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The principles of statistical mechanics and information theory play an important role in learning and have inspired both theory and the design of numerous machine learning algorithms. The new aspect in this paper is a focus on integrating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Susanne Still

This paper studies the problem of globally optimizing a variable of interest that is part of a causal model in which a sequence of interventions can be performed. This problem arises in biology, operational research, communications and,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-27 Virginia Aglietti , Xiaoyu Lu , Andrei Paleyes , Javier González

Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of inferring causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Christos Louizos , Uri Shalit , Joris Mooij , David Sontag , Richard Zemel , Max Welling

Causal structure learning is a key problem in many domains. Causal structures can be learnt by performing experiments on the system of interest. We address the largely unexplored problem of designing a batch of experiments that each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-25 Scott Sussex , Andreas Krause , Caroline Uhler

Computer experiments with both qualitative and quantitative factors are widely used in many applications. Motivated by the emerging need of optimal configuration in the high-performance computing (HPC) system, this work proposes a…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Xia Cai , Li Xu , C. Devon Lin , Yili Hong , Xinwei Deng

For three natural classes of dynamic decision problems; 1. additively separable problems, 2. discounted problems, and 3. discounted problems for a fixed discount factor; we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for one sequential…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-24 Mark Whitmeyer , Cole Williams

Sound educational policy recommendations require valid estimates of causal effects, but observational studies in physics education research sometimes have loosely specified causal hypotheses. The connections between the observational data…

Physics Education · Physics 2021-09-22 M. B. Weissman

Transforming a causal system from a given initial state to a desired target state is an important task permeating multiple fields including control theory, biology, and materials science. In causal models, such transformations can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Jiaqi Zhang , Chandler Squires , Caroline Uhler

Discrete Choice Experiments (DCEs) investigate participants' preferences by observing their choice behavior in hypothetical scenarios and are widely used in the domain of healthcare. To reduce participants' cognitive burden, especially when…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Yicheng Mao , Roselinde Kessels

Undertaking causal inference with observational data is incredibly useful across a wide range of tasks including the development of medical treatments, advertisements and marketing, and policy making. There are two significant challenges…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-19 Matthew James Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

Non-parametric episodic memory can be used to quickly latch onto high-rewarded experience in reinforcement learning tasks. In contrast to parametric deep reinforcement learning approaches in which reward signals need to be back-propagated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Zhao Yang , Thomas M. Moerland , Mike Preuss , Aske Plaat

One of the common ways children learn is by mimicking adults. Imitation learning focuses on learning policies with suitable performance from demonstrations generated by an expert, with an unspecified performance measure, and unobserved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-15 Junzhe Zhang , Daniel Kumor , Elias Bareinboim

Typical models of learning assume incremental estimation of continuously-varying decision variables like expected rewards. However, this class of models fails to capture more idiosyncratic, discrete heuristics and strategies that people and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Carlos G. Correa , Thomas L. Griffiths , Nathaniel D. Daw

Counterfactual Explanations (CFEs) interpret machine learning models by identifying the smallest change to input features needed to change the model's prediction to a desired output. For classification tasks, CFEs determine how close a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Margarita A. Guerrero , Cristian R. Rojas

In social sciences and economics, causal inference traditionally focuses on assessing the impact of predefined treatments (or interventions) on predefined outcomes, such as the effect of education programs on earnings. Causal discovery, in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-12 Martin Huber

Reinforcement learning algorithms rely on exploration to discover new behaviors, which is typically achieved by following a stochastic policy. In continuous control tasks, policies with a Gaussian distribution have been widely adopted.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-28 Dmytro Korenkevych , A. Rupam Mahmood , Gautham Vasan , James Bergstra

Consequential decision-making incentivizes individuals to strategically adapt their behavior to the specifics of the decision rule. While a long line of work has viewed strategic adaptation as gaming and attempted to mitigate its effects,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 John Miller , Smitha Milli , Moritz Hardt

The paper focuses on identifying the causes of student performance to provide personalized recommendations for improving pass rates. We introduce the need to move beyond predictive models and instead identify causal relationships. We…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Bevan I. Smith

The discovery of causal relationships is a foundational problem in artificial intelligence, statistics, epidemiology, economics, and beyond. While elegant theories exist for accurate causal discovery given infinite data, real-world…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-28 Mian Wei , Somesh Jha , David Page

An autonomous experimentation platform in manufacturing is supposedly capable of conducting a sequential search for finding suitable manufacturing conditions by itself or even for discovering new materials with minimal human intervention.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Imtiaz Ahmed , Satish Bukkapatnam , Bhaskar Botcha , Yu Ding