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We introduce a class of dependence structures, that we call the Multiple Risk Factor (MRF) dependence structures. On the one hand, the new constructions extend the popular CreditRisk+ approach, and as such they formally describe default…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-19 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman

In various geosciences branches, including mineral exploration, geometallurgical characterization on established mining operations, and remote sensing, the regionalized input variables are spatially well-sampled across the domain of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-11 Álvaro I. Riquelme

Developing satisfactory methodology for the analysis of Markov random field is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-12 Julien Stoehr

Many problems in real-world applications involve predicting several random variables which are statistically related. Markov random fields (MRFs) are a great mathematical tool to encode such relationships. The goal of this paper is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-29 Liang-Chieh Chen , Alexander G. Schwing , Alan L. Yuille , Raquel Urtasun

Key challenges in the analysis of highly multivariate large-scale spatial stochastic processes, where both the number of components (p) and spatial locations (n) can be large, include achieving maximal sparsity in the joint precision…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Xiaoqing Chen , Peter Diggle , James V. Zidek , Gavin Shaddick

In this paper we propose a prior distribution for the clique set and dependence structure of binary Markov random fields (MRFs). In the formulation we allow both pairwise and higher order interactions. We construct the prior by first…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-27 Petter Arnesen , Håkon Tjelmeland

A fundamental problem in neuroscience is to characterize the dynamics of spiking from the neurons in a circuit that is involved in learning about a stimulus or a contingency. A key limitation of current methods to analyze neural spiking…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Yingzhuo Zhang , Noa Malem-Shinitski , Stephen A Allsop , Kay Tye , Demba Ba

Herein, we introduce and study a new class of discrete random fields designed for quick simulation and covariance inference under inhomogeneous condition. Simulation of these correlated fields can be done in a single pass instead of relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Biao Wu , Michael A. Kouritzin , Fraser Newton

Modal regression, a widely used regression protocol, has been extensively investigated in statistical and machine learning communities due to its robustness to outliers and heavy-tailed noises. Understanding modal regression's theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Tielang Gong , Yuxin Dong , Hong Chen , Bo Dong , Wei Feng , Chen Li

The Markov Transition Field (MTF), introduced by Wang and Oates (2015), encodes a time series as a two-dimensional image by mapping each pair of time steps to the transition probability between their quantile states, estimated from a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Michael Leznik

Random Forest (RF) is a well-known data-driven algorithm applied in several fields thanks to its flexibility in modeling the relationship between the response variable and the predictors, also in case of strong non-linearities. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-18 Luca Patelli , Michela Cameletti , Natalia Golini , Rosaria Ignaccolo

Spartan Spatial Random Fields (SSRFs) are generalized Gibbs random fields, equipped with a coarse-graining kernel that acts as a low-pass filter for the fluctuations. SSRFs are defined by means of physically motivated spatial interactions…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-12 Dionissios T. Hristopulos , Samuel Elogne

Human neurodevelopment is a highly regulated biological process. In this article, we study the dynamic changes of neurodevelopment through the analysis of human brain microarray data, sampled from 16 brain regions in 15 time periods of…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-02 Zhixiang Lin , Stephan J. Sanders , Mingfeng Li , Nenad Sestan , Matthew W. State , Hongyu Zhao

A statistical model of protein families, called profile conditional random fields (CRFs), is proposed. This model may be regarded as an integration of the profile hidden Markov model (HMM) and the Finkelstein-Reva (FR) theory of protein…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2009-06-01 Akira R. Kinjo

Metric graphs are useful tools for describing spatial domains like road and river networks, where spatial dependence act along the network. We take advantage of recent developments for such Gaussian Random Fields (GRFs), and consider joint…

We present a unifying framework which reduces the construction of probabilistic component analysis techniques to a mere selection of the latent neighbourhood, thus providing an elegant and principled framework for creating novel component…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-17 Mihalis A. Nicolaou , Stefanos Zafeiriou , Maja Pantic

Mean-field models are a popular tool in a variety of fields. They provide an understanding of the impact of interactions among a large number of particles or people or other "self-interested agents", and are an increasingly popular tool in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn

Markov random fields provide a compact representation of joint probability distributions by representing its independence properties in an undirected graph. The well-known Hammersley-Clifford theorem uses these conditional independences to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 Alejandro Edera , Facundo Bromberg , Federico Schlüter

Probabilistic inference in high-dimensional state-space models is computationally challenging. For many spatiotemporal systems, however, prior knowledge about the dependency structure of state variables is available. We leverage this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Fiona Lippert , Bart Kranstauber , E. Emiel van Loon , Patrick Forré

We introduce multiple hidden Markov models (MHMMs) where an observed multivariate categorical time series depends on an unobservable multivariate Mar- kov chain. MHMMs provide an elegant framework for specifying various independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-17 Roberto Colombi , Sabrina Giordano