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The goal of this paper is to study convergence and error estimates of the Monte Carlo method for the Navier-Stokes equations with random data. To discretize in space and time, the Monte Carlo method is combined with a suitable deterministic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Eduard Feireisl , Mária Lukáčová - Medviďová , Bangwei She , Yuhuan Yuan

In this paper we establish a mathematical framework which may be used to design Monte-Carlo simulations for a class of time irreversible dynamic systems, such as incompressible fluid flows, including turbulent flows in wall-bounded regions,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-11 Zhongmin Qian

Variational inference has experienced a recent surge in popularity owing to stochastic approaches, which have yielded practical tools for a wide range of model classes. A key benefit is that stochastic variational inference obviates the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-29 Tobias Plötz , Anne S. Wannenwetsch , Stefan Roth

Accurate characterization of subsurface heterogeneity is challenging but essential for applications such as reservoir pressure management, geothermal energy extraction and CO$_2$, H$_2$, and wastewater injection operations. This challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Harun Ur Rashid , Mingxin Li , Aleksandra Pachalieva , Georg Stadler , Daniel O'Malley

Distributed inference/estimation in Bayesian framework in the context of sensor networks has recently received much attention due to its broad applicability. The variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm is a technique for approximating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-30 Junhao Hua , Chunguang Li

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers based on discretizations of (overdamped) Langevin dynamics are commonly used in the Bayesian inference and computational statistical physics literature to estimate high-dimensional integrals. One can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Tony Lelièvre , Régis Santet , Gabriel Stoltz

Approximate inference in Bayesian deep networks exhibits a dilemma of how to yield high fidelity posterior approximations while maintaining computational efficiency and scalability. We tackle this challenge by introducing a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Son Nguyen , Duong Nguyen , Khai Nguyen , Khoat Than , Hung Bui , Nhat Ho

Multimodal distributions of some physics based model parameters are often encountered in engineering due to different situations such as a change in some environmental conditions, and the presence of some types of damage and nonlinearity.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-19 Felipe Igea , Alice Cicirello

We propose a unifying view of two different Bayesian inference algorithms, Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) and Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD), leading to improved and efficient novel sampling schemes. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Victor Gallego , David Rios Insua

Discrete choice models are commonly used by applied statisticians in numerous fields, such as marketing, economics, finance, and operations research. When agents in discrete choice models are assumed to have differing preferences, exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-04 Michael Braun , Jon McAuliffe

Varying coefficient models (VCMs) are widely used for estimating nonlinear regression functions for functional data. Their Bayesian variants using Gaussian process priors on the functional coefficients, however, have received limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Cheng Li , Terrance D. Savitsky , Sanvesh Srivastava

Estimation of riverbed profiles, also known as bathymetry, plays a vital role in many applications, such as safe and efficient inland navigation, prediction of bank erosion, land subsidence, and flood risk management. The high cost and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Mojtaba Forghani , Yizhou Qian , Jonghyun Lee , Matthew Farthing , Tyler Hesser , Peter K. Kitanidis , Eric F. Darve

The Richards' equation is a model for flow of water in unsaturated soils. The coefficients of this (nonlinear) partial differential equation describe the permeability of the medium. Insufficient or uncertain measurements are commonly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Andrea Barth , Andreas Stein

Bayesian approaches are one of the primary methodologies to tackle an inverse problem in high dimensions. Such an inverse problem arises in hydrology to infer the permeability field given flow data in a porous media. It is common practice…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-02 Navid Shervani-Tabar

We propose a robust and scalable framework for variational Bayes (VB) that effectively handles outliers and contamination of arbitrary nature in large datasets. Our approach divides the dataset into disjoint subsets, computes the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-18 Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Shitao Fan , Lizhen Lin

This article introduces a dynamic spatiotemporal stochastic volatility (SV) model with explicit terms for the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal spillover effects. Moreover, the model includes time-invariant site-specific constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar

Being the most classical generative model for serial data, state-space models (SSM) are fundamental in AI and statistical machine learning. In SSM, any form of parameter learning or latent state inference typically involves the computation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-04 Alessandro Mastrototaro , Jimmy Olsson

Quantitative monitoring of subsurface changes is essential for ensuring the safety of geological CO2 sequestration. Full-waveform monitoring (FWM) can resolve these changes at high spatial resolution, but conventional deterministic…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-16 Haipeng Li , Nanzhe Wang , Louis J. Durlofsky , Biondo L. Biondi

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt