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Hyper-parameters of time series models play an important role in time series analysis. Slight differences in hyper-parameters might lead to very different forecast results for a given model, and therefore, selecting good hyper-parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Peiyi Zhang , Xiaodong Jiang , Ginger M Holt , Nikolay Pavlovich Laptev , Caner Komurlu , Peng Gao , Yang Yu

Distributionally robust optimization has emerged as an attractive way to train robust machine learning models, capturing data uncertainty and distribution shifts. Recent statistical analyses have proved that generalization guarantees of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Tam Le , Jérôme Malick

We consider the task of training machine learning models with data-dependent constraints. Such constraints often arise as empirical versions of expected value constraints that enforce fairness or stability goals. We reformulate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Songkai Xue , Yuekai Sun , Mikhail Yurochkin

Existing approaches to predictive uncertainty rely either on multi-hypothesis prediction, which promotes diversity but lacks principled aggregation, or on ensemble learning, which improves accuracy but rarely captures the structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez , Muhammad Shahzad , Xia Hong

High dimensional data analysis is known to be as a challenging problem. In this article, we give a theoretical analysis of high dimensional classification of Gaussian data which relies on a geometrical analysis of the error measure. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-10 Robin Girard

Systematic design and verification of advanced control strategies for complex systems under uncertainty largely remains an open problem. Despite the promise of blackbox optimization methods for automated controller tuning, they generally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-17 Joel A. Paulson , Ali Mesbah

Many learning-based approaches have difficulty scaling to unseen data, as the generality of its learned prior is limited to the scale and variations of the training samples. This holds particularly true with 3D learning tasks, given the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Mingyue Yang , Yuxin Wen , Weikai Chen , Yongwei Chen , Kui Jia

In most practical applications such as recommendation systems, display advertising, and so forth, the collected data often contains missing values and those missing values are generally missing-not-at-random, which deteriorates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Mingming Ha , Xuewen Tao , Wenfang Lin , Qionxu Ma , Wujiang Xu , Linxun Chen

Hyperparameters greatly impact models' capabilities; however, modern models are too large for extensive search. Instead, researchers design recipes that train well across scales based on their understanding of the hyperparameters. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Nicholas Lourie , He He , Kyunghyun Cho

We investigate the in-distribution generalization of machine learning algorithms. We depart from traditional complexity-based approaches by analyzing information-theoretic bounds that quantify the dependence between a learning algorithm and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-27 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

Data-driven and adaptive control approaches face the problem of introducing sudden distributional shifts beyond the distribution of data encountered during learning. Therefore, they are prone to invalidating the very assumptions used in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-25 Mohammad Ramadan , Evan Toler , Mihai Anitescu

Many recent theoretical works on \emph{meta-learning} aim to achieve guarantees in leveraging similar representational structures from related tasks towards simplifying a target task. The main aim of theoretical guarantees on the subject is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-21 Dimitri Meunier , Zhu Li , Arthur Gretton , Samory Kpotufe

Established approaches to obtain generalization bounds in data-driven optimization and machine learning mostly build on solutions from empirical risk minimization (ERM), which depend crucially on the functional complexity of the hypothesis…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Yibo Zeng , Henry Lam

While Weighted Lasso sparse regression has appealing statistical guarantees that would entail a major real-world impact in finance, genomics, and brain imaging applications, it is typically scarcely adopted due to its complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Kenan Šehić , Alexandre Gramfort , Joseph Salmon , Luigi Nardi

Hierarchical Bayesian models are increasingly used in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems by modeling parameters as draws from a hyperparameter-governed distribution. However, theoretical guarantees for these estimates as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Yi Yu , Yubo Hou , Yinchong Wang , Nan Zhang , Jianfeng Feng , Wenlian Lu

Supervisory signals have the potential to make low-dimensional data representations, like those learned by mixture and topic models, more interpretable and useful. We propose a framework for training latent variable models that explicitly…

In applications with significant class imbalance or asymmetric costs, metrics such as the $F_\beta$-measure, AM measure, Jaccard similarity coefficient, and weighted accuracy offer more suitable evaluation criteria than standard binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

It is a standard assumption that datasets in high dimension have an internal structure which means that they in fact lie on, or near, subsets of a lower dimension. In many instances it is important to understand the real dimension of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-21 James A. D. Binnie , Paweł Dłotko , John Harvey , Jakub Malinowski , Ka Man Yim

Semi-supervised learning has attracted significant attention due to the proliferation of applications featuring limited labeled data but abundant unlabeled data. In this paper, we examine the statistical inference problem in an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Chao Ying , Siyi Deng , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao , Heping Zhang

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher
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