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We present a new approach to forecasting North Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) by recognizing that interannual variability primarily reflects amplitude changes in four dominant seasonal cycles. Our multivariate linear model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Rameshan Kallummal

Extreme weather events have significant consequences, dominating the impact of climate on society. While high-resolution weather models can forecast many types of extreme events on synoptic timescales, long-term climatological risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-25 Justin Finkel , Edwin P. Gerber , Dorian S. Abbot , Jonathan Weare

Many real-world applications rely on land surface temperature (LST) data at high spatiotemporal resolution. In complex urban areas, LST exhibits significant variations, fluctuating dramatically within and across city blocks. Landsat…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Shengjie Liu , Siqin Wang , Lu Zhang

Latent heat flux is a primary pathway for ocean-atmosphere exchange of heat and moisture, yet the influence of sea surface temperature variability at fine scales ($\leq$ 100 km) on latent heat flux variability, particularly over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-18 Lucie Reymondet , Lia Siegelman , Luc Lenain

We propose a method to reconstruct and analyze a complex network from data generated by a spatio-temporal dynamical system, relying on the nonlinear mutual information of time series analysis and betweenness centrality of complex network…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-02-11 Jonathan F. Donges , Yong Zou , Norbert Marwan , Juergen Kurths

Understanding regional dynamical structures in the sea is fundamental to characterize energy transfer and transport properties, with implications in physical and biogeochemical modeling and characterization. In this work, we study the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-27 Victor Rodriguez-Mendez , Enrico Ser-Giacomi , Jose J. Ramasco , Cristobal Lopez , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia

A global hybrid coupled model is developed, with the aim of studying the effects of ocean-atmosphere feedbacks on the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. The model includes a global ocean general circulation model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-17 Andrea A. Cimatoribus , Sybren S. Drijfhout , Henk A. Dijkstra

In this work, we estimate extreme sea surface temperature (SST) hotspots, i.e., high threshold exceedance regions, for the Red Sea, a vital region of high biodiversity. We analyze high-resolution satellite-derived SST data comprising daily…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-20 Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser

The steady and transient response of "dynamically" dry and moist atmospheres to uniform sea-surface temperature (SST) is studied. Specifically, the latent heat (Lv) of water vapor is varied, so that for small Lv, water substance is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-16 D. L. Suhas , Jai Sukhatme , Nili Harnik

Tropical cyclone and sea surface temperature data have been used in several studies to forecast the total number of hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin. Sea surface temperature (SST) and latent heat flux (LHF) are correlated with tropical…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-10 Marcela Alfaro Córdoba , Montserrat Fuentes , Joseph Guinness , Lian Xie

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a fundamental physical parameter characterising the thermal state of sea surface. Due to the intricate thermal interactions between land, sea, and atmosphere, the spatial gradients of SST in coastal waters…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-14 Yiqing Guo , Nagur Cherukuru , Eric Lehmann , Xiubin Qi , Mark Doubelld , S. L. Kesav Unnithan , Ming Feng

Estimating background-error covariances remains a core challenge in variational data assimilation (DA). Operational systems typically approximate these covariances by transformations that separate geostrophically balanced components from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Boštjan Melinc , Uroš Perkan , Žiga Zaplotnik

Across the stable density stratification of the abyssal ocean, deep dense water is slowly propelled upward by sustained, though irregular, turbulent mixing. The resulting mean upwelling determines large-scale oceanic circulation properties…

A theoretical framework is developed for understanding the transient growth and propagation characteristics of thermodynamically coupled, meridional mode-like structures in the tropics. The model consists of a Gill-Matsuno type steady…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-06 Cristian Martinez-Villalobos , Daniel J. Vimont

There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether the present global warming is increasing local and global temperature variability. The central methodological issues of this debate relate to the proper treatment of normalised…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-24 Miklos Vincze , Ion Borcia , Uwe Harlander

A nearly half-cubic hectometer of deep Mediterranean-Sea waters is yearlong sampled with about 3000 high-resolution temperature sensors to study different sources of turbulent waterflows, which are vital for life. Although temperature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-08 Hans van Haren

Large-scale intermittency is a widely observed phenomenon in convective surface layer turbulence that induces non-Gaussian temperature statistics, while such signature is not observed for velocity signals. Although approaches based on…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-15 Subharthi Chowdhuri , Giovanni Iacobello , Tirtha Banerjee

Knowledge about deep-ocean turbulent mixing and flow circulation above abyssal hilly plains is important to quantify processes for the modelling of resuspension and dispersal of sediments in areas where turbulence sources are expected to be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-26 Hans van Haren

Land surface temperature (LST) retrieval from remote sensing data is pivotal for analyzing climate processes and surface energy budgets. However, LST retrieval is an ill-posed inverse problem, which becomes particularly severe when only a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Tian Xie , Menghui Jiang , Huanfeng Shen , Huifang Li , Chao Zeng , Jun Ma , Guanhao Zhang , Liangpei Zhang