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We present the first exact analysis of some of the temporal properties of multivariate self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson processes, which constitute powerful representations of a large variety of systems with bursty events, for which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-26 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

Representation theory of finite groups portrays a marvelous crossroad of group theory, algebraic combinatorics, and probability. In particular the Plancherel measure is a probability that arises naturally from representation theory, and in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-05-11 Dario De Stavola

Let $\{S_n=(X_n,W_n)\}_{n\ge0}$ be a random walk with $X_n\in \mathbb{R}$ and $W_n\in \mathbb{R}^m$. Let $\tau=\tau_a=\inf\{n:X_n>a\}$. The main results presented are two term asymptotic expansions for the joint distribution of $S_{\tau}$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Robert Keener

We consider a multivariate functional measurement error model $AX\approx B$. The errors in $[A,B]$ are uncorrelated, row-wise independent, and have equal (unknown) variances. We study the total least squares estimator of $X$, which, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Alexander Kukush , Yaroslav Tsaregorodtsev

In this paper we use a probabilistic approach to derive the expressions for the characteristic functions of basic statistics defined on permutation tableaux. Since our expressions are exact, we can identify the distributions of basic…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-04-09 Pawel Hitczenko , Svante Janson

We consider a bivariate rational generating function F(x,y) = P(x,y) / Q(x,y) = sum_{r, s} a_{r,s} x^r y^s under the assumption that the complex algebraic curve $\sing$ on which $Q$ vanishes is smooth. Formulae for the asymptotics of the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Timothy DeVries , Joris van der Hoeven , Robin Pemantle

This paper develops asymptotic theory for estimation of parameters in regression models for binomial response time series where serial dependence is present through a latent process. Use of generalized linear model (GLM) estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

Frequentists' inference often delivers point estimators associated with confidence intervals or sets for parameters of interest. Constructing the confidence intervals or sets requires understanding the sampling distributions of the point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Xinran Li , Peng Ding

We study the probabilistic behaviour of the continued fraction expansion of a quadratic irrational number, when weighted by some "additive" cost. We prove asymptotic Gaussian limit laws, with an optimal speed of convergence. We deal with…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Eda Cesaratto , Brigitte Vallée

The field of discrete event simulation and optimization techniques motivates researchers to adjust classic ranking and selection (R&S) procedures to the settings where the number of populations is large. We use insights from extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Royi Jacobovic , Or Zuk

We consider the asymptotics of various estimators based on a large sample of branching trees from a critical multi-type Galton-Watson process, as the sample size increases to infinity. The asymptotics of additive functions of trees, such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zhiyi Chi

Sample covariance matrices from multi-population typically exhibit several large spiked eigenvalues, which stem from differences between population means and are crucial for inference on the underlying data structure. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Weiming Li , Zeng Li , Junpeng Zhu

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

The purpose of this paper is to study the asymptotic behavior of the weighted least square estimators of the unknown parameters of random coefficient bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under suitable assumptions on the immigration and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Vassili Blandin

This paper is concerned with the asymptotic behavior of sums of terms which are a test function f evaluated at successive increments of a discretely sampled semimartingale. Typically the test function is a power function (when the power is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Jacod

New asymptotic approximations of the non-central $t$ distribution are given, a generalization of the Student's $t$ distribution. Using new integral representations, we give new asymptotic expansions for large values of the noncentrality…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Amparo Gil , Javier Segura , Nico M Temme

The objects of our interest are the so-called $A$-permutations, which are permutations whose cycle length lie in a fixed set $A$. They have been extensively studied with respect to the uniform or the Ewens measure. In this paper, we extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Julia Storm , Dirk Zeindler

Although variable selection is one of the most popular areas of modern statistical research, much of its development has taken place in the classical paradigm compared to the Bayesian counterpart. Somewhat surprisingly, both the paradigms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Minerva Mukhopadhyay , Sourabh Bhattacharya

A desirable property of an autocovariance estimator is to be robust to the presence of additive outliers. It is well-known that the sample autocovariance, being based on moments, does not have this property. Hence, the use of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-24 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Hélène Boistard , Eric Moulines , Murad S. Taqqu , Valderio A. Reisen