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The Deffuant-Weisbuch (DW) model is a well-known bounded-confidence opinion dynamics that has attracted wide interest. Although the heterogeneous DW model has been studied by simulations over $20$ years, its convergence proof is open. Our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Ge Chen , Wei Su , Wenjun Mei , Francesco Bullo

Counterfactual explanations (CFEs) are essential for interpreting black-box models, yet they often become invalid when models are slightly changed. Existing methods for generating robust CFEs are often limited to specific types of models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Marcin Kostrzewa , Maciej Zięba , Jerzy Stefanowski

Attention-based regression models are often trained by jointly optimizing Mean Squared Error (MSE) loss and Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) loss, emphasizing the magnitude of errors and the order or shape of targets, respectively. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Jingquan Yan , Yuwei Miao , Peiran Yu , Junzhou Huang

The policy relevant treatment effect (PRTE) measures the average effect of switching from a status-quo policy to a counterfactual policy. Estimation of the PRTE involves estimation of multiple preliminary parameters, including propensity…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-17 Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

Diffusion models, which convert noise into new data instances by learning to reverse a Markov diffusion process, have become a cornerstone in contemporary generative modeling. While their practical power has now been widely recognized, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Yuejie Chi

Tensor-valued data are becoming increasingly available in economics and this calls for suitable econometric tools. We propose a new dynamic linear model for tensor-valued response variables and covariates that encompasses some well-known…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-05 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Sylvia Kaufmann

This paper identifies an important bias - termed dynamic bias - in fixed effects panel estimators that arises when dynamic feedback is ignored in the estimating equation. Dynamic feedback occurs if past outcomes impact current outcomes, a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-22 Sylvia Klosin

This paper studies the estimation of linear panel data models with interactive fixed effects, where one dimension of the panel, typically time, may be fixed. To this end, a novel transformation is introduced that reduces the model to a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-13 Ayden Higgins

With advancements in sensor technology, a heterogeneous set of data, containing samples of scalar, waveform signal, image, or even structured point cloud are becoming increasingly popular. Developing a statistical model, representing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-28 Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei , Hao Yan , Kamran Paynabar , Jianjun Shi

This study proposes a novel functional vector autoregressive framework for analyzing network interactions of functional outcomes in panel data settings. In this framework, an individual's outcome function is influenced by the outcomes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Tomohiro Ando , Tadao Hoshino

Opinion dynamics aims to understand how individuals' opinions evolve through local interactions. Recently, opinion dynamics have been modeled as network games, where individuals update their opinions in order to minimize the social pressure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Yuchen Xu , Yi Han , Chuanzhe Zhang , Miao Wang , Wenjun Mei

We consider panel data models where coefficients change smoothly over time and follow a latent group structure, being homogeneous within but heterogeneous across groups. To jointly estimate the group membership and group-specific…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-19 Paul Haimerl , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

This paper studies estimation of causal effects in a panel data setting. We introduce a new estimator, the Triply RObust Panel (TROP) estimator, that combines (i) a flexible model for the potential outcomes based on a low-rank factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens , Zhaonan Qu , Davide Viviano

This paper develops a new model and estimation procedure for panel data that allows us to identify heterogeneous structural breaks. We model individual heterogeneity using a grouped pattern. For each group, we allow common structural breaks…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-27 Ryo Okui , Wendun Wang

Using a panel of 102 countries from PWT 10.0 covering 1970-2019, we examine the veracity of the assumption that a time-homogeneous, first-order process describes the evolution of the cross-country distribution of per capita output, an…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-10 Davide Fiaschi , Paul Johnson

This paper introduces the Difference-in-Differences Bayesian Causal Forest (DiD-BCF), a novel non-parametric model addressing key challenges in DiD estimation, such as staggered adoption and heterogeneous treatment effects. DiD-BCF provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Hugo Gobato Souto , Francisco Louzada Neto

The scope of this research is the identification of unknown piecewise constant parameters of linear regression equation under the finite excitation condition. Compared to the known methods, to make the computational burden lower, only one…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-05 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

The long-run convergence of developing economies toward advanced countries exhibits robust empirical regularities, yet the mechanisms underlying technological diffusion remain insufficiently specified in standard growth models. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Vygintas Gontis , Lesya Kolinets

We provide new results for nonparametric identification, estimation, and inference of causal effects using `proxy controls': observables that are noisy but informative proxies for unobserved confounding factors. Our analysis applies to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-22 Ben Deaner

Results for estimating the convergence rate of non-stationary distributed consensus algorithms are provided, on the basis of qualitative (mainly topological) as well as basic quantitative information (lower-bounds on the matrix entries).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-12-22 David Angeli , Pierre-Alexandre Bliman
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