audio. A practical bottleneck of diffusion models is their sampling speed, due to the repeated evaluation of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Taehong Moon , Moonseok Choi , EungGu Yun , Jongmin Yoon , Gayoung Lee , Jaewoong Cho , Juho Lee

Guidance of generative models is typically achieved by modifying the probability flow vector field through the addition of a guidance field. In this paper, we instead propose the Source-Guided Flow Matching (SGFM) framework, which modifies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Zifan Wang , Alice Harting , Matthieu Barreau , Michael M. Zavlanos , Karl H. Johansson

We present a Bayesian approach for the Contamination Source Detection problem in Water Distribution Networks. Given an observation of contaminants in one or more nodes in the network, we try to give probable explanation for it assuming that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-09-28 Ernesto Ortega , Alfredo Braunstein , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos

Sequencing by synthesis is the underlying technology for many next-generation DNA sequencing platforms. We developed a new model, the fixed flow cycle model, to derive the distributions of sequence length for a given number of flow cycles…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-28 Yong Kong

In Bayesian structure learning, we are interested in inferring a distribution over the directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure of Bayesian networks, from data. Defining such a distribution is very challenging, due to the combinatorially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Tristan Deleu , António Góis , Chris Emezue , Mansi Rankawat , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Stefan Bauer , Yoshua Bengio

Distribution-to-distribution generative models support scientific imaging tasks ranging from modeling cellular perturbation responses to translating medical images across conditions. Trustworthy generation requires reliability, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Dongxia Wu , Yuhui Zhang , Serena Yeung-Levy , Emma Lundberg , Emily B. Fox

By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

Modeling transformations between arbitrary data distributions is a fundamental scientific challenge, arising in applications like drug discovery and evolutionary simulation. While flow matching offers a natural framework for this task, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Shiye Su , Yuhui Zhang , Linqi Zhou , Rajesh Ranganath , Serena Yeung-Levy

Diffusion models have achieved significant progress in both image and video generation while still suffering from huge computation costs. As an effective solution, flow matching aims to reflow the diffusion process of diffusion models into…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Lei Ke , Haohang Xu , Xuefei Ning , Yu Li , Jiajun Li , Haoling Li , Yuxuan Lin , Dongsheng Jiang , Yujiu Yang , Linfeng Zhang

Flow and bridge matching are a novel class of processes which encompass diffusion models. One of the main aspect of their increased flexibility is that these models can interpolate between arbitrary data distributions i.e. they generalize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Guan-Horng Liu , Tianrong Chen , Evangelos A. Theodorou , Weilie Nie

In modern interactive speech-based systems, speech is consumed and transcribed incrementally prior to having disfluencies removed. This post-processing step is crucial for producing clean transcripts and high performance on downstream tasks…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Angelica Chen , Vicky Zayats , Daniel D. Walker , Dirk Padfield

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee