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Markov switching models (MSMs) are probabilistic models that employ multiple sets of parameters to describe different dynamic regimes that a time series may exhibit at different periods of time. The switching mechanism between regimes is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-13 Silvia Chiappa

In this paper we study the solutions of different forms of fractional equations on the unit sphere $\mathbb{S}_{1}^{2}$ $\subset \mathbb{R}^{3}$ possessing the structure of time-dependent random fields. We study the correlation functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Mirko D'Ovidio , Nikolai Leonenko , Enzo Orsingher

In this paper we present a novel slanted-plane MRF model which reasons jointly about occlusion boundaries as well as depth. We formulate the problem as the one of inference in a hybrid MRF composed of both continuous (i.e., slanted 3D…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-04-09 Koichiro Yamaguchi , Tamir Hazan , David McAllester , Raquel Urtasun

The problem of completing high-dimensional matrices from a limited set of observations arises in many big data applications, especially, recommender systems. Existing matrix completion models generally follow either a memory- or a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-30 Duc Minh Nguyen , Robert Calderbank , Nikos Deligiannis

The perceived advantage of machine learning (ML) models is that they are flexible and can incorporate a large number of features. However, many of these are typically correlated or dependent, and incorporating all of them can hinder model…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Anwesha Bhattacharyya , Yaqun Wang , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

Classical linear regression is considered for a case when regression parameters depend on the external random environment. The last is described as a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. Here the expected sojourn times in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Alexander M. Andronov , Nadezda Spiridovska

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

Regression models describing the joint distribution of multivariate response variables conditional on covariate information have become an important aspect of contemporary regression analysis. However, a limitation of such models is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Nadja Klein , Torsten Hothorn , Luisa Barbanti , Thomas Kneib

Probabilistic graphical models, such as Markov random fields (MRFs), are useful for describing high-dimensional distributions in terms of local dependence structures. The probabilistic inference is a fundamental problem related to graphical…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Weiming Feng , Kun He , Xiaoming Sun , Yitong Yin

Forecasting nonlinear time series with multi-scale temporal structures remains a central challenge in complex systems modeling. We present a novel reservoir computing framework that combines delay embedding with random Fourier feature (RFF)…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-20 S. K. Laha

This paper surveys the analysis of parametric Markov models whose transitions are labelled with functions over a finite set of parameters. These models are symbolic representations of uncountable many concrete probabilistic models, each…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Markov random fields (MRFs) are a powerful tool for modelling statistical dependencies for a set of random variables using a graphical representation. An important computational problem related to MRFs, called maximum a posteriori (MAP)…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-08-11 Alexander Bauer , Shinichi Nakajima , Nico Görnitz , Klaus-Robert Müller

Copulas are essential tools in statistics and probability theory, enabling the study of the dependence structure between random variables independently of their marginal distributions. Among the various types of copulas, Ratio-Type Copulas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Ziad Adwan , Nicola Sottocornola

Decomposable graphs are known for their tedious and complicated Markov update steps. Instead of modelling them directly, this work introduces a class of tree-dependent bipartite graphs that span the projective space of decomposable graphs.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Mohamad Elmasri

Phase transitions generically occur in random matrix models as the parameters in the joint probability distribution of the random variables are varied. They affect all main features of the theory and the interpretation of statistical models…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. M. Cicuta

A general random effects model is proposed that allows for continuous as well as discrete distributions of the responses. Responses can be unrestricted continuous, bounded continuous, binary, ordered categorical or given in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Gerhard Tutz

We introduce a new approach to model and analyze \emph{Mobility}. It is fully based on discrete mathematics and yields a class of mobility models, called the \emph{Markov Trace} Model. This model can be seen as the discrete version of the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2010-02-05 Andrea Clementi , Angelo Monti , Riccardo Silvestri

We introduce block Markov chains (BMCs) indexed by an infinite rooted tree. It turns out that BMCs define a new class of tree-indexed Markovian processes. We clarify the structure of BMCs in connection with Markov chains (MCs) and Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Abdessatar Souissi

We show that, for generative classifiers, conditional independence corresponds to linear constraints for the induced discrimination functions. Discrimination functions of undirected Markov network classifiers can thus be characterized by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Gherardo Varando , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga , Eva Riccomagno

Probabilistic independence can dramatically simplify the task of eliciting, representing, and computing with probabilities in large domains. A key technique in achieving these benefits is the idea of graphical modeling. We survey existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Fahiem Bacchus , Adam J. Grove